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CARR vs LII
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carrier Global (CARR) vs. Lennox International (LII) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CARR has shown stronger year-to-date performance at approximately 22% gain, outpacing LII's 8% rise, amid robust demand in data centers and climate solutions.
- Recent quarterly earnings for both beat estimates: CARR with 2.4% revenue growth to $5.34B and LII with 5.8% to $1.14B, highlighting resilience in the HVAC sector.
- LII trades at a lower P/E ratio around 23-24x versus CARR's 44x, suggesting relatively better valuation despite higher margins.
- Both stocks operate in building products and equipment (industrials sector), but CARR benefits from global scale while LII focuses on North American residential and commercial HVAC.
- Analyst targets indicate modest upside for both, with LII at around $575 (10% potential) and CARR at $70 (5-10%).
- Recent market activity reflects sector tailwinds from energy efficiency demands, though CARR shows higher volatility with a beta of 1.38 versus LII's 1.23.
Introduction
Carrier Global (CARR) and Lennox International (LII) are key players in the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) industry, operating within the building products and equipment segment of industrials. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid rising demand for energy-efficient climate solutions driven by data centers, sustainability trends, and residential/commercial upgrades. Traders seeking momentum in cyclical sectors and long-term investors focused on HVAC growth will find insights into relative strengths, valuations, and sentiment shifts valuable for portfolio decisions in the current environment.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is a global leader in intelligent climate and energy solutions, serving residential, commercial, and transportation markets across the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, and beyond. With about 47,000 employees, it offers HVAC systems, heat pumps, refrigeration, and building automation under brands like Carrier and Viessmann. In recent market activity, CARR stock has exhibited upward momentum, posting around 22% YTD gains and 14-18% over the past month, though down roughly 6-10% over the past year. Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations with revenue of $5.34 billion (up 2.4% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.57 (12% above consensus), fueled by strong data center cooling demand despite EPS pressures and modest organic growth. Sentiment has been buoyed by reiterated full-year guidance of $22 billion in revenue and $2.80 adjusted EPS midpoint, alongside aftermarket services and energy-efficient innovations, though higher P/E reflects growth premium.
LII Overview and Recent Performance
Lennox International Inc. (LII) designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products primarily for North American residential and commercial markets, with segments in home comfort, building climate solutions, and refrigeration. Employing around 5,400, it provides furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, and controls under brands like Lennox, Armstrong Air, and Heatcraft. Recent weeks have seen LII stock gain about 8-9% YTD and 9% monthly, trading around $520 with a 52-week range of $434-$689, though down 6-9% annually. Q1 2026 results exceeded forecasts with $1.14 billion revenue (up 5.8% YoY, 6.5% beat) and GAAP EPS of $3.35 (6.7% above estimates), prompting raised full-year revenue growth to 8% while holding EPS at $23.50-$25.00 amid cost headwinds. Performance reflects strength in building climate solutions (up 38% QoQ) and operational efficiency, supporting positive sentiment despite residential cycle risks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CARR and LII thrive in HVACR amid energy efficiency and data center booms, but differ in scale and focus: CARR's global footprint ($22B revenue) contrasts LII's North America-centric model ($5B+). Growth drivers include CARR's transportation refrigeration and international expansion versus LII's residential heat pumps. Recent momentum favors CARR (22% YTD vs. 8%), but LII offers superior margins (19.7% operating) and lower P/E (23x vs. 44x), implying better value. Risks for CARR involve organic growth slowdowns; LII faces residential downturns. Sector exposure is similar (industrials), but CARR edges in diversification, while sentiment tilts to LII's efficiency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CARR due to superior recent trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and catalysts like data center demand positioning it favorably in global HVAC growth. While LII exhibits stability and attractive valuation, CARR's scale and momentum suggest higher probability of near-term upside in probabilistic terms, based on observable earnings beats and market positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CARR is a StrongBuy and LII is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileLII’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- LII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LII’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а -6.28% price change this week, while LII (@Building Products) price change was -5.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -1.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +21.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
LII is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-1.86% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
| CARR | LII | CARR / LII | |
| Capitalization | 51B | 16.8B | 304% |
| EBITDA | 3.16B | 1.15B | 274% |
| Gain YTD | 17.190 | -0.303 | -5,669% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.96 | 21.44 | 191% |
| Revenue | 21.9B | 5.26B | 417% |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | 50.2M | 2,731% |
| Total Debt | 12.6B | 1.96B | 645% |
CARR | LII | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 58 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (60) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (73) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
LII's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as CARR (59) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
LII's SMR Rating (15) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (71) in the null industry. This means that LII’s stock grew somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's Price Growth Rating (49) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (58) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's P/E Growth Rating (70) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (71) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | LII | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 15 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 8 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 67% |
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LII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LII has been closely correlated with CARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LII jumps, then CARR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LII | 100% | -3.73% | ||
| CARR - LII | 74% Closely correlated | -4.76% | ||
| IR - LII | 64% Loosely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| OC - LII | 62% Loosely correlated | -3.79% | ||
| FBIN - LII | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| MAS - LII | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.62% | ||
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