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MKC vs SJM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? McCormick & Company (MKC) vs. The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MKC reported strong second-quarter 2026 net sales growth of 16.7% year-over-year, supported by acquisitions and demand in consumer staples.
- SJM delivered fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter net sales growth of 6% and raised adjusted earnings guidance, with fiscal first-quarter 2027 results scheduled for release on August 26, 2026.
- Both stocks operate in the packaged foods segment of the consumer staples sector, exposing them to similar input cost pressures and steady consumer demand patterns.
- Recent market activity shows MKC trading near $55 with a focus on margin expansion, while SJM trades near $124 amid portfolio optimization efforts.
- Dividend yields remain attractive for both, with SJM offering approximately 3.6% and MKC providing a competitive payout supported by stable cash flows.
- Relative performance in recent weeks highlights MKC’s earnings momentum versus SJM’s upcoming catalyst-driven volatility.
Introduction
McCormick & Company (MKC) and The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) represent established players in the consumer staples sector, offering investors exposure to branded food products with defensive characteristics. This comparison examines their business models, recent financial results, and market positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating relative value within packaged foods. Professionals monitoring sector rotation or income-oriented portfolios may find the analysis particularly relevant amid fluctuating commodity costs and evolving consumer preferences.
MKC Overview and Recent Performance
McCormick & Company (MKC) specializes in spices, seasonings, and flavorings, with a growing presence in branded condiments and international markets. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected positive sentiment following second-quarter 2026 results that showed net sales rising 16.7% year-over-year, including contributions from acquisitions and modest organic growth. Adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations, supporting margin improvement initiatives. Broader market activity has kept shares within a 52-week range of approximately $44.82 to $72.58, with year-to-date returns outperforming the S&P 500 in certain periods despite longer-term volatility. Sentiment has been influenced by strategic deals and resilient consumer demand for core products.
SJM Overview and Recent Performance
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) focuses on coffee, pet food, and consumer foods including spreads and baking products. Recent market activity centers on fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, which delivered net sales growth of 6% and a 20% increase in adjusted earnings per share, alongside full-year guidance. The stock trades near $124 with a dividend yield of approximately 3.6%. Upcoming first-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings, set for release on August 26, 2026, represent a near-term catalyst. Performance in recent weeks has been shaped by portfolio adjustments and steady demand in core categories, with shares reflecting typical defensive sector stability amid broader market movements.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
McCormick & Company (MKC) and The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) share exposure to packaged foods but differ in product focus and growth drivers. MKC emphasizes flavor innovation and acquisitions for international expansion, while SJM prioritizes coffee and pet categories with portfolio streamlining. Recent momentum favors MKC following earnings beats, whereas SJM awaits its next reporting cycle. Risk factors include commodity inflation for both, though SJM carries additional integration considerations from prior transactions. Market sentiment remains neutral to positive for defensive staples, with MKC showing slightly tighter trend consistency in recent weeks compared with SJM’s event-driven positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, margin trends, and relative stability, Tickeron’s AI currently assigns a modest probabilistic preference to MKC over SJM. Strong second-quarter results and acquisition-related visibility provide a near-term edge in trend support, while SJM’s upcoming earnings introduce additional uncertainty. This assessment reflects current data patterns rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MKC is a StrongBuy and SJM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MKC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSJM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MKC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SJM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MKC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SJM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MKC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SJM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MKC (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а -5.87% price change this week, while SJM (@Food: Major Diversified) price change was -4.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -3.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
MKC is expected to report earnings on Oct 06, 2026.
SJM is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-3.08% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
| MKC | SJM | MKC / SJM | |
| Capitalization | 14B | 13.5B | 104% |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 1.34B | 104% |
| Gain YTD | -22.155 | 32.872 | -67% |
| P/E Ratio | 8.67 | 58.92 | 15% |
| Revenue | 7.39B | 9.16B | 81% |
| Total Cash | 331M | 43.2M | 766% |
| Total Debt | 4.93B | 6.9B | 72% |
MKC | SJM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 78 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 38 | 85 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 22 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MKC's Valuation (15) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as SJM (30). This means that MKC’s stock grew similarly to SJM’s over the last 12 months.
SJM's Profit vs Risk Rating (78) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as MKC (100). This means that SJM’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MKC's SMR Rating (38) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SJM (85). This means that MKC’s stock grew somewhat faster than SJM’s over the last 12 months.
SJM's Price Growth Rating (22) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MKC (60). This means that SJM’s stock grew somewhat faster than MKC’s over the last 12 months.
SJM's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MKC (97). This means that SJM’s stock grew somewhat faster than MKC’s over the last 12 months.
| MKC | SJM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 41% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 54% | 6 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 55% |
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MKC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MKC has been loosely correlated with MDLZ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MKC jumps, then MDLZ could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MKC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MKC | 100% | -0.95% | ||
| MDLZ - MKC | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.28% | ||
| CAG - MKC | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| GIS - MKC | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.47% | ||
| POST - MKC | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| KHC - MKC | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
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SJM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SJM has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SJM jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.