Energy remains one of the most closely watched corners of the equity market, driven by commodity cycles, capital discipline among producers, and the evolving push toward carbon management. Against that backdrop, investors often weigh broad sector funds against more targeted, thematic strategies. IYE and NVIR offer a useful ETF comparison: one provides passive, diversified access to U.S. energy giants, while the other pursues an active, concentrated mandate spanning energy production and environmental remediation. Although both sit within the energy universe, their structural designs, cost profiles, and risk characteristics differ enough that their relative positioning matters more than any head-to-head price contest.
IYE, the iShares U.S. Energy ETF, is a passively managed fund that seeks to track a market-cap-weighted index of U.S. energy equities. It provides one of the most liquid, low-cost ways to express a broad view on the American energy complex. The fund holds roughly 37 to 44 securities, with the energy sector representing approximately 98% of assets.
Top holdings are dominated by integrated majors and large-cap producers, including XOM (Exxon Mobil) at roughly 23%, CVX (Chevron) at about 16%, and COP (ConocoPhillips) near 6.5%. Other notable names include MPC (Marathon Petroleum), VLO (Valero Energy), PSX (Phillips 66), WMB (Williams), SLB, EOG (EOG Resources), and BKR (Baker Hughes). This heavy mega-cap tilt means the fund's sector exposure is tightly linked to integrated oil and gas, refining, and equipment services. Its low expense ratio and deep liquidity make it a core building block for broad energy allocation.
NVIR, the Horizon Kinetics Energy and Remediation ETF, is an actively managed, non-diversified fund launched in 2023. It seeks long-term capital growth by investing in a concentrated basket of companies engaged in hydrocarbon energy production or related remediation activities, including water treatment, carbon capture and storage, and royalty structures. The fund may hold between roughly 36 and 43 securities of any market capitalization and domicile.
Top holdings are notably different from a traditional energy index, spanning royalty trusts, land companies, midstream infrastructure, and service providers. Representative positions include Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT), WMB (Williams), Texas Pacific Land (TPL), LNG (Cheniere Energy), and EQT (EQT Corporation), alongside Canadian names such as CES Energy Solutions, Suncor Energy, Enerflex, and PrairieSky Royalty. The portfolio skews toward mid- and small-cap companies, with meaningful non-U.S. exposure. Its 0.85% expense ratio reflects the active mandate and the fund's considerably smaller asset base, which also translates to thinner trading liquidity than IYE.
Both funds operate within an energy landscape shaped by oil and natural gas price cycles, producer capital discipline, and shifting demand from economic activity and geopolitical events. Integrated majors have emphasized shareholder returns and balance-sheet strength rather than aggressive production growth, supporting cash-flow-oriented valuations. At the same time, the energy transition has elevated interest in remediation-focused businesses—water treatment, carbon capture, and emissions-reduction services—creating a distinct thematic tailwind that NVIR targets more directly than IYE.
Regulatory developments, OPEC+ output decisions, and interest rate expectations all influence the fund performance of energy ETFs. Volatility in crude benchmarks can lift broad energy indices, while more specialized names tied to midstream infrastructure and environmental services may respond to different catalysts, such as utility-style cash flows or carbon policy. This divergence in drivers is central to understanding how the two funds position within the current market environment.
In recent months and over the trailing year, both funds have participated in the broader energy recovery, though through different lenses. IYE's mega-cap bias means its returns closely mirror the integrated oil and gas complex, benefiting when commodity prices firm and when majors deliver steady buybacks and dividends. Its sector exposure is concentrated and cyclical, so drawdowns can be sharp during commodity downturns.
NVIR, by contrast, has shown a more idiosyncratic return profile driven by royalty trusts, land companies, and remediation businesses, alongside Canadian producers. This blend can reduce correlation to a single commodity price and add exposure to structural themes such as water management and carbon capture. However, the fund's smaller size, lower liquidity, and higher fee drag present distinct trade-offs. Its relative positioning skews toward thematic diversification and active stock selection, whereas IYE offers efficient, index-like breadth. For investors, the choice hinges on whether they prioritize low-cost passive energy exposure or a more concentrated, actively managed energy-plus-remediation thesis.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool designed to help traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own energy-focused watchlist.
Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IYE for most investors in the current environment. Its significantly lower expense ratio, deeper liquidity, and diversified large-cap exposure provide cost efficiency and tradability that are difficult to overlook. While NVIR offers a differentiated thematic angle through remediation and royalty assets, its higher fee, smaller asset base, and thinner trading volume introduce additional friction and concentration risk. The AI would assess IYE as the more robust core holding, while viewing NVIR as a satellite position suited to investors with a strong conviction in the energy remediation theme. This is a probabilistic assessment, not individualized investment advice.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
The RSI Indicator for IYE moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 17 of the 18 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 341 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
IYE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 289 of 333 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYE as a result. In 74 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
IYE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IYE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 20 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The RSI Oscillator for NVIR moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 11 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 11 of the 11 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVIR advanced for three days, in 169 of 202 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
NVIR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 208 of 234 cases where NVIR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVIR as a result. In 40 of 61 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVIR turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
NVIR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVIR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
| IYE | NVIR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 4 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 80% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 89% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor tells us that NVIR and LBRT have been poorly correlated (+12% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that NVIR and LBRT's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVIR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIR | 100% | N/A | ||
| LBRT - NVIR | 12% Poorly correlated | +0.16% | ||
| SES - NVIR | 10% Poorly correlated | -35.74% | ||
| SLB - NVIR | 9% Poorly correlated | -0.10% | ||
| FLR - NVIR | 9% Poorly correlated | -2.17% | ||
| LNG - NVIR | 8% Poorly correlated | +1.63% | ||
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