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MXL vs SMTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MaxLinear (MXL) vs. Semtech (SMTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MXL and SMTC are semiconductor companies specializing in analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits, with exposure to connectivity and communications markets.
- Recent market activity shows substantial gains for both stocks from 52-week lows, with SMTC exhibiting stronger short-term momentum in the latest sessions compared to MXL.
- Market capitalization stands at approximately $8.9 billion for MXL and $14.6 billion for SMTC, reflecting differing scale and investor positioning.
- Both companies operate in a high-beta sector, with share prices sensitive to broader technology demand and supply chain dynamics.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in stability versus growth volatility, with neither demonstrating consistent outperformance across all timeframes in recent weeks.
- Sector sentiment remains constructive amid ongoing demand for multi-gigabit connectivity solutions.
Introduction
This comparison examines MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) and Semtech Corporation (SMTC), two publicly traded semiconductor firms. The analysis focuses on business models, recent price behavior, and relative positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating opportunities in the analog and mixed-signal chip segment. Market participants seeking to understand sector dynamics, momentum shifts, and risk profiles in the current environment may find the side-by-side review particularly relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
MXL Overview and Recent Performance
MaxLinear, Inc. develops high-performance analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits and software solutions that enable multi-gigabit connectivity. The company serves communications, data center, and industrial markets. In recent weeks, MXL shares have traded in a wide range, closing near $99 amid elevated volume. The stock has risen sharply from its 52-week low near $11, reflecting improved market sentiment toward semiconductor demand. Factors influencing performance include broader technology sector rotation and company-specific developments in connectivity products, contributing to heightened volatility typical of high-beta names.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
Semtech Corporation provides semiconductor, Internet of Things systems, and cloud connectivity solutions. Its offerings target high-end consumer, enterprise, communications, and industrial applications. Recent market activity shows SMTC shares advancing notably, closing around $157 following sessions with strong volume and intraday gains. The stock has climbed substantially from its 52-week low near $35. Influences on sentiment include positive responses to earnings beats and sector tailwinds in analog semiconductors, resulting in pronounced upward price movement in the latest period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MXL and SMTC share exposure to the semiconductor industry but differ in scale and recent momentum. MXL maintains a smaller market capitalization with a focus on communications systems-on-chip, while SMTC offers broader IoT and connectivity solutions at a larger valuation. Recent price action favors SMTC in terms of short-term percentage gains, though MXL demonstrates comparable long-term recovery from lows. Risk factors include sector cyclicality and high beta for both, with SMTC showing greater intraday volatility in recent sessions. Market sentiment appears supportive for connectivity themes, creating trade-offs between MXL’s potentially steadier positioning and SMTC’s stronger near-term catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative momentum in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic edge to SMTC due to its stronger short-term price behavior and larger market capitalization providing additional stability. However, outcomes remain dependent on continued sector demand and individual company execution, with no guarantee of sustained outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MXL is a Hold and SMTC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MXL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSMTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MXL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MXL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMTC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MXL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MXL (@Semiconductors) experienced а +5.56% price change this week, while SMTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +1.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
MXL is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-0.06% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MXL | SMTC | MXL / SMTC | |
| Capitalization | 7.98B | 15.2B | 52% |
| EBITDA | -57.01M | 32M | -178% |
| Gain YTD | 411.073 | 121.577 | 338% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 130.81 | - |
| Revenue | 509M | 1.09B | 47% |
| Total Cash | 61.1M | 163M | 37% |
| Total Debt | 151M | 492M | 31% |
MXL | SMTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MXL's Valuation (68) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (86). This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MXL (57). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's SMR Rating (94) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MXL (98). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (35). This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MXL (54). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
| MXL | SMTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 77% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 85% |
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MXL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MXL has been loosely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MXL jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MXL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MXL | 100% | -7.63% | ||
| MCHP - MXL | 59% Loosely correlated | -9.20% | ||
| AMKR - MXL | 58% Loosely correlated | -7.30% | ||
| KLAC - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| VECO - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.38% | ||
| MU - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -13.18% | ||
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SMTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been loosely correlated with MXL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MXL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMTC | 100% | -6.55% | ||
| MXL - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | -7.63% | ||
| MTSI - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | -6.08% | ||
| MPWR - SMTC | 58% Loosely correlated | -7.42% | ||
| TSEM - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | -10.76% | ||
| AMBA - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | -7.40% | ||
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