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MXL vs SMTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MaxLinear (MXL) vs. Semtech (SMTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MXL and SMTC operate in the semiconductors sector with exposure to data center and connectivity markets.
- MXL has emphasized AI infrastructure products including rack-management and storage accelerators in recent weeks.
- SMTC streamlined its portfolio through the sale of its cellular module business while advancing LoRa IoT devices into production.
- Market capitalizations differ notably, with SMTC larger than MXL based on recent trading levels.
- Recent performance for both reflects broader semiconductor volatility tied to AI demand and infrastructure spending.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between MXL’s focused product launches and SMTC’s portfolio optimization.
Introduction
MaxLinear (MXL) and Semtech (SMTC) are two semiconductor companies whose stocks attract attention from investors seeking exposure to high-speed connectivity, data center infrastructure, and Internet of Things (IoT) applications. This comparison examines their business models, recent market activity, and relative positioning in the current environment. Traders and long-term investors evaluating technology sector holdings may find the analysis useful for assessing momentum, risk factors, and competitive dynamics between these names.
MXL Overview and Recent Performance
MaxLinear, Inc. designs communications systems-on-chip solutions integrating radio frequency, analog, mixed-signal, and digital processing technologies. The company has directed recent efforts toward AI infrastructure, introducing the RackCommander control-plane portfolio, eFuse power-protection devices, and Carmel USB-to-UART solutions in August 2026. These launches complement existing Panther storage accelerators and optical interconnect products aimed at hyperscale data centers. In recent weeks, stock behavior reflected sensitivity to AI-related announcements and broader sector movements, with infrastructure revenue contributing to growth in the first half of 2026. Sentiment has been influenced by design wins and customer ramps in optical and storage segments.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
Semtech Corporation supplies analog and mixed-signal semiconductors along with IoT systems and cloud connectivity solutions. The company operates segments including Signal Integrity, Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless, and IoT Systems and Connectivity. In recent weeks, Semtech advanced its LoRa Plus family with LR2022 and LR2012 devices entering production and completed an agreement to sell its cellular module business for $62 million to sharpen focus on data center and LoRa connectivity. Stock performance in recent market activity showed fluctuations consistent with semiconductor peers, supported by data center networking exposure and IoT developments. Portfolio adjustments and new product milestones shaped sentiment during the period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MaxLinear and Semtech both supply components for high-speed communications and data infrastructure yet differ in scale and emphasis. MXL maintains a narrower focus on integrated systems-on-chip for broadband and emerging AI rack applications, while SMTC addresses broader signal integrity, wireless, and IoT markets with a larger revenue base. Recent momentum for MXL stems from multiple product introductions targeting AI power and connectivity needs; SMTC has pursued portfolio simplification alongside LoRa advancements. Risk factors include execution on design wins for both, alongside sector-wide exposure to capital expenditure cycles at hyperscalers. Market sentiment reflects shared tailwinds from AI buildouts tempered by valuation considerations and competitive pressures in analog and mixed-signal segments.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in infrastructure-related catalysts, relative stability following portfolio adjustments, and positioning within high-growth segments, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for SMTC. This assessment weighs recent product milestones and strategic focus against comparative volatility patterns, though outcomes remain subject to evolving market conditions and earnings visibility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MXL is a Hold and SMTC is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MXL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSMTC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MXL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MXL’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMTC’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MXL’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
MXL (@Semiconductors) experienced а +1.64% price change this week, while SMTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +12.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +1.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
MXL is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+1.23% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MXL | SMTC | MXL / SMTC | |
| Capitalization | 5.69B | 12.6B | 45% |
| EBITDA | -33.35M | 32M | -104% |
| Gain YTD | 259.954 | 83.743 | 310% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 89.73 | - |
| Revenue | 569M | 1.09B | 52% |
| Total Cash | 64.8M | 163M | 40% |
| Total Debt | 148M | 492M | 30% |
MXL | SMTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 24 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MXL's Valuation (58) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (80). This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MXL (87). This means that SMTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than MXL’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's SMR Rating (92) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MXL (96). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (38). This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (49). This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
| MXL | SMTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 81% | 13 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SUPP | 79.37 | 1.31 | +1.68% |
| TCW Transform Supply Chain ETF | |||
| WCAP | 9.33 | N/A | N/A |
| Warcap Unconstrained Equity ETF | |||
| IEF | 92.25 | -0.03 | -0.03% |
| iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | |||
| FLGB | 37.38 | -0.09 | -0.24% |
| Franklin FTSE United Kingdom ETF | |||
| LGI | 18.11 | -0.12 | -0.66% |
| Lazard Global Total Return & Income Fund | |||