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MBWM vs ORRF
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MBWM is a Hold and ORRF is a Hold.
MBWM in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026
MBWM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MBWM as a result. In 51 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MBWM turned negative on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.
The 10-day moving average for MBWM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MBWM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MBWM advanced for three days, in 198 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
MBWM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 160 of 243 cases where MBWM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.359) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (10.431) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.320) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.891) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MBWM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
ORRF's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ORRF entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 241 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 147 of the 241 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
ORRF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ORRF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORRF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 37 of 57 cases where ORRF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ORRF as a result. In 45 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORRF just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where ORRF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +2.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORRF advanced for three days, in 179 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
ORRF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.313) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (9.328) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.150) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.229) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORRF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
MBWM | ORRF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 32 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ORRF's Valuation (32) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as MBWM (47). This means that ORRF’s stock grew similarly to MBWM’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as ORRF (28). This means that MBWM’s stock grew similarly to ORRF’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's SMR Rating (26) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as ORRF (26). This means that MBWM’s stock grew similarly to ORRF’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as ORRF (47). This means that MBWM’s stock grew similarly to ORRF’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ORRF (90). This means that MBWM’s stock grew somewhat faster than ORRF’s over the last 12 months.
| MBWM | ORRF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 63% | 14 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MBWM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while ORRF’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- MBWM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- ORRF’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MBWM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORRF’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MBWM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ORRF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MBWM (@Regional Banks) experienced а +0.21% price change this week, while ORRF (@Regional Banks) price change was +0.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was -0.46%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
MBWM is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
ORRF is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (-0.46% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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