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MPWR vs NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MPWR has significantly outperformed NXPI year-to-date with returns exceeding 70%, driven by AI infrastructure demand.
- Recent Q1 earnings showed MPWR revenue up 26% YoY to $804M and NXPI up 12% to $3.18B, both beating estimates.
- MPWR boasts a higher market cap (~$77B) but elevated P/E (112x) versus NXPI's ~$73B cap and 28x P/E, reflecting growth premium vs. value.
- Both firms benefit from semiconductor tailwinds, with MPWR focused on power management for data centers and NXPI on automotive and IoT.
- Tickeron's Trending AI Robots feature bots trading MPWR with up to 83% annualized returns in semis strategies.
- Relative momentum favors MPWR amid AI catalysts, though NXPI offers scale and diversification.
Introduction
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) are key players in the semiconductor sector, specializing in power management and mixed-signal solutions, respectively. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning amid surging demand for AI infrastructure, automotive electrification, and industrial IoT. Traders seeking growth in high-performance chips and investors eyeing relative performance in a volatile market will find value in understanding their contrasts, including earnings momentum, valuation trade-offs, and sector exposures. Both stocks have shown resilience in recent market activity, offering insights into semiconductor trends.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), a fabless designer of high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductors, focuses on power management integrated circuits (ICs) for enterprise data centers, automotive, communications, and consumer applications. Its fabless model (outsourcing manufacturing) enables agility and efficiency. In recent weeks, MPWR reported Q1 2026 revenue of $804 million, up 26% year-over-year, beating estimates by 2.8%, with non-GAAP EPS of $5.10 exceeding forecasts by 4.1%. Enterprise data demand, fueled by AI server expansion, drove robust growth, prompting analysts to raise price targets. The stock has surged over 70% year-to-date, reflecting positive sentiment from capacity expansions and AI-related backlogs, though high valuation introduces volatility risks.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), headquartered in Eindhoven, Netherlands, leads in secure connectivity solutions, including microcontrollers, processors, and RF technologies for automotive (about 50% of revenue), industrial & IoT, mobile, and communications infrastructure. Recent market activity saw Q1 2026 revenue reach $3.18 billion, up 12% year-over-year and topping consensus by 0.8%, with non-GAAP EPS of $3.05 beating estimates by 2.8%. Strength in automotive software-defined vehicles, electrification, and industrial processing supported broad-based gains, with channel inventory aligning to long-term targets. Year-to-date returns around 35% underscore momentum from end-market recovery, though cyclical auto exposure tempers sentiment amid supply chain dynamics.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page features over 25 top-performing AI trading bots curated from a total of 351 bots that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots, powered by advanced AI models, deliver real-time signals with impressive stats: annualized returns up to +169%, win rates from 51% to 88%, and profit factors reaching 11.7, often outperforming the S&P 500 through momentum, sector rotation, and risk-managed strategies like 3% take-profit/2% stop-loss corridors. Examples include semiconductor bots trading MPWR (+83% annualized, 68% win rate on 5min timeframe) and peers like LRCX or NVDA (up to +95% returns), alongside volatility plays (+169%) and ETF strategies (+134%). With diverse styles, timeframes (5min to daily), and sectors like semis, industrials, and AI infra, they adapt to current conditions. Explore Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots to see which suit your trading approach.
Head-to-Head Comparison
MPWR and NXPI operate in semiconductors but diverge in focus: MPWR’s power ICs target AI-driven data centers (high-growth, volatile), while NXPI’s mixed-signal chips emphasize stable automotive (~50%) and IoT. Growth drivers contrast MPWR’s 26% revenue surge from enterprise data versus NXPI’s 12% from diversified recovery. Recent momentum favors MPWR (70%+ YTD vs. 35%), but NXPI scales larger ($12.6B revenue vs. $2.8B). Risk factors include MPWR’s premium P/E (112x, debt-minimal) signaling slowdown sensitivity, versus NXPI’s value (28x P/E, higher debt $11.7B). Market sentiment tilts to MPWR on AI catalysts, while NXPI benefits from auto resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MPWR over NXPI, based on superior trend consistency, explosive YTD momentum exceeding 70%, and stronger AI data center catalysts amid recent earnings beats. Featured AI bots trading MPWR show up to 83% annualized returns, highlighting relative positioning. While NXPI offers stability and scale, MPWR’s growth trajectory provides a probabilistic edge in the current semiconductor upcycle.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPWR is a Hold and NXPI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPWR’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPWR’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPWR’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MPWR (@Semiconductors) experienced а -3.17% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was -1.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -2.35%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +28.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +81.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-2.35% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MPWR | NXPI | MPWR / NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 76.2B | 73.6B | 104% |
| EBITDA | 857M | 4.72B | 18% |
| Gain YTD | 71.358 | 34.992 | 204% |
| P/E Ratio | 110.95 | 27.87 | 398% |
| Revenue | 2.96B | 12.6B | 23% |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | 3.38B | 40% |
| Total Debt | 20M | 11.7B | 0% |
MPWR | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 11 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (35) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MPWR (85). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (53). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (46). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (11). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (28). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| MPWR | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 78% | 8 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 66% |
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MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | -3.96% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | -4.68% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -4.82% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| AMAT - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -0.89% | ||
| KLIC - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -1.97% | ||
More | ||||
NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with ENTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then ENTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | -0.91% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | -4.44% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -4.82% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -4.68% | ||
| ACLS - NXPI | 73% Closely correlated | -4.00% | ||
| AMKR - NXPI | 73% Closely correlated | -2.41% | ||
More | ||||