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LII vs TT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lennox International (LII) vs. Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Lennox International (LII) is a North American-focused climate-control provider, while Trane Technologies (TT) operates a larger, more globally diversified HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) and transport-refrigeration business.
- Trane has recently shown stronger demand momentum, reporting record bookings and backlog, whereas Lennox has trimmed its full-year adjusted earnings-per-share (EPS) outlook amid softer residential volumes.
- Both companies are benefiting from commercial HVAC strength and data-center cooling demand, but Trane's exposure to these secular trends is broader and more established.
- Lennox is leaning on acquisitions and its faster-growing commercial "Building Climate Solutions" segment to offset weakness in residential construction.
- Relative performance and market positioning currently tilt in Trane's favor, though Lennox retains solid profitability and a focused growth roadmap.
Introduction
Lennox International and Trane Technologies are two of the most prominent names in climate-control equipment, making them a natural pairing for a stock comparison. Both companies manufacture and service heating, cooling, ventilation, and refrigeration systems, and both are leveraged to long-term trends such as energy efficiency, electrification, and data-center cooling. This comparison is relevant to investors and traders seeking to understand how a more domestically concentrated player (LII) stacks up against a larger, more diversified global climate innovator (TT). Evaluating their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning can help clarify which name may offer more compelling risk-adjusted prospects in the current environment.
LII Overview and Recent Performance
Lennox International is a leader in energy-efficient climate solutions, serving both residential and commercial customers with heating, cooling, indoor air quality, refrigeration, and water-heating systems. The company operates primarily in North America and has historically generated a substantial share of its revenue from residential HVAC equipment.
Recent market activity has reflected a mixed fundamental picture. Lennox reported solid second-quarter results, with revenue rising modestly year over year and earnings per share exceeding consensus estimates. However, the company simultaneously trimmed its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $23.00 to $24.00, down from a prior $23.50 to $25.00, while reaffirming approximately 8% revenue growth that includes a meaningful contribution from completed acquisitions. Sentiment has been shaped by divergent segment trends: the "Building Climate Solutions" commercial segment posted strong double-digit revenue growth, but the residential "Home Comfort Solutions" segment faced weaker unit volumes and softness in residential new construction. Lennox has also outlined longer-term 2030 targets, including revenue of $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion and segment margins of 22% to 23%, signaling confidence in its strategic roadmap.
TT Overview and Recent Performance
Trane Technologies is a global climate innovator whose strategic brands, Trane and Thermo King, span commercial and residential HVAC, building controls, energy services, and transport refrigeration. Its geographic footprint extends across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific, giving it diversification that Lennox does not match.
Recent results have been notably strong. In its latest reported quarters, Trane delivered double-digit revenue growth, record bookings, and a record backlog exceeding $12 billion, driven primarily by exceptional demand in its Americas Commercial HVAC business. Management has raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance, and the company has pointed to broad-based demand across data centers, schools, offices, warehouses, and high-tech industrial projects. Applied equipment orders have surged, reflecting the buildout of AI (artificial intelligence) and cloud-driven cooling infrastructure. Trane also reinforced its position through acquisitions such as Stellar Energy Americas and BrainBox AI. While margin pressure from inflation and elevated reinvestment has tempered profit conversion, the company's book-to-bill ratio (new orders relative to revenue) remains well above 100%, indicating a healthy demand pipeline.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is scale and diversification. Trane Technologies is a much larger enterprise with a global footprint, while Lennox International is more concentrated in North America and carries greater relative exposure to the residential HVAC cycle. This distinction has been visible in recent momentum: Trane's record backlog and double-digit revenue growth have outpaced Lennox's more measured expansion, while Lennox has contended with softer residential volumes and a modest guidance reduction.
Growth drivers also differ in emphasis. Trane is directly levered to data-center cooling, applied equipment, and recurring services, which have propelled its commercial bookings. Lennox is pivoting toward commercial climate solutions and acquisitions to offset residential softness, and it is entering the North American water-heating market. On risk, both face input-cost inflation, tariff exposure, and cyclical housing demand, but Lennox's narrower geographic and end-market focus makes it more sensitive to U.S. residential construction trends. In terms of sector exposure, both participate in the same HVAC industry, yet their market positioning and sentiment currently reflect Trane's stronger demand visibility versus Lennox's more transitional mix.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, demand momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor TT in the current environment. Trane's record backlog, raised guidance, robust book-to-bill ratio, and direct exposure to secular data-center and electrification themes point to steadier near-term catalysts than Lennox's more mixed segment performance. Lennox, by contrast, shows a developing commercial growth story but remains weighed down by residential weakness and a trimmed EPS outlook. That said, relative strength can shift quickly, and Lennox's acquisitions and commercial expansion could narrow the gap over time. The assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting the balance of trend consistency and stability that currently appears more favorable for Trane.
Disclaimer
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LII is a StrongBuy and TT is a StrongBuy.
LII | TT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 49 Fair valued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LII's Valuation (49) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TT (78) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for LII (86) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT’s stock grew significantly faster than LII’s over the last 12 months.
LII's SMR Rating (17) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TT (29) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Price Growth Rating (49) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (77) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT’s stock grew similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
TT's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LII (70) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT’s stock grew somewhat faster than LII’s over the last 12 months.
| LII | TT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 66% | 13 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LII’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LII’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LII (@Building Products) experienced а +4.05% price change this week, while TT (@Building Products) price change was +5.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -0.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
LII is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
TT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-0.27% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
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LII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LII has been closely correlated with CARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LII jumps, then CARR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LII | 100% | +1.63% | ||
| CARR - LII | 69% Closely correlated | +2.73% | ||
| MAS - LII | 66% Closely correlated | +2.29% | ||
| IR - LII | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.74% | ||
| TT - LII | 62% Loosely correlated | +3.63% | ||
| BLDR - LII | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.53% | ||
More | ||||
TT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TT has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TT jumps, then IR could also see price increases.