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MCO vs NDAQ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Moody's Corporation (MCO) vs. Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MCO and NDAQ have posted year-to-date declines of roughly 10% amid heightened market volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties.
- MCO commands a larger market capitalization of approximately $80 billion, dwarfing NDAQ's $50 billion, reflecting its dominant position in credit ratings.
- Recent weeks have seen modest rebounds, with NDAQ gaining about 4% over the past month compared to MCO's 3% rise.
- NDAQ offers a higher dividend yield at 1.23% versus MCO's 0.9%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Analysts project similar upside potential, around 18-20%, with both stocks slated for Q1 earnings reports this week.
- Tickeron's comparison tool rates NDAQ as the stronger short-term opportunity over MCO.
Introduction
Moody's Corporation (MCO) and Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) represent key players in the financial services sector, with MCO leading in credit ratings and analytics, and NDAQ dominating exchange operations and market technology. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors eyeing defensive financial stocks amid volatile equity markets and shifting interest rate expectations. Traders focused on relative performance, dividend stability, and upcoming earnings catalysts will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and sector positioning. Both have faced headwinds in recent market activity but show signs of resilience.
MCO Overview and Recent Performance
Moody's Corporation (MCO) operates through Moody's Ratings, which provides credit opinions, and Moody's Analytics, offering risk management tools. The company benefits from steady demand for ratings amid corporate debt issuance and economic uncertainty. In recent market activity, MCO shares have traded in a 52-week range of $402 to $547, with a current price around $455. Year-to-date, the stock is down approximately 11%, pressured by broader sector rotations and mixed credit outlooks, such as negative views on business development companies (BDCs). However, recent weeks have brought a 3% monthly gain, supported by strong Q4 2025 results that beat expectations and positive analyst revisions. Key metrics include a market cap of $81 billion, P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 33, and beta of 1.4, indicating moderate volatility. Investor sentiment has stabilized ahead of Q1 earnings, with expectations for EPS growth.
NDAQ Overview and Recent Performance
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) runs the Nasdaq stock exchange, provides trading technology, and offers data services, capitalizing on market volumes and IPO activity. Its diversified revenue from listing fees, transaction services, and financial technology supports growth. Shares have fluctuated within a 52-week range of $72 to $102, trading near $88 recently. Year-to-date performance shows a roughly 10% decline, influenced by reduced trading volumes and geopolitical tensions, though a 4% uptick in recent weeks reflects optimism around mega-IPOs and partnerships like tokenized asset trading. Standout metrics feature a $50 billion market cap, P/E of 28, dividend yield of 1.23%, and beta of 1.0, suggesting lower relative risk. Positive developments include a prospective dividend hike—its 13th consecutive—and strong analyst buy ratings ahead of Q1 earnings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCO and NDAQ both thrive in financial data and services but diverge in models: MCO's ratings business offers oligopolistic stability tied to debt markets, while NDAQ's exchange relies on trading volumes and tech monetization. Growth drivers contrast with MCO fueled by analytics expansion and NDAQ by IPO pipelines and fintech partnerships. Recent momentum favors NDAQ slightly in short-term price growth. Risk factors include cyclicality for MCO (credit cycles) versus volume sensitivity for NDAQ. Sector exposure overlaps in capital markets, but NDAQ has broader tech diversification. Market sentiment leans positive for both, with comparable valuations but NDAQ's edge in yield and lower beta.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis currently favors NDAQ over MCO for short-term positioning, citing stronger relative price momentum and upcoming catalysts like dividend growth and earnings potential. While MCO exhibits trend consistency in its core ratings franchise, NDAQ's lower volatility and market volume recovery provide a probabilistic edge in the near term. Long-term stability remains balanced, hinging on economic trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCO is a Buy and NDAQ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNDAQ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NDAQ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NDAQ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NDAQ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MCO (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -1.48% price change this week, while NDAQ (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -9.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -4.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.94%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
NDAQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-4.86% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| MCO | NDAQ | MCO / NDAQ | |
| Capitalization | 78.1B | 46.7B | 167% |
| EBITDA | 3.96B | 3.32B | 119% |
| Gain YTD | -12.036 | -14.374 | 84% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.09 | 24.88 | 129% |
| Revenue | 7.87B | 8.3B | 95% |
| Total Cash | 1.51B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 7.31B | 9.45B | 77% |
MCO | NDAQ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 85 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NDAQ's Valuation (68) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as MCO (86) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as MCO (56) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's SMR Rating (15) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NDAQ (53) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as NDAQ (62) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's P/E Growth Rating (73) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as NDAQ (85) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
| MCO | NDAQ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 9 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 6 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 55% |
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MCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCO has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCO jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCO | 100% | -0.74% | ||
| SPGI - MCO | 88% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| JEF - MCO | 66% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| MSCI - MCO | 66% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| SF - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.37% | ||
| GS - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
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NDAQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NDAQ has been closely correlated with JEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NDAQ jumps, then JEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NDAQ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDAQ | 100% | +0.45% | ||
| JEF - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| MS - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| GS - NDAQ | 70% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| RJF - NDAQ | 69% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| MCO - NDAQ | 68% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
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