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LOAR vs TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Loar Holdings (LOAR) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
1) Key Takeaways
- Both LOAR and TDG are aerospace-and-defense suppliers, but they operate at very different scales, with vastly different market capitalizations and profitability profiles.
- TransDigm is a far larger, more mature franchise with exceptionally high margins, while Loar Holdings is a faster-growing, acquisition-driven smaller-cap competitor.
- Both companies recently delivered record or beat-and-raise quarterly results, reflecting broad commercial aerospace and defense demand.
- TransDigm's relative performance has lagged amid leverage concerns, while Loar has posted stronger momentum over the past year despite a richer valuation on earnings.
- Analyst consensus is "Buy" on both names, though the bullishness reflects different drivers: margin durability for TDG versus organic growth acceleration for LOAR.
2) Introduction
Aerospace and defense suppliers occupy a distinctive niche in the market: they pair exposure to a structurally growing commercial aviation cycle with relatively defensive, mission-critical product demand. Comparing LOAR and TDG highlights two very different ways to invest in that theme. TransDigm Group is a large-cap industry leader known for proprietary components and industry-leading profitability, while Loar Holdings is a smaller, faster-growing assembler of niche aerospace components. This stock comparison is most relevant to investors weighing scale and stability against growth and valuation, and to traders tracking relative performance and market positioning within the sector.
3) LOAR Overview and Recent Performance
LOAR, or Loar Holdings Inc., is a diversified manufacturer and supplier of niche aerospace and defense components, headquartered in White Plains, New York. Its products span airframe structures, braking systems, avionics, fluid controls, and restraints, serving commercial, business jet, and defense markets. The company pursues a roll-up strategy, acquiring specialized businesses and applying operational improvements to expand margins.
Recent market activity has been constructive. Loar reported record quarterly sales of roughly $172 million, up 17% on a pro forma basis with 12% organic growth, and expanded its adjusted EBITDA margin by about 220 basis points to 40.5%. Management cited its 16th consecutive quarter of sequential adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) growth and raised full-year guidance. Over the past year the stock has delivered a total return in the low-to-mid 20% range, outpacing the broader market. However, the shares trade at a notably high price-to-earnings multiple, reflecting elevated growth expectations, and recent analyst actions have been mixed as some firms trimmed targets while others maintained Buy ratings.
4) TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TDG, or TransDigm Group Incorporated, is a leading global designer, producer, and supplier of highly engineered aircraft components used on nearly all commercial and military aircraft in service. Headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, it focuses heavily on proprietary aftermarket parts, which generate recurring, high-margin revenue. The company routinely deploys capital into acquisitions and share repurchases.
In recent weeks, TransDigm has delivered strong operating results, reporting quarterly net sales of about $2.54 billion, up 18% year over year, with double-digit growth across commercial OEM (original equipment manufacturer), commercial aftermarket, and defense channels. Its "EBITDA As Defined" margin remained above 50%, and the company raised its full-year sales, earnings, and EBITDA outlook. Growth has been reinforced by completed acquisitions, including Jet Parts Engineering and Victor Sierra, and by roughly $905 million in year-to-date buybacks. Despite these fundamentals, the stock has traded below its prior 52-week high, and some investors have focused on rising leverage from debt-funded deals, which has tempered near-term sentiment even as consensus ratings remain positive.
5) Trending AI Robots
For traders seeking a systematic edge, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a focused selection from a much larger universe. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively monitor thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and set of covered securities. Because conditions shift constantly, only a fraction of these bots — those best suited to the current market environment — earn a place in the curated Trending AI Robots section. This makes it a practical starting point for investors who want data-driven, quantitative signals rather than purely discretionary analysis. If you are comparing names like LOAR and TDG, exploring the Trending AI Robots page can help you see which automated strategies are currently aligned with each ticker's price action.
6) Head-to-Head Comparison
The most immediate contrast is scale and maturity. TransDigm carries a market capitalization in the tens of billions of dollars, versus Loar's smaller, roughly $6 billion profile. This gap shapes their growth profiles: Loar's organic growth has been faster on a percentage basis, while TransDigm compounds through both organic gains and large-scale M&A (mergers and acquisitions).
Profitability is another key difference. TransDigm's EBITDA margins exceed 50%, among the highest in the sector, driven by proprietary aftermarket content. Loar's adjusted EBITDA margin is strong but lower, near 40%, and still expanding. On valuation, the picture inverts: Loar trades at a much higher earnings multiple than TransDigm, meaning the market is pricing in more aggressive future growth for the smaller company.
Risk factors also differ. TransDigm carries significant leverage from its acquisition program, which has drawn investor scrutiny. Loar's risks center on execution and integration of acquired businesses, as well as platform concentration and a valuation that leaves less room for error. In terms of sector exposure, both benefit from rising aircraft build rates and aftermarket demand, though TransDigm's aftermarket-heavy mix provides historically steadier cash flow through cycles.
7) Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely view TransDigm (TDG) as the more defensible near-term candidate. Its combination of consistent, above-50% margins, a raised outlook, recurring aftermarket revenue, and a diversified product set offers a steadier, lower-volatility profile, even amid leverage concerns. Loar Holdings (LOAR) presents a stronger growth trajectory and momentum, but its higher multiple and acquisition-integration risks make its profile comparatively more dependent on continued flawless execution. A momentum-oriented AI strategy might still favor LOAR during periods of outperformance, while a stability-weighted model would more likely tilt toward TDG. As with any probabilistic assessment, these conclusions are conditional on evolving market data and are not a definitive forecast.
8) Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LOAR is a Hold and TDG is a StrongBuy.
LOAR in +4.20% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on October 22, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where LOAR advanced for three days, in 127 of 161 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LOAR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 13 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LOAR just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where LOAR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 19 of 25 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 27 of 32 cases where LOAR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LOAR as a result. In 25 of 35 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The 50-day moving average for LOAR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LOAR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
LOAR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LOAR entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LOAR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.852) is normal, around the industry mean (5.106). P/E Ratio (85.082) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.082). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.560) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LOAR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
TDG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026
TDG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TDG as a result. In 66 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The 10-day moving average for TDG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +4.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TDG advanced for three days, in 256 of 389 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 191 of 318 cases where TDG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TDG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
TDG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TDG's P/B Ratio (-6.463) is slightly lower than the industry average of (5.106). P/E Ratio (34.783) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.082). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.942) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.314) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.258) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TDG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TDG | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| LOAR | TDG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 18 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 60% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LOAR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TDG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- LOAR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LOAR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TDG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LOAR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
LOAR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +0.88% price change this week, while TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +3.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
LOAR is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.04% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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LOAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOAR has been closely correlated with VSEC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LOAR jumps, then VSEC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LOAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOAR | 100% | -4.17% | ||
| VSEC - LOAR | 67% Closely correlated | -4.64% | ||
| SARO - LOAR | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| HEI - LOAR | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| AIR - LOAR | 59% Loosely correlated | -4.08% | ||
| GE - LOAR | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.59% | ||
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TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | -2.47% | ||
| GE - TDG | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.59% | ||
| LOAR - TDG | 53% Loosely correlated | -4.17% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| AIR - TDG | 45% Loosely correlated | -4.08% | ||
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