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IDA vs OGE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? IDACORP (IDA) vs. OGE Energy (OGE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both are regulated electric utilities, but IDA is concentrated in fast-growing Idaho, while OGE serves Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
- Growth drivers differ materially: IDACORP's momentum is anchored in large industrial and data-center contracts, whereas OGE Energy leans on broad load growth and a sizable capital plan.
- Earnings profiles contrast: IDACORP recently raised the lower end of its 2026 guidance, while OGE Energy posted softer first-quarter results tied to mild weather and higher costs.
- Income investors may note OGE's higher dividend yield of roughly 3.8%, compared with IDACORP's recently increased quarterly payout.
- Relative performance and valuation reflect different market positioning, with IDACORP carrying a premium multiple and OGE trading at a more moderate valuation.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the regulated utility space often weigh predictable cash flows against growth potential, and few comparisons capture that trade-off better than IDA and OGE. Both are electric utility holding companies with strong regional footprints and steady dividends, yet their growth narratives have diverged in recent quarters. This stock comparison is especially relevant for income-oriented investors and traders tracking how data-center demand and industrial electrification are reshaping traditional utilities. By examining recent performance, catalysts, and market positioning side by side, readers can better assess which company aligns with their risk tolerance and investment objectives in the current environment.
IDA Overview and Recent Performance
IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) is the Boise, Idaho-based holding company for Idaho Power Company, a regulated electric utility serving southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. The company's recent market activity has been shaped by a notably constructive demand backdrop. Customer growth has remained robust, rising about 2.3% year over year, while industrial revenue—including large contracts—climbed 17% in the second quarter.
Key catalysts include agreements with large industrial and technology customers such as Micron's semiconductor expansion, Meta's data center, Chobani, and the Idaho National Laboratory. Management has emphasized that "growth pays for growth," citing take-or-pay provisions and credit requirements designed to protect existing ratepayers. IDACORP recently raised the lower end of its full-year earnings guidance and continued advancing major transmission and generation projects, including Boardman-to-Hemingway and a growing battery-storage fleet. These factors have supported a relatively premium valuation, even as the stock has cooled in recent weeks following a strong run.
OGE Overview and Recent Performance
OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) is the Oklahoma City-based parent of Oklahoma Gas and Electric Company (OG&E), a regulated electric utility serving roughly 915,000 customers across Oklahoma and western Arkansas. The company's recent performance reflects a mix of weather-related headwinds and a building growth story. First-quarter earnings declined year over year, pressured by mild weather and higher operation and maintenance expense, partially offset by load growth and lower interest costs.
The longer-term narrative centers on data-center demand. In recent months, OGE announced plans to power three Google data centers in Muskogee and Stillwater, supporting infrastructure investment and grid reliability. The company plans roughly $7.3 billion in capital expenditures between 2026 and 2030 and targets 5% to 7% annual earnings-per-share growth. With a forward dividend yield near 3.8% and a beta below 0.6, OGE presents a lower-volatility profile, though its shares have consolidated in recent weeks amid mixed analyst revisions to price targets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both companies are regulated electric utilities, their market positioning diverges in several important ways. IDA benefits from exceptional demand growth concentrated in a single, fast-growing service territory, with large industrial and hyperscale contracts driving an outsized portion of its upside. This gives it a stronger near-term earnings trajectory but also concentrates exposure to execution risk on major transmission and generation projects.
OGE, by contrast, offers a broader, more diversified load base with meaningful data-center exposure that is still ramping and subject to regulatory approval. Its higher dividend yield and lower beta appeal to income-focused investors, while its moderate valuation reflects a more measured growth outlook. On risk, OGE faces weather sensitivity and an elected Oklahoma utilities commission, whereas IDACORP contends with hydropower-dependent generation and a premium valuation that leaves less room for error. In short, IDA skews toward growth-at-a-premium, and OGE toward yield-at-a-discount.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IDA in the current environment. The company's verified customer growth, accelerating large-contract revenue, and recently raised earnings guidance represent concrete, near-term catalysts that tend to register favorably in trend and momentum models. OGE remains a credible candidate for income and stability, but its softer recent earnings and still-pending data-center benefits suggest a less immediate catalyst path. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects current signals rather than a fixed prediction, with relative positioning subject to change as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IDA is a Buy and OGE is a Buy.
IDA in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026
The 10-day moving average for IDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IDA as a result. In 49 of 110 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IDA just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where IDA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 16 of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
IDA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IDA advanced for three days, in 164 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for IDA moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 42%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
IDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for IDA entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.115) is normal, around the industry mean (2.025). P/E Ratio (22.373) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.260). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.790) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.127) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
OGE in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026
OGE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 24 of 36 cases where OGE's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OGE as a result. In 47 of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OGE just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where OGE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
OGE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for OGE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +1.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OGE advanced for three days, in 166 of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for OGE moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 40%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OGE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
The Aroon Indicator for OGE entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OGE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.972) is normal, around the industry mean (2.025). P/E Ratio (20.760) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.260). OGE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.983) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.919) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
IDA | OGE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IDA's Valuation (60) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as OGE (83). This means that IDA’s stock grew similarly to OGE’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (22). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (73). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (54). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (50). This means that OGE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
| IDA | OGE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 40% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 47% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 51% | 7 days ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 44% | 27 days ago 40% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 25% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IDA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while OGE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IDA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OGE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IDA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OGE’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- OGE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IDA (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.74% price change this week, while OGE (@Electric Utilities) price change was +0.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
IDA is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
OGE is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.51% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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IDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IDA has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IDA jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.
OGE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OGE has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OGE jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.