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MTSI vs SMTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) vs. Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI and SMTC are both semiconductor companies focused on analog and mixed-signal solutions, with exposure to data centers, wireless infrastructure, and industrial applications.
- In recent market activity, MTSI delivered strong year-to-date gains driven by data center demand following its third-quarter earnings beat, though the stock has experienced volatility from prior highs.
- SMTC posted robust year-to-date performance amid IoT and wireless growth, with a notable post-earnings surge in mid-August that later moderated amid broader sector movements.
- Both stocks have outperformed the broader market on a year-to-date basis, reflecting semiconductor sector momentum, while carrying typical sector risks including cyclical demand and valuation sensitivity.
- Relative positioning highlights MTSI's emphasis on high-performance RF and microwave components versus SMTC's broader IoT and connectivity portfolio.
- Market sentiment for both remains influenced by earnings trends and sector rotation, with observable differences in recent price stability and analyst coverage patterns.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to the semiconductor sector often compare specialized analog and mixed-signal companies to assess relative opportunities. MTSI, or MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., and SMTC, or Semtech Corporation, both operate in this space with overlapping yet distinct end markets including data centers, wireless communications, and industrial applications. This comparison is relevant for those evaluating growth drivers, recent momentum, and positioning within the technology hardware industry amid evolving demand patterns. The analysis focuses on verifiable performance metrics and developments to support informed decision-making without speculation.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. designs and manufactures analog semiconductor solutions for wireless, wireline, and industrial applications, serving markets such as data centers, defense, and carrier infrastructure. In recent market activity, the stock benefited from strong third-quarter results that exceeded expectations, fueled by data center demand, leading to positive analyst commentary and raised guidance. Year-to-date returns have been robust, significantly outpacing the S&P 500, though the shares have shown volatility following earlier peaks in the 52-week range. Sentiment has been supported by earnings momentum and sector tailwinds, with recent weeks reflecting a pullback from highs amid broader market movements.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
Semtech Corporation provides semiconductor, Internet of Things systems, and cloud connectivity solutions across Asia-Pacific, North America, and Europe, with key applications in wireless, IoT, and industrial segments. Recent market activity featured a strong earnings beat that triggered a mid-August surge, followed by moderation as the stock traded within its 52-week range. Year-to-date performance has been solid and ahead of the S&P 500 benchmark, reflecting demand for connectivity products. Sentiment has been shaped by quarterly results and sector dynamics, with observable price swings in recent weeks tied to trading volume and market rotation rather than company-specific events alone.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI emphasizes high-performance RF, microwave, and millimeter-wave components primarily for data center and defense end markets, while SMTC focuses on analog mixed-signal products with broader IoT and cloud connectivity exposure. Both benefit from semiconductor demand growth, yet MTSI has shown more pronounced recent earnings-driven momentum in data centers compared to SMTC’s IoT-led recovery. Recent momentum favors MTSI on relative stability post-earnings, though SMTC displayed sharper short-term volatility after its surge. Risk factors include cyclical semiconductor cycles for both, with MTSI carrying higher beta exposure to infrastructure spending and SMTC more sensitive to IoT adoption rates. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector overall, with observable differences in analyst target dispersion and price action consistency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency following earnings, relative positioning in data center demand, and recent price stability, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic preference to MTSI over SMTC. This assessment reflects stronger alignment with sustained catalysts in key end markets, though outcomes remain subject to broader sector and macroeconomic influences.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTSI is a StrongBuy and SMTC is a Buy.
| MTSI | SMTC | MTSI / SMTC | |
| Capitalization | 21B | 15.6B | 135% |
| EBITDA | 357M | 104M | 343% |
| Gain YTD | 60.497 | 126.951 | 48% |
| P/E Ratio | 87.55 | 110.75 | 79% |
| Revenue | 1.16B | 1.17B | 99% |
| Total Cash | 663M | 204M | 325% |
| Total Debt | 377M | 493M | 76% |
MTSI | SMTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTSI's Valuation (78) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (84). This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (41). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's SMR Rating (41) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (52). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (46). This means that SMTC’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
SMTC's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (64). This means that SMTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | SMTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 71% | 20 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 85% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SMTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMTC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +2.21% price change this week, while SMTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +13.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +2.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +47.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+2.81% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.91% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 76% Closely correlated | +5.54% | ||
| SMTC - MTSI | 73% Closely correlated | +5.10% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +1.95% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.12% | ||
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SMTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been closely correlated with MTSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MTSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMTC | 100% | +5.10% | ||
| MTSI - SMTC | 73% Closely correlated | +0.91% | ||
| MPWR - SMTC | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.08% | ||
| SITM - SMTC | 63% Loosely correlated | +5.54% | ||
| VSH - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | +6.14% | ||
| MXL - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | +7.54% | ||
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