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LI vs NIO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Li Auto (LI) vs. NIO (NIO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LI and NIO are Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers facing competitive pressures in a price-sensitive domestic market, with share prices trading near multi-month lows amid broader sector volatility.
- Li Auto has maintained steady monthly deliveries around 30,000 units in recent weeks while executing ongoing share repurchase programs that have supported sentiment.
- NIO reported stronger year-over-year delivery growth exceeding 70% for July, highlighting momentum in its battery-swap and premium EV strategy.
- Li Auto trades at a higher market capitalization with a focus on extended-range electric vehicles, while NIO emphasizes pure battery-electric models and infrastructure differentiation.
- Upcoming earnings releases—Li Auto on August 26 and NIO on September 1—will provide updated visibility into profitability and margins for both companies.
- Relative performance shows both stocks down substantially year-to-date, with limited differentiation in recent market activity driven by macroeconomic and competitive factors.
Introduction
Li Auto Inc. (LI) and NIO Inc. (NIO) represent two prominent players in China’s rapidly evolving electric vehicle sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent delivery trends, share-price behavior, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating exposure to Chinese EV equities. Market participants seeking to understand relative strengths in growth trajectories, operational execution, and sector-specific risks may find the analysis useful when assessing portfolio allocations or tactical trading opportunities in this segment.
Li Auto Overview and Recent Performance
Li Auto designs and manufactures premium extended-range electric SUVs primarily for the Chinese market. In recent weeks, the company has continued share repurchase activity under its Hong Kong and Nasdaq mandates, which market participants have viewed as a supportive factor amid softer delivery numbers. July 2026 vehicle deliveries reached approximately 30,468 units, consistent with prior months. The stock has traded near the lower end of its 52-week range, reflecting broader pressure on Chinese EV valuations, though buybacks have provided some stabilization. Upcoming second-quarter 2026 results, scheduled for release on August 26, are expected to offer further insight into margins and cash-flow trends.
NIO Overview and Recent Performance
NIO develops and sells premium battery-electric vehicles while operating a battery-swapping network and related services. In recent weeks, the company announced July 2026 deliveries that increased more than 70% year-over-year, signaling improved demand momentum. The stock continues to trade at depressed levels relative to historical peaks, consistent with sector-wide challenges. NIO’s second-quarter 2026 earnings release is set for September 1 and will provide updated details on revenue growth, gross margins, and cash usage. Recent market activity has centered on delivery figures and competitive positioning within China’s premium EV segment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Li Auto and NIO pursue differentiated approaches within the premium Chinese EV space. Li Auto emphasizes extended-range electric powertrains that reduce charging infrastructure dependence, while NIO prioritizes pure battery-electric vehicles supported by a proprietary battery-swap ecosystem. Recent momentum favors NIO on delivery growth metrics, whereas Li Auto has benefited from consistent buyback execution. Both companies face similar sector risks, including intense price competition, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic sensitivity in China. Market sentiment for each remains cautious, with valuations reflecting elevated uncertainty around sustained profitability. Trade-offs include Li Auto’s potentially more stable unit economics versus NIO’s higher growth potential tied to infrastructure investments.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as delivery consistency, capital-return activity, and relative price stability in recent market conditions, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to LI over NIO. This assessment reflects Li Auto’s ongoing repurchase program and more contained volatility profile compared with NIO’s sharper delivery-driven swings, though outcomes remain subject to earnings results and broader market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LI is a StrongBuy and NIO is a Buy.
| LI | NIO | LI / NIO | |
| Capitalization | 11.6B | 9.07B | 128% |
| EBITDA | -1.92B | -3.05B | 63% |
| Gain YTD | -31.187 | -29.804 | 105% |
| P/E Ratio | 99.38 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 109B | 114B | 96% |
| Total Cash | 85.6B | 43.1B | 199% |
| Total Debt | 14.7B | 29B | 51% |
LI | NIO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 87 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NIO's Valuation (71) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as LI (98) in the null industry. This means that NIO’s stock grew similarly to LI’s over the last 12 months.
NIO's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as LI (100) in the null industry. This means that NIO’s stock grew similarly to LI’s over the last 12 months.
LI's SMR Rating (91) in the null industry is in the same range as NIO (100) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that LI’s stock grew similarly to NIO’s over the last 12 months.
LI's Price Growth Rating (80) in the null industry is in the same range as NIO (87) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that LI’s stock grew similarly to NIO’s over the last 12 months.
LI's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for NIO (100) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that LI’s stock grew significantly faster than NIO’s over the last 12 months.
| LI | NIO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 88% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NIO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- LI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NIO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LI’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NIO’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NIO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LI (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -3.40% price change this week, while NIO (@Motor Vehicles) price change was -7.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was -4.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.83%.
Reported Earning Dates
LI is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
NIO is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (-4.58% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
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NIO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NIO has been loosely correlated with XPEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NIO jumps, then XPEV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NIO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIO | 100% | -3.24% | ||
| XPEV - NIO | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.18% | ||
| GP - NIO | 29% Poorly correlated | -2.48% | ||
| WKHS - NIO | 28% Poorly correlated | -1.30% | ||
| CENN - NIO | 28% Poorly correlated | -4.32% | ||
| TSLA - NIO | 25% Poorly correlated | -1.16% | ||
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