MGK
Price
$86.85
Change
-$2.78 (-3.10%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
33.98B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VONG
Price
$121.09
Change
-$3.60 (-2.89%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
46.12B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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MGK vs VONG

MGK vs VONG Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 26, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) vs. Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF (VONG)

Key Takeaways

  • MGK tracks the CRSP US Mega Cap Growth Index, concentrating assets in a narrow set of roughly 60–80 mega-cap growth names, while VONG tracks the Russell 1000 Growth Index across roughly 370–400 holdings.
  • Both funds are heavily weighted to information technology and share nearly identical top positions, but MGK carries far greater single-stock and top-10 concentration risk.
  • Expense ratios are extremely low on both sides — approximately 0.07% for MGK and 0.08% for VONG — making cost a marginal differentiator rather than a deciding factor.
  • MGK skews more aggressively toward mega-cap technology leadership, whereas VONG offers broader large-cap growth diversification, including more mid-cap representation.
  • Historically, MGK has delivered stronger returns in bull markets while also posting deeper drawdowns; VONG has tended to provide a comparatively smoother ride.
  • Positioning comes down to a concentration-versus-diversification trade-off rather than a fundamental difference in investment thesis.

Introduction

Investors seeking exposure to large U.S. growth companies often encounter two of Vanguard's most popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs): the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) and the Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF (VONG). At first glance, the two appear to be near-substitutes — both are passively managed, low-cost, and dominated by the same cluster of technology and communication-services giants. In practice, however, they occupy different positions on the growth spectrum. MGK concentrates on the market's largest and most dominant companies, while VONG spreads assets across the broader large-cap growth universe. Understanding these structural differences is essential for investors evaluating sector exposure, risk tolerance, and long-term relative positioning.

Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) Overview

MGK is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the CRSP US Mega Cap Growth Index, a benchmark maintained by the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP). The fund holds a concentrated portfolio of roughly 60–80 of the largest U.S. growth stocks, with total assets under management (AUM) in the tens of billions of dollars. Its expense ratio of approximately 0.07% ranks among the lowest in its category.

Top holdings are led by the largest technology and communications names, including NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, META, AVGO, and TSLA, alongside LLY in healthcare. Information technology represents roughly 55–60% of assets, followed by communication services and consumer discretionary. Because the fund is market-cap weighted and non-diversified in practice, a small number of positions exert outsized influence on returns.

Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF (VONG) Overview

VONG is a passively managed ETF that tracks the Russell 1000 Growth Index, a widely followed benchmark that selects growth-oriented companies from the larger Russell 1000 universe. The fund holds roughly 370–400 stocks, providing considerably broader large-cap growth exposure than MGK, including a modest allocation to mid-cap names. Its expense ratio of approximately 0.08% is likewise among the lowest available, and its AUM exceeds that of MGK.

The top holdings overlap heavily with MGK, led by NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, AVGO, and META. Sector allocation is slightly more balanced: information technology accounts for roughly 50–55% of assets, with communication services, consumer discretionary, and industrials contributing meaningful weight. The broader portfolio reduces single-name and top-10 concentration relative to MGK.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are anchored to the same dominant theme: the market's largest growth companies, particularly those tied to artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and digital platforms. Capital flows in recent market cycles have favored these mega-cap leaders, which have driven an outsized share of index returns. Macroeconomic drivers — including interest-rate expectations, earnings durability, and innovation spending — remain central to both funds' performance. Key risks include valuation sensitivity to rising yields, regulatory scrutiny of large technology platforms, and the potential for a leadership rotation away from the mega-cap growth cohort. A sustained broadening of market participation would likely favor the more diversified VONG, while continued mega-cap leadership tends to benefit MGK.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, MGK has generally exhibited higher beta and stronger participation in rallies, reflecting its concentrated mega-cap technology tilt. VONG has historically posted somewhat lower drawdowns and volatility, aided by its broader, more diversified portfolio. This pattern is consistent with the funds' structure rather than a short-term anomaly: when a handful of dominant growth names lead the market, MGK tends to outperform; when leadership broadens or technology stumbles, VONG's wider net provides a measure of cushion. From a relative positioning standpoint, MGK represents a higher-conviction, higher-volatility expression of growth, while VONG offers a more balanced route to similar exposure.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to help identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. For investors comparing funds like MGK and VONG, it can surface momentum, trend, and risk signals across the growth universe. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own screening workflow.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely express a conditional preference between the two funds. MGK's stronger trend consistency and greater exposure to the highest-momentum mega-cap leaders give it an edge during periods when concentrated growth leadership persists. Conversely, VONG's superior diversification profile and lower concentration risk position it more favorably when breadth improves or volatility rises. In the current environment, where mega-cap technology names continue to anchor index performance but valuations and breadth concerns persist, a probabilistic framework would likely tilt toward MGK for momentum-seeking investors comfortable with higher drawdown risk, while favoring VONG for those prioritizing diversification and risk-adjusted stability. Neither is categorically superior; the appropriate choice depends on an investor's concentration tolerance and outlook for mega-cap leadership.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
MGK vs. VONG commentary
Nov 02, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MGK is a Hold and VONG is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MGK with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

MGK sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

MGK saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 47 of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MGK as a result. In 65 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

MGK moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MGK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MGK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MGK's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 53 cases where MGK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +1.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MGK advanced for three days, in 304 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

MGK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 328 of 362 cases where MGK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VONG with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

VONG in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026

VONG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 43 of 44 cases where VONG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VONG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 52 cases where VONG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +1.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VONG advanced for three days, in 297 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 340 of 376 cases where VONG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VONG as a result. In 64 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VONG turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.

VONG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VONG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VONG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MGKVONG
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
81%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
81%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
84%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
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MGK
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VONG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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MGK and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MGK has been loosely correlated with ORCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MGK jumps, then ORCL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MGK
1D Price
Change %
MGK100%
-3.10%
ORCL - MGK
58%
Loosely correlated
-6.37%
ROP - MGK
58%
Loosely correlated
+3.77%
ANET - MGK
54%
Loosely correlated
-8.34%
DASH - MGK
53%
Loosely correlated
-0.01%
ZM - MGK
53%
Loosely correlated
-2.21%
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