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MPWR vs NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems) is a fast-growing, fabless power-management chipmaker whose revenue accelerated 63% year over year, driven by surging AI data-center demand.
- NXPI (NXP Semiconductors) is a larger, automotive-led mixed-signal semiconductor leader growing more modestly (19% year over year) but trading at a much lower valuation.
- MPWR carries a premium valuation (a high price-to-earnings ratio) and higher volatility, while NXPI offers a higher dividend yield and more cyclical end-market exposure.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, growth momentum, and relative market positioning, the AI framework currently favors MPWR over NXPI.
- For deeper context, explore MPWR Major News and MPWR Today's Price Move, as well as NXPI Major News and NXPI Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-powered trading strategies are navigating this market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the semiconductor sector often weigh pure growth against value and income. MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) illustrate this contrast well: one is an AI-driven growth story trading at a premium, while the other is a cash-generating automotive and industrial leader priced more conservatively. This stock comparison examines recent performance, business models, growth drivers, and market positioning to help traders and long-term investors understand the trade-offs between these two names in the current environment.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems designs analog power-management and power-conversion semiconductors used in data centers, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer electronics. It operates a "fabless" model, meaning it outsources manufacturing to third-party foundries rather than owning fabrication plants. Its core strength is efficient power delivery—technology that has become central to the AI buildout, where higher-power servers and accelerators demand advanced power modules.
Recent market activity has been volatile but constructive. In its latest quarter, MPWR reported revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, up 63.1% year over year, and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $8.19, up 73.2%. Enterprise Data—its AI and server power segment—surged 164.6% year over year and now accounts for over 40% of total revenue. Management guided the following quarter's revenue midpoint well above analyst expectations and raised its full-year enterprise-data growth floor to 150% from 130%.
Despite this momentum, sentiment has been uneven. The stock has traded roughly 25–30% below its 52-week high as the broader AI semiconductor complex underwent valuation compression. A premium forward earnings multiple means the market is pricing in continued strong execution. Recent developments, including a long-term manufacturing agreement with GlobalFoundries and a dividend increase, underscore capacity expansion and shareholder returns.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is a leading supplier of high-performance mixed-signal semiconductors—chips that combine analog and digital functions—with significant share in the automotive market, where it supplies microcontrollers, radar, battery management, and networking solutions. It also serves industrial and Internet of Things (IoT), mobile, and communications infrastructure end markets.
Recent performance reflects a steady recovery rather than explosive growth. In its latest quarter, NXPI posted revenue of about $3.79 billion, up 19.3% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $4.20, up 35%. Automotive sales crossed $2 billion for the first time, and Industrial & IoT revenue climbed 39%. Management framed software-defined vehicles, "physical AI," and data-center infrastructure as key long-term growth vectors, and announced an additional $5 billion share-repurchase authorization.
However, near-term guidance came in slightly below consensus, and the stock pulled back after earnings as investors weighed demand and competitive pressures against an already strong year-to-date gain. NXPI trades at a much lower earnings multiple than MPWR and carries a higher dividend yield, reflecting its more mature, cash-generative profile and greater sensitivity to automotive and industrial cycles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is growth versus value. MPWR is expanding far more rapidly, with revenue growth above 60% and AI-driven content gains compounding across server and accelerator platforms. That growth comes at a price: MPWR trades at a substantially higher price-to-earnings multiple, leaving less margin for error if AI infrastructure spending cools. Its revenue mix is also increasingly concentrated in enterprise data, which heightens sensitivity to hyperscaler spending cycles.
NXPI, by contrast, offers slower but steadier growth, a more diversified automotive and industrial base, a higher dividend yield, and a lower valuation. Its risk profile is more cyclical, tied to global vehicle production and factory automation rather than AI capex alone. Sentiment has also diverged: MPWR has experienced sharp pullbacks despite strong fundamentals, while NXPI has shown more moderate volatility but softer forward guidance. In short, MPWR offers higher growth potential with higher risk, while NXPI offers lower valuation and income with more cyclical exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors—trend consistency, revenue and earnings momentum, upward estimate revisions, and identifiable growth catalysts—Tickeron's AI framework would currently lean toward MPWR. The company's accelerating revenue growth, raised guidance, expanding enterprise-data segment, and clear AI-related content tailwinds present a more consistent momentum and catalyst profile than NXPI, whose near-term guidance slightly disappointed and whose growth remains more tied to cyclical end markets. This is a probabilistic assessment of relative positioning rather than a certainty, and NXPI's lower valuation and stronger income profile may appeal to different investor objectives.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPWR is a StrongBuy and NXPI is a Buy.
MPWR's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPWR turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where MPWR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 59 cases where MPWR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPWR as a result. In 80 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
MPWR moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +22.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPWR advanced for three days, in 237 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MPWR moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The 10-day moving average for MPWR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The 50-day moving average for MPWR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPWR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
MPWR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MPWR entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPWR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MPWR's P/B Ratio (15.018) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.443). P/E Ratio (72.279) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.014) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.153) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
Momentum Indicator for NXPI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NXPI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 93 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NXPI just turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where NXPI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
NXPI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NXPI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +5.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NXPI advanced for three days, in 190 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 152 of 211 cases where NXPI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NXPI moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 23 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 72%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 59 cases where NXPI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NXPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
NXPI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NXPI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.493) is normal, around the industry mean (5.443). P/E Ratio (21.059) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.219) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
MPWR | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (58) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (87). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (55). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (44). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (49). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (68). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| MPWR | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 10 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 6 days ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPWR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while NXPI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MPWR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPWR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPWR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MPWR (@Semiconductors) experienced а +2.21% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was -0.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Feb 01, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.33% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with ADI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then ADI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | -2.19% | ||
| ADI - MPWR | 76% Closely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | +1.06% | ||
| LSCC - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -2.32% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +2.00% | ||
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with ENTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then ENTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | +2.00% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -1.73% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -1.89% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | +1.06% | ||
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