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MPWR vs SMTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. Semtech (SMTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Semtech (SMTC) both operate in the semiconductors sector but differ in focus, with MPWR emphasizing power management solutions and SMTC targeting signal integrity, analog mixed-signal, and IoT connectivity.
- In recent market activity, MPWR shares have traded near $1,316 after pulling back from 52-week highs above $1,700, supported by strong second-quarter revenue growth of 48% year-over-year driven by enterprise data demand.
- SMTC shares have fluctuated around $124 amid volatility, posting substantial year-to-date gains exceeding 68% while benefiting from strategic divestitures to prioritize AI-related data center networking opportunities.
- Both companies have attracted positive analyst sentiment, with MPWR highlighting capacity expansion and a $1 billion share repurchase authorization, and SMTC completing a sale of its cellular module business to sharpen its high-growth focus.
- Relative performance shows MPWR maintaining broader end-market exposure including automotive and industrial, while SMTC has demonstrated sharper recent momentum tied to AI infrastructure cycles.
- Sector exposure for both remains technology-heavy, with sentiment influenced by ongoing data center buildouts and broader semiconductor demand trends over recent weeks.
Introduction
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Semtech (SMTC) represent two distinct plays within the semiconductors industry, making their comparison relevant for investors and traders evaluating growth-oriented technology stocks. MPWR specializes in power electronics solutions across diverse end markets, while SMTC focuses on high-performance semiconductors for data center networking, IoT, and connectivity. This stock comparison appeals to those assessing relative momentum, business model resilience, and positioning amid evolving AI and infrastructure demands in the current market environment.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) designs and markets semiconductor-based power electronics solutions serving storage and computing, enterprise data, automotive, communications, consumer, and industrial markets. In recent market activity, shares have consolidated near the $1,316 level following a pullback from peaks above $1,700 earlier in the year. Recent weeks saw the company report record second-quarter revenue of approximately $981 million, reflecting 48% year-over-year growth led by enterprise data and communications segments. Positive sentiment has been supported by raised guidance for enterprise data growth and an expanded $1 billion stock repurchase authorization. Performance has been influenced by sustained demand in data-centric applications alongside broader semiconductor sector volatility.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
Semtech (SMTC) provides semiconductor, Internet of Things systems, and cloud connectivity solutions through segments including signal integrity, analog mixed-signal and wireless, and IoT systems and connectivity. Shares have traded around the $124 mark in recent market activity amid notable volatility, with the stock maintaining substantial year-to-date advances. Key developments include the completion of a $62 million sale of its cellular module business, aimed at concentrating resources on AI data-center networking and related high-growth areas. Sentiment has been shaped by accelerating demand signals in 800G and 1.6T networking cycles, contributing to analyst optimism despite periodic price swings tied to sector rotation and broader market conditions over recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Semtech (SMTC) differ markedly in business models, with MPWR centered on power management integrated circuits (ICs) serving a wide array of end markets including automotive and industrial, whereas SMTC emphasizes signal integrity and connectivity solutions with growing exposure to data center networking. Growth drivers for MPWR include broad-based demand and new product launches, while SMTC has accelerated focus on AI infrastructure following its recent divestiture. Recent momentum favors SMTC’s sharper percentage gains year-to-date, though MPWR exhibits greater scale with a market capitalization exceeding $64 billion compared to SMTC’s approximately $11.5 billion. Risk factors include MPWR’s higher valuation multiples and SMTC’s history of quarterly losses, offset by both companies’ strong analyst buy ratings and exposure to semiconductor cyclicality. Market sentiment reflects shared tailwinds from AI-related spending but contrasts in stability, with MPWR showing more consistent revenue expansion in recent periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in enterprise data growth, earnings stability, and positioning within expanding AI infrastructure markets, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) over Semtech (SMTC). MPWR’s recent quarterly results and capacity initiatives suggest more sustained momentum, though SMTC’s strategic refocus could narrow the gap depending on execution in data center cycles. This assessment draws from relative performance patterns and catalyst visibility rather than guarantees of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPWR is a Hold and SMTC is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPWR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSMTC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MPWR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPWR’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMTC’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPWR’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
MPWR (@Semiconductors) experienced а -2.58% price change this week, while SMTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +12.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +1.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+1.23% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MPWR | SMTC | MPWR / SMTC | |
| Capitalization | 59.6B | 12.6B | 473% |
| EBITDA | 857M | 32M | 2,678% |
| Gain YTD | 34.376 | 83.743 | 41% |
| P/E Ratio | 74.05 | 89.73 | 83% |
| Revenue | 2.96B | 1.09B | 271% |
| Total Cash | 932M | 163M | 572% |
| Total Debt | 20M | 492M | 4% |
MPWR | SMTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 24 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MPWR's Valuation (77) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (80). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (51). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's SMR Rating (46) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMTC (92). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (57). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMTC (49). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
| MPWR | SMTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 13 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 82% |
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