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LRCX vs MPWR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) vs. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX and MPWR both operate in the semiconductor sector with exposure to AI-driven demand, though LRCX focuses on wafer fabrication equipment while MPWR specializes in power management solutions.
- Over recent weeks, both stocks experienced pullbacks amid broader semiconductor sector volatility, with LRCX declining approximately 20% in the past month and MPWR showing more moderate short-term weakness.
- Year-to-date performance remains strong for both, with LRCX up roughly 79% and MPWR advancing about 48% as of late July 2026.
- Upcoming earnings reports—LRCX on July 29 and MPWR on July 30—represent key near-term catalysts tied to AI infrastructure spending.
- LRCX offers greater scale in semiconductor capital equipment, while MPWR provides higher gross margins and direct exposure to power components in data centers and communications.
- Market sentiment for both reflects optimism around long-term AI growth tempered by valuation concerns and recent sector rotation.
Introduction
This comparison examines LRCX and MPWR, two semiconductor stocks that have benefited from artificial intelligence expansion yet face distinct operational and market dynamics. Institutional investors, active traders monitoring sector rotations, and growth-oriented portfolios seeking exposure to technology supply chains may find the relative performance, risk profiles, and positioning of these names relevant in the current environment.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation designs, manufactures, and services equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor devices, with particular strength in etch and deposition processes critical for advanced chip production. In recent market activity, LRCX shares have retreated from June highs amid broader semiconductor volatility and shifting investor focus within technology valuations. Year-to-date returns nonetheless exceed 78%, supported by sustained demand for AI-related manufacturing capacity and expectations of robust fiscal fourth-quarter results. Analyst projections ahead of the July 29 earnings release point to meaningful year-over-year revenue and earnings growth, reflecting continued capital spending by major chipmakers.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. develops and markets high-performance power management semiconductors used across enterprise data, communications, automotive, and consumer applications. Recent market activity has seen MPWR shares pull back modestly following strong year-to-date gains of approximately 48%. The company reported record first-quarter revenue earlier in 2026, driven by enterprise data and communications demand, with subsequent quarters expected to maintain elevated growth trajectories. Upcoming earnings on July 30 will provide updated visibility into second-half ordering patterns and AI infrastructure contributions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LRCX operates a capital-intensive equipment business with high barriers to entry and long product cycles, while MPWR focuses on analog power integrated circuits that benefit from recurring design wins and relatively asset-light operations. Both companies derive significant revenue from AI-related end markets, yet LRCX exposure centers on semiconductor manufacturing capacity expansion, whereas MPWR participates more directly in power delivery within data centers and networking equipment. Recent momentum has favored longer-term holders of both names despite short-term sector pressure, with LRCX displaying greater price volatility tied to equipment order cycles. Risk factors include cyclical capital spending for LRCX and competitive intensity plus premium valuations for MPWR. Market sentiment remains constructive for the semiconductor complex overall, though relative positioning depends on individual tolerance for equipment versus component cyclicality.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning within the AI supply chain, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to LRCX for the near term, owing to the scale of upcoming earnings catalysts and sustained capital expenditure trends among leading foundries. MPWR remains competitively positioned with strong margin profiles and backlog visibility, yet recent price action and sector rotation introduce marginally higher near-term uncertainty in model outputs. This assessment reflects pattern recognition across multiple data inputs rather than a definitive directional call.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a StrongBuy and MPWR is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMPWR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MPWR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPWR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MPWR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +6.08% price change this week, while MPWR (@Semiconductors) price change was +5.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +5.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.73%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +46.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+5.95% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+4.66% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| LRCX | MPWR | LRCX / MPWR | |
| Capitalization | 408B | 70B | 583% |
| EBITDA | 8.07B | 857M | 942% |
| Gain YTD | 90.870 | 57.778 | 157% |
| P/E Ratio | 56.62 | 86.94 | 65% |
| Revenue | 21.7B | 2.96B | 734% |
| Total Cash | 1.68B | 932M | 180% |
| Total Debt | 3.73B | 20M | 18,670% |
LRCX | MPWR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MPWR's Valuation (79) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (81) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (32) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MPWR (47) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MPWR (45) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | MPWR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 64% | 10 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 66% |
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +4.72% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 90% Closely correlated | +4.29% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 87% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 84% Closely correlated | +2.51% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 84% Closely correlated | +0.59% | ||
| RMBS - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | +4.76% | ||
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MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | +1.63% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +4.72% | ||
| ON - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +2.72% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| ADI - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -0.23% | ||
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