Both LOAR and TDG operate in the aerospace and defense component sector, yet they represent two very different investment propositions. LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) is a relatively new public company that went public in 2024 and has been scaling rapidly through organic growth and strategic acquisitions. TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated) is a long-established industry giant with a market capitalization above $70 billion and a multi-decade track record of compounding returns. This stock comparison examines how these two aerospace suppliers stack up across growth dynamics, profitability, capital allocation, and market positioning — helping traders and investors assess which company may better fit their portfolio objectives in the current environment.
LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) is a specialized aerospace and defense component supplier that designs and manufactures highly engineered proprietary products for commercial aviation and defense platforms. Since its 2024 initial public offering, the company has consistently raised its financial guidance across successive quarters. In its most recent full-year 2025 report, Loar posted net sales of $496.3 million — a 23.2% increase over the prior year — alongside net income of $72.1 million and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 38.1%. Organic sales growth of 12.7% demonstrated that expansion is not solely acquisition-driven.
In recent months, Loar completed the acquisitions of LMB Fans & Motors and Harper Engineering, funded partly through $685 million in incremental debt. These deals are expected to be accretive to earnings within the first year post-acquisition. Management revised its full-year 2026 outlook upward, projecting net sales between $640 million and $650 million and an Adjusted EBITDA margin approaching 40%. The company's three end markets — commercial OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer), commercial aftermarket, and defense — all showed double-digit growth during 2025, reflecting favorable secular tailwinds in global air travel and defense budgets. The increased debt load and associated interest expense (~$80 million projected for 2026) represent a near-term earnings headwind that investors are weighing against the expanded growth platform.
TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated) is a global leader in highly engineered aircraft components, serving both commercial and military aviation markets. With fiscal 2025 net sales of $8.83 billion, net income of $2.07 billion, and an EBITDA As Defined margin of 53.9%, TransDigm consistently ranks among the most profitable companies in the aerospace sector. Its business model is built on proprietary, sole-source products that generate substantial aftermarket revenue — a characteristic that supports pricing power and recurring cash flows.
In recent months, TransDigm has executed on multiple fronts. The company deployed approximately $6.7 billion of capital in fiscal 2025, including a $5.2 billion special dividend ($90 per share), $600 million in share repurchases, and roughly $900 million across two acquisitions. Subsequent to the end of its fiscal year, TDG announced agreements to acquire Stellant Systems, Jet Parts Engineering, and Victor Sierra for an aggregate of approximately $3.2 billion. Fiscal 2026 guidance was raised in early February, with net sales now expected in the range of $9.85 billion to $10.04 billion and EBITDA As Defined projected between $5.14 billion and $5.28 billion. The commercial OEM channel has returned to double-digit growth, while aftermarket and defense segments continue to perform at high single-digit rates.
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The most striking difference between LOAR and TDG is scale. TransDigm generates more than 17 times Loar's annual revenue and operates with EBITDA margins that are approximately 14 percentage points higher. This profitability gap reflects TDG's mature operating leverage, decades of acquisition integration experience, and the pricing power inherent in its larger portfolio of proprietary aftermarket products. Loar, by contrast, is earlier in its corporate lifecycle — growing faster on a percentage basis but carrying lower absolute margins and higher relative leverage from recent acquisition financing.
From a capital allocation perspective, TDG has demonstrated a willingness to return substantial cash to shareholders through special dividends and buybacks, while also maintaining the firepower for multi-billion-dollar acquisitions. Loar is reinvesting aggressively into its M&A playbook, having completed 18 acquisitions since 2012, with debt-funded deals temporarily compressing net income even as Adjusted EBITDA expands. Risk profiles also differ: TDG's size and diversification provide resilience against program-specific headwinds, while Loar's smaller base means individual contract wins or losses can have a proportionally larger impact. Both companies are levered to the same aerospace upcycle, but they offer different trade-offs between growth trajectory and financial stability.
Based on observable trend consistency, margin stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely favor TDG in the current environment — particularly for risk-conscious investors. TransDigm's combination of a 53%-plus EBITDA margin, double-digit organic sales growth across all three market channels, and a long-established pattern of compounding shareholder returns through disciplined capital allocation presents a probabilistically more consistent near-term trajectory. That said, LOAR may register more favorably in AI models optimized for momentum and growth acceleration, given its higher revenue growth rates and expanding margin profile as acquisition synergies materialize. The AI verdict ultimately depends on which factors a given model weights most heavily: trend stability and profitability favor TDG, while growth momentum and margin expansion potential tilt toward LOAR.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LOAR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTDG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LOAR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TDG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
LOAR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.77% price change this week, while TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -2.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.64%.
LOAR is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| LOAR | TDG | LOAR / TDG | |
| Capitalization | 6.55B | 67.4B | 10% |
| EBITDA | 171M | 4.83B | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 2.838 | -9.409 | -30% |
| P/E Ratio | 98.49 | 37.60 | 262% |
| Revenue | 538M | 9.5B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 94.9M | 3.88B | 2% |
| Total Debt | 960M | 32B | 3% |
TDG | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| LOAR | TDG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 81% | 27 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 64% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOAR has been loosely correlated with VSEC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LOAR jumps, then VSEC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LOAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOAR | 100% | -0.09% | ||
| VSEC - LOAR | 64% Loosely correlated | -2.51% | ||
| SARO - LOAR | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| HEI - LOAR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.65% | ||
| AIR - LOAR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.26% | ||
| GE - LOAR | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.16% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | -0.80% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.65% | ||
| LOAR - TDG | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.09% | ||
| VSEC - TDG | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.51% | ||
| GE - TDG | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.16% | ||
| AIR - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.26% | ||
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