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LII vs TT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lennox International (LII) vs. Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Lennox International (LII) is trading in a pronounced downtrend, down roughly 26% year-to-date and about 31% over the past 12 months, with price below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages.
- Trane Technologies (TT) has delivered relative strength, up roughly 19% year-to-date and trading near its 52-week high while holding above both key moving averages.
- The two companies are direct competitors in heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), yet their scale differs sharply: TT carries a market value near $102 billion versus approximately $12 billion for LII.
- LII recently lowered its full-year earnings guidance amid housing-related softness, while TT continues to benefit from commercial and data-center cooling demand.
- Valuations diverge materially, with LII near a mid-teens P/E ratio and TT near the mid-30s, reflecting different growth expectations.
- On trend consistency, relative strength, and positioning, TT currently holds the more favorable technical and momentum profile.
Introduction
Lennox International and Trane Technologies are two of the most widely followed names in the global heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) industry, a sector shaped by replacement cycles, energy-efficiency regulation, and rising demand for commercial and data-center cooling. This stock comparison examines how LII and TT are positioned in the current market environment. Investors weighing relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning between a smaller, residential-heavy operator and a large, diversified HVAC and transport-refrigeration leader may find this analysis useful.
LII Overview and Recent Performance
LII, or Lennox International, designs and manufactures residential and commercial heating, cooling, and refrigeration equipment, distributing primarily through independent dealers across North America. The company's business leans toward residential replacement demand, making it sensitive to housing activity and consumer spending.
Recent market activity has been challenging for the stock. Over the past 12 months, LII has declined roughly 31%, and it entered recent weeks trading below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages—a configuration often read as a persistent downtrend. The company trimmed its full-year 2026 earnings guidance, moving its earnings-per-share (EPS) range to approximately $23.00–$24.00 from a prior $23.50–$25.00, a move analysts attributed to softer housing-related end markets. Despite the weakness, the company continues to return capital through a growing dividend and share repurchases, and its valuation has compressed to a mid-teens price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which some observers view as a more conservative entry point.
TT Overview and Recent Performance
TT, or Trane Technologies, is a global climate-solutions company spanning commercial and residential HVAC as well as Thermo King transport refrigeration. Its larger, more diversified footprint includes meaningful exposure to commercial buildings, industrial facilities, and the fast-growing data-center cooling market.
The stock has shown comparatively strong momentum. TT is up roughly 19% year-to-date and has gained about 12% over the trailing year, recently trading within single-digit percentage points of its 52-week high. Price has remained above both the 20-day and 200-day moving averages, a signal of sustained relative strength. Demand drivers such as energy-efficiency retrofits and expanding data-center capacity have supported sentiment, and the company's quarterly results have generally met or modestly exceeded consensus estimates. With a market value near $102 billion and a P/E ratio in the mid-30s, investors are pricing in a premium for TT's growth profile and commercial diversification.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most striking contrast between LII and TT is one of momentum and market positioning. TT is roughly nine times larger by market capitalization and carries a materially higher earnings multiple, reflecting investor confidence in its commercial and data-center growth drivers. LII, by contrast, trades at a compressed valuation as its residential-focused business navigates softer housing demand and a guidance reset.
Business-model differences reinforce this divergence. LII is more concentrated in North American residential replacement cycles, which makes it efficient but more cyclical. TT's mix spans commercial HVAC, controls, and transport refrigeration, offering broader geographic and end-market diversification. On risk, LII's guidance cut and its position below long-term moving averages suggest greater near-term uncertainty, while TT's premium valuation means expectations are higher and any disappointment could carry a larger downside. In short, investors are effectively choosing between a cheaper, more challenged turnaround candidate and a pricier, trend-confirmed leader.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors—trend consistency, moving-average posture, relative performance, and catalyst clarity—Tickeron's AI would likely favor TT in the current environment. The stock's position above both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages, its positive year-to-date return, and its proximity to recent highs indicate a stronger, more stable trend than LII's persistent downtrend. The AI framework tends to weight the confirmation of an existing trend and the presence of sustained growth catalysts, both of which currently align more clearly with TT. That said, the assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: LII's lower valuation could appeal to value-oriented strategies, and any shift in housing data or a positive earnings surprise could alter the relative picture.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LII is a StrongBuy and TT is a Buy.
LII's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for LII moved out of oversold territory on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 17 of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 58 cases where LII's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +2.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LII advanced for three days, in 220 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LII as a result. In 60 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LII declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for LII entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LII’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.479) is normal, around the industry mean (3.054). P/E Ratio (15.736) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.118). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.934) is also within normal values, averaging (1.212). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.387) is also within normal values, averaging (2.201).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LII’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
TT in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026
TT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 36 cases where TT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
TT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +1.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TT advanced for three days, in 230 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 166 of 267 cases where TT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TT moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 50%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 62 cases where TT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TT as a result. In 52 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TT turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.866) is normal, around the industry mean (3.054). P/E Ratio (34.965) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.118). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.596) is also within normal values, averaging (1.212). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. TT's P/S Ratio (4.241) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.201).
LII | TT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LII's Valuation (78) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TT (87) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for LII (84) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT’s stock grew significantly faster than LII’s over the last 12 months.
LII's SMR Rating (17) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TT (28) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
LII's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TT (50) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LII (76) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT’s stock grew somewhat faster than LII’s over the last 12 months.
| LII | TT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 66% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 6 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 7 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LII’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- LII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LII’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LII’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LII (@Building Products) experienced а -0.26% price change this week, while TT (@Building Products) price change was -2.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -1.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.19%.
Reported Earning Dates
LII is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
TT is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-1.69% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
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LII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LII has been closely correlated with CARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LII jumps, then CARR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LII | 100% | -0.55% | ||
| CARR - LII | 69% Closely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| MAS - LII | 66% Closely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| IR - LII | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| TT - LII | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.34% | ||
| BLDR - LII | 60% Loosely correlated | -3.11% | ||
More | ||||
TT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TT has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TT jumps, then IR could also see price increases.