LOAR
Price
$70.92
Change
+$0.99 (+1.42%)
Updated
Jul 21, 02:18 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
6.55B
29 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TDG
Price
$1207.08
Change
+$2.35 (+0.20%)
Updated
Jul 21, 02:30 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
67.38B
21 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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LOAR vs TDG

LOAR vs TDG Comparison Chart in %
View a ticker or compare two or three
Jul 19, 2026

Which Stock Would AI Choose? Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) vs. TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • Loar Holdings (LOAR) delivered record full-year 2025 results with net sales of $496 million, reflecting 23% year-over-year growth and an Adjusted EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) margin of approximately 38%.
  • TransDigm Group (TDG) reported fiscal 2025 net sales of $8.8 billion with an industry-leading EBITDA As Defined margin above 53%, underscoring its dominant scale in aerospace components.
  • LOAR is in an aggressive growth phase, using acquisitions such as LMB Fans & Motors and Harper Engineering to expand its platform, while TDG deploys capital through large-scale M&A (Mergers and Acquisitions) and shareholder returns including a $90 per-share special dividend.
  • Both companies benefit from strong commercial aerospace aftermarket demand and rising defense spending, though TDG's established profitability and LOAR's higher growth trajectory create distinct risk-reward profiles.
  • TDG's fiscal 2026 guidance projects net sales approaching $10 billion, while LOAR's revised 2026 outlook points to approximately $645 million in net sales at the midpoint, reflecting their vastly different stages of maturity.
  • For investors, the comparison comes down to choosing between an established, cash-generating compounder (TDG) and a smaller, rapidly scaling competitor with significant margin expansion potential (LOAR).

Introduction

Both LOAR and TDG operate in the aerospace and defense component sector, yet they represent two very different investment propositions. LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) is a relatively new public company that went public in 2024 and has been scaling rapidly through organic growth and strategic acquisitions. TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated) is a long-established industry giant with a market capitalization above $70 billion and a multi-decade track record of compounding returns. This stock comparison examines how these two aerospace suppliers stack up across growth dynamics, profitability, capital allocation, and market positioning — helping traders and investors assess which company may better fit their portfolio objectives in the current environment.

LOAR Overview and Recent Performance

LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) is a specialized aerospace and defense component supplier that designs and manufactures highly engineered proprietary products for commercial aviation and defense platforms. Since its 2024 initial public offering, the company has consistently raised its financial guidance across successive quarters. In its most recent full-year 2025 report, Loar posted net sales of $496.3 million — a 23.2% increase over the prior year — alongside net income of $72.1 million and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 38.1%. Organic sales growth of 12.7% demonstrated that expansion is not solely acquisition-driven.

In recent months, Loar completed the acquisitions of LMB Fans & Motors and Harper Engineering, funded partly through $685 million in incremental debt. These deals are expected to be accretive to earnings within the first year post-acquisition. Management revised its full-year 2026 outlook upward, projecting net sales between $640 million and $650 million and an Adjusted EBITDA margin approaching 40%. The company's three end markets — commercial OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer), commercial aftermarket, and defense — all showed double-digit growth during 2025, reflecting favorable secular tailwinds in global air travel and defense budgets. The increased debt load and associated interest expense (~$80 million projected for 2026) represent a near-term earnings headwind that investors are weighing against the expanded growth platform.

TDG Overview and Recent Performance

TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated) is a global leader in highly engineered aircraft components, serving both commercial and military aviation markets. With fiscal 2025 net sales of $8.83 billion, net income of $2.07 billion, and an EBITDA As Defined margin of 53.9%, TransDigm consistently ranks among the most profitable companies in the aerospace sector. Its business model is built on proprietary, sole-source products that generate substantial aftermarket revenue — a characteristic that supports pricing power and recurring cash flows.

In recent months, TransDigm has executed on multiple fronts. The company deployed approximately $6.7 billion of capital in fiscal 2025, including a $5.2 billion special dividend ($90 per share), $600 million in share repurchases, and roughly $900 million across two acquisitions. Subsequent to the end of its fiscal year, TDG announced agreements to acquire Stellant Systems, Jet Parts Engineering, and Victor Sierra for an aggregate of approximately $3.2 billion. Fiscal 2026 guidance was raised in early February, with net sales now expected in the range of $9.85 billion to $10.04 billion and EBITDA As Defined projected between $5.14 billion and $5.28 billion. The commercial OEM channel has returned to double-digit growth, while aftermarket and defense segments continue to perform at high single-digit rates.

Trending AI Robots

For traders seeking an automated, data-driven approach to navigating the aerospace sector and beyond, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page offers a curated selection of AI-powered trading bots. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI trading bots covering thousands of different tickers, but only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with current market conditions earn a place in this featured section. These bots span a wide variety of trading styles — from short-term momentum and swing trading to longer-term trend-following strategies — and they trade across multiple timeframes, sectors, and asset classes. Each bot displays transparent performance statistics, including trade history, win rates, and risk metrics, helping users identify strategies that match their objectives. Exploring the Trending AI Robots section can provide a useful complement to fundamental research by offering systematic, algorithm-driven perspectives on stock selection and market timing.

Head-to-Head Comparison

The most striking difference between LOAR and TDG is scale. TransDigm generates more than 17 times Loar's annual revenue and operates with EBITDA margins that are approximately 14 percentage points higher. This profitability gap reflects TDG's mature operating leverage, decades of acquisition integration experience, and the pricing power inherent in its larger portfolio of proprietary aftermarket products. Loar, by contrast, is earlier in its corporate lifecycle — growing faster on a percentage basis but carrying lower absolute margins and higher relative leverage from recent acquisition financing.

From a capital allocation perspective, TDG has demonstrated a willingness to return substantial cash to shareholders through special dividends and buybacks, while also maintaining the firepower for multi-billion-dollar acquisitions. Loar is reinvesting aggressively into its M&A playbook, having completed 18 acquisitions since 2012, with debt-funded deals temporarily compressing net income even as Adjusted EBITDA expands. Risk profiles also differ: TDG's size and diversification provide resilience against program-specific headwinds, while Loar's smaller base means individual contract wins or losses can have a proportionally larger impact. Both companies are levered to the same aerospace upcycle, but they offer different trade-offs between growth trajectory and financial stability.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable trend consistency, margin stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely favor TDG in the current environment — particularly for risk-conscious investors. TransDigm's combination of a 53%-plus EBITDA margin, double-digit organic sales growth across all three market channels, and a long-established pattern of compounding shareholder returns through disciplined capital allocation presents a probabilistically more consistent near-term trajectory. That said, LOAR may register more favorably in AI models optimized for momentum and growth acceleration, given its higher revenue growth rates and expanding margin profile as acquisition synergies materialize. The AI verdict ultimately depends on which factors a given model weights most heavily: trend stability and profitability favor TDG, while growth momentum and margin expansion potential tilt toward LOAR.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
LOAR vs. TDG commentary
Jul 21, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LOAR is a Hold and TDG is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jul 21, 2026
Stock price -- (LOAR: $69.93 vs. TDG: $1204.73)
Brand notoriety: LOAR and TDG are both not notable
Both companies represent the Aerospace & Defense industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: LOAR: 62% vs. TDG: 87%
Market capitalization -- LOAR: $6.55B vs. TDG: $67.38B
LOAR [@Aerospace & Defense] is valued at $6.55B. TDG’s [@Aerospace & Defense] market capitalization is $67.38B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Aerospace & Defense] industry ranges from $1.58T to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Aerospace & Defense] industry is $37.86B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

LOAR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTDG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).

  • LOAR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
  • TDG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
According to our system of comparison, TDG is a better buy in the long-term than LOAR.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

LOAR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TDG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • LOAR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • TDG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, TDG is a better buy in the short-term than LOAR.

Price Growth

LOAR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.77% price change this week, while TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.45% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -2.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.64%.

Reported Earning Dates

LOAR is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.

TDG is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Aerospace & Defense (-2.57% weekly)

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
TDG($67.4B) has a higher market cap than LOAR($6.55B). LOAR has higher P/E ratio than TDG: LOAR (98.49) vs TDG (37.60). LOAR YTD gains are higher at: 2.838 vs. TDG (-9.409). TDG has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 4.83B vs. LOAR (171M). TDG has more cash in the bank: 3.88B vs. LOAR (94.9M). LOAR has less debt than TDG: LOAR (960M) vs TDG (32B). TDG has higher revenues than LOAR: TDG (9.5B) vs LOAR (538M).
LOARTDGLOAR / TDG
Capitalization6.55B67.4B10%
EBITDA171M4.83B4%
Gain YTD2.838-9.409-30%
P/E Ratio98.4937.60262%
Revenue538M9.5B6%
Total Cash94.9M3.88B2%
Total Debt960M32B3%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
TDG: Fundamental Ratings
TDG
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
63
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
14
Undervalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
29
SMR RATING
1..100
16
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
62
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
81
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
LOARTDG
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
70%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
42%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
59%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
51%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
54%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 12 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 27 days ago
66%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 6 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
51%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
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LOAR
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TDG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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LOAR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOAR has been loosely correlated with VSEC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LOAR jumps, then VSEC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To LOAR
1D Price
Change %
LOAR100%
-0.09%
VSEC - LOAR
64%
Loosely correlated
-2.51%
SARO - LOAR
58%
Loosely correlated
-0.30%
HEI - LOAR
57%
Loosely correlated
-0.65%
AIR - LOAR
57%
Loosely correlated
+0.26%
GE - LOAR
54%
Loosely correlated
-2.16%
More

TDG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TDG
1D Price
Change %
TDG100%
-0.80%
HEI - TDG
52%
Loosely correlated
-0.65%
LOAR - TDG
45%
Loosely correlated
-0.09%
VSEC - TDG
43%
Loosely correlated
-2.51%
GE - TDG
43%
Loosely correlated
-2.16%
AIR - TDG
40%
Loosely correlated
+0.26%
More