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LOAR vs TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) vs. TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LOAR and TDG operate in the aerospace and defense components sector, supplying original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket customers.
- TDG maintains a significantly larger market capitalization and more established acquisition-driven growth model compared to the smaller, more focused LOAR.
- Recent market activity shows LOAR trading in a mid-range of its 52-week performance, while TDG has experienced volatility amid broader sector dynamics.
- Upcoming earnings reports—TDG on August 4, 2026, and LOAR on August 6, 2026—represent key near-term catalysts for both companies.
- Sector exposure to commercial aerospace recovery and defense spending provides common tailwinds, though scale and leverage profiles differ materially.
- Relative performance reflects trade-offs between LOAR’s growth potential and TDG’s operational scale and aftermarket margins.
Introduction
This comparison examines LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) and TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated), two aerospace and defense suppliers with overlapping end markets but differing scales and strategies. Investors and traders focused on the sector may find the analysis relevant for assessing relative momentum, business model contrasts, and positioning ahead of earnings. The review emphasizes verifiable recent developments and observable market factors without forward-looking projections.
LOAR Overview and Recent Performance
Loar Holdings Inc. manufactures and supplies specialized aerospace and defense components to OEMs, Tier One suppliers, and airline customers globally. The company has reported record results in prior periods, with upward revisions to its full-year 2026 outlook announced earlier in the year. In recent market activity, LOAR shares have traded within a broad 52-week range, showing moderate volatility consistent with mid-cap growth stocks in the sector. Sentiment has been influenced by ongoing commercial aerospace recovery and defense demand, alongside typical post-earnings digestion. The stock’s performance reflects its smaller scale relative to larger peers and sensitivity to broader market rotations in industrials.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered aircraft components for commercial and military applications, with a notable emphasis on aftermarket revenue streams. The company has raised full-year revenue guidance following strong fiscal results earlier in 2026 and maintains an active acquisition pipeline. In recent weeks, TDG shares have experienced price fluctuations amid sector movements and technical levels, with the stock trading near recent highs but subject to volatility typical of large-cap names with elevated leverage. Market sentiment draws from sustained air traffic growth, defense budget priorities, and anticipation surrounding the upcoming fiscal third-quarter earnings release.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LOAR and TDG share exposure to aerospace OEM and aftermarket demand, yet differ in scale and execution. TDG employs a larger, acquisition-oriented model that has driven substantial revenue growth through bolt-on deals, while LOAR maintains a more concentrated portfolio of specialized products. Recent momentum for both has been supported by sector recovery, though TDG’s higher leverage introduces distinct risk factors compared to LOAR’s relatively lower beta profile. Market sentiment reflects common defense and commercial tailwinds, with trade-offs centering on TDG’s established aftermarket margins versus LOAR’s potential for agile growth at smaller capitalization. Earnings timing and sector rotation remain key variables influencing short-term relative performance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent market activity, earnings stability, and relative positioning within the aerospace sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to TDG due to its scale, aftermarket exposure, and guidance history. However, LOAR could see favorable shifts depending on execution in upcoming results and sector sentiment. This assessment relies on current data patterns and does not constitute investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LOAR is a Hold and TDG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LOAR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTDG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LOAR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LOAR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TDG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LOAR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LOAR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +3.54% price change this week, while TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +5.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
TDG is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+5.58% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| LOAR | TDG | LOAR / TDG | |
| Capitalization | 6.64B | 67.7B | 10% |
| EBITDA | 171M | 4.83B | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 4.221 | -7.866 | -54% |
| P/E Ratio | 99.82 | 37.16 | 269% |
| Revenue | 538M | 9.5B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 94.9M | 3.88B | 2% |
| Total Debt | 960M | 32B | 3% |
TDG | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 6 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| LOAR | TDG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 80% | 8 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 6 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 63% |
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LOAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOAR has been loosely correlated with VSEC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LOAR jumps, then VSEC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LOAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOAR | 100% | -2.30% | ||
| VSEC - LOAR | 64% Loosely correlated | -3.22% | ||
| SARO - LOAR | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.70% | ||
| GE - LOAR | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| HEI - LOAR | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| AIR - LOAR | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.28% | ||
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TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | -2.92% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| LOAR - TDG | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.30% | ||
| VSEC - TDG | 45% Loosely correlated | -3.22% | ||
| GE - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 41% Loosely correlated | -2.70% | ||
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