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CARR vs LII
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) vs. Lennox International Inc. (LII) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CARR and LII operate in the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) sector, with CARR maintaining a significantly larger market capitalization.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks preparing for second-quarter 2026 earnings releases in late July, with CARR reporting on July 28 and LII on July 29.
- CARR announced the acquisition of 75F in late July 2026 to strengthen its intelligent building solutions, while LII completed an agreement to acquire Heat Controller in June 2026 to expand its distributor network.
- Year-to-date performance indicates modest gains for LII around 10%, with CARR showing relative outperformance over the trailing twelve months in certain comparative analyses.
- Sector exposure remains similar, though CARR benefits from broader global commercial HVAC and aftermarket operations, while LII focuses more on residential and light commercial solutions.
- Market sentiment reflects ongoing macroeconomic considerations, including inventory levels and end-market demand affecting both companies.
Introduction
This comparison examines CARR and LII, two established players in the HVACR industry, to provide traders and investors with a clear view of their relative positioning. The analysis focuses on recent performance trends, business developments, and sector dynamics within the past several weeks. Institutional and retail investors seeking to evaluate exposure to climate control solutions, growth through acquisitions, and earnings catalysts may find this overview relevant for portfolio construction or tactical allocation decisions in the current market environment.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE: CARR) delivers intelligent climate and energy solutions across residential, commercial, and industrial markets worldwide. In recent weeks, the company has advanced its strategic initiatives with the completion of the Riello business sale and the July 23, 2026, acquisition of 75F, enhancing capabilities in intelligent building management. CARR also scheduled its second-quarter 2026 earnings release for July 28, 2026, alongside a dividend declaration. Market activity has reflected these developments amid broader sector considerations, with performance influenced by global commercial HVAC demand and aftermarket services. Sentiment has incorporated both operational streamlining and expansion into digital solutions.
LII Overview and Recent Performance
Lennox International Inc. (NYSE: LII) provides energy-efficient building and home comfort solutions, primarily serving North American residential and light commercial markets. Recent developments include the June 2026 agreement to acquire Heat Controller, expanding access to distributors through established brands, and the one-year anniversary of its Ariston joint venture. LII is set to report second-quarter 2026 results on July 29, 2026, with analysts projecting revenue of approximately $1.56 billion and EPS of $7.65. Stock behavior in recent market activity has shown resilience relative to the broader construction sector, with year-to-date gains near 10%, tempered by longer-term comparisons and inventory dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CARR operates at a larger scale with a market capitalization exceeding $57 billion, offering broader geographic reach and diversified exposure across commercial HVAC, refrigeration, and aftermarket services compared to LII’s more concentrated North American focus and approximately $18-19 billion capitalization. Both companies pursue growth through acquisitions, yet CARR’s recent emphasis on intelligent building technology contrasts with LII’s distributor network expansion. Recent momentum has favored CARR in twelve-month relative returns in some analyses, while LII has posted stronger year-to-date gains amid earnings expectations. Risk factors include shared sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions, channel inventory levels, and construction demand, with LII showing higher historical volatility in certain periods. Market sentiment reflects comparable sector tailwinds from energy efficiency trends, balanced against near-term earnings scrutiny for both.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent acquisition catalysts, earnings timing proximity, and relative trend consistency in the HVACR sector, Tickeron’s AI models indicate a probabilistic preference for CARR in the current environment due to its scale, diversification, and timely strategic moves. LII presents competitive positioning through focused execution and earnings visibility. Outcomes remain subject to forthcoming results and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CARR is a StrongBuy and LII is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLII’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LII’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а -0.95% price change this week, while LII (@Building Products) price change was -4.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -3.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.91%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
LII is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-3.55% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
| CARR | LII | CARR / LII | |
| Capitalization | 52.2B | 14.5B | 360% |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 1.17B | 264% |
| Gain YTD | 21.268 | -13.393 | -159% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.25 | 18.58 | 243% |
| Revenue | 22.1B | 5.3B | 417% |
| Total Cash | 1.34B | 52.1M | 2,580% |
| Total Debt | 12.4B | 2.03B | 612% |
CARR | LII | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 82 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (29) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (58) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's Profit vs Risk Rating (67) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (72) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
LII's SMR Rating (16) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (76) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's Price Growth Rating (61) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (82) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LII (81) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew somewhat faster than LII’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | LII | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 65% | 10 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 68% |
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CARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CARR has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CARR jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CARR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR | 100% | +0.43% | ||
| IR - CARR | 76% Closely correlated | -0.54% | ||
| LII - CARR | 69% Closely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| TT - CARR | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| BXC - CARR | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| JCI - CARR | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.88% | ||
More | ||||
LII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LII has been closely correlated with CARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LII jumps, then CARR could also see price increases.