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MPWR vs SMTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) has delivered significantly stronger total returns over the past year compared to Semtech Corporation (SMTC), reflecting robust demand for its power management solutions.
- Both companies operate in the semiconductor sector, with MPWR focused on high-efficiency power electronics and SMTC emphasizing analog and mixed-signal products for IoT and connectivity applications.
- Recent market activity shows MPWR benefiting from consistent earnings beats and analyst upgrades, while SMTC has seen positive sentiment tied to its AI-related business ramp and upcoming quarterly results.
- MPWR exhibits higher valuation multiples alongside superior historical growth metrics, whereas SMTC offers a lower market capitalization with potential upside from specialized product launches.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to broader technology cycles, though MPWR’s positioning in computing and automotive markets provides different growth drivers than SMTC’s emphasis on industrial and communications infrastructure.
- Relative performance highlights a contrast in scale and momentum, with MPWR demonstrating greater stability in recent periods amid elevated investor interest in power efficiency technologies.
Introduction
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Semtech Corporation (SMTC) represent two distinct players in the semiconductor industry, making their comparison relevant for investors and traders seeking exposure to power management and analog semiconductor technologies. This analysis examines their business models, recent stock performance, and market positioning to help market participants evaluate relative strengths and trade-offs. The comparison is particularly useful for those monitoring technology sector trends, including demand for energy-efficient solutions and connectivity applications. By focusing on observable factors such as earnings trends and sentiment shifts, this overview provides a factual basis for understanding how the two stocks have behaved in the current environment without favoring one over the other.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) designs and markets analog power management semiconductors used across computing, automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics markets. The company has experienced notable stock appreciation in recent market activity, supported by strong fiscal results and positive analyst commentary. In recent weeks, MPWR has maintained upward momentum amid broader interest in power efficiency solutions, with year-to-date gains significantly outpacing the S&P 500. Key influences include consistent revenue growth from its core product lines and favorable guidance following quarterly reports. Sentiment has remained constructive due to the company’s ability to capitalize on demand in high-growth end markets, contributing to elevated trading multiples relative to historical averages.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) develops analog and mixed-signal semiconductors, with key applications in Internet of Things (IoT) systems, cloud connectivity, and industrial infrastructure. The stock has shown resilience in recent market activity, influenced by developments in its AI-related offerings and product innovations such as new protection devices. Performance has been shaped by anticipation surrounding upcoming quarterly earnings and partnerships that highlight expansion in connectivity solutions. Broader sentiment reflects cautious optimism tied to the company’s positioning in emerging technology areas, though the stock trades at a comparatively lower market capitalization than larger peers. Recent activity underscores steady interest in SMTC’s specialized portfolio amid fluctuating semiconductor demand cycles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Semtech Corporation (SMTC) differ markedly in scale and focus. MPWR emphasizes high-efficiency power management integrated circuits with broad exposure to computing and automotive sectors, driving higher historical revenue growth rates. In contrast, SMTC concentrates on analog mixed-signal solutions for IoT and industrial connectivity, offering a more targeted but potentially higher-beta opportunity set. Recent momentum favors MPWR’s consistent outperformance and analyst support, while SMTC’s catalysts center on AI adoption and new product releases. Risk factors include MPWR’s premium valuation, which could amplify volatility on any growth slowdown, versus SMTC’s smaller size and narrower margins that may heighten sensitivity to sector cycles. Market sentiment reflects MPWR’s stronger relative positioning in stability metrics, whereas SMTC presents trade-offs around growth potential in niche applications. Overall, the stocks illustrate contrasting approaches within semiconductors: broad power solutions versus specialized connectivity technologies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). The stock’s stronger recent performance trajectory and broader sector tailwinds in power efficiency appear to provide more consistent signals compared to Semtech Corporation (SMTC)’s more variable catalysts. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to ongoing data inputs rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPWR is a Hold and SMTC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPWR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSMTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MPWR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPWR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMTC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPWR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MPWR (@Semiconductors) experienced а -5.00% price change this week, while SMTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +1.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-0.06% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MPWR | SMTC | MPWR / SMTC | |
| Capitalization | 69.9B | 15.2B | 460% |
| EBITDA | 857M | 32M | 2,678% |
| Gain YTD | 57.399 | 121.577 | 47% |
| P/E Ratio | 110.08 | 130.81 | 84% |
| Revenue | 2.96B | 1.09B | 271% |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | 163M | 839% |
| Total Debt | 20M | 492M | 4% |
MPWR | SMTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MPWR's Valuation (81) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (86). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (39). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's SMR Rating (46) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMTC (94). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (38). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (24). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
| MPWR | SMTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 86% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 85% |
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MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | -7.42% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -9.33% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -7.21% | ||
| ALGM - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -9.84% | ||
| AMAT - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -8.48% | ||
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SMTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been loosely correlated with MXL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MXL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMTC | 100% | -6.55% | ||
| MXL - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | -7.63% | ||
| MTSI - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | -6.08% | ||
| MPWR - SMTC | 58% Loosely correlated | -7.42% | ||
| TSEM - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | -10.76% | ||
| AMBA - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | -7.40% | ||
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