MRNA
Price
$22.36
Change
-$1.82 (-7.53%)
Updated
Nov 20, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
9.45B
91 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
NVAX
Price
$6.22
Change
-$0.12 (-1.89%)
Updated
Nov 20, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
1.03B
104 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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MRNA vs NVAX

Header iconMRNA vs NVAX Comparison
Open Charts MRNA vs NVAXBanner chart's image
Moderna
Price$22.36
Change-$1.82 (-7.53%)
Volume$248.49K
Capitalization9.45B
Novavax
Price$6.22
Change-$0.12 (-1.89%)
Volume$52.93K
Capitalization1.03B
MRNA vs NVAX Comparison Chart in %
MRNA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
NVAX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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VS
MRNA vs. NVAX commentary
Nov 21, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MRNA is a Hold and NVAX is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Nov 21, 2025
Stock price -- (MRNA: $24.18 vs. NVAX: $6.34)
Brand notoriety: MRNA and NVAX are both notable
Both companies represent the Biotechnology industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MRNA: 84% vs. NVAX: 151%
Market capitalization -- MRNA: $9.45B vs. NVAX: $1.03B
MRNA [@Biotechnology] is valued at $9.45B. NVAX’s [@Biotechnology] market capitalization is $1.03B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Biotechnology] industry ranges from $106.82B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Biotechnology] industry is $2.12B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MRNA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNVAX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • MRNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • NVAX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, MRNA is a better buy in the long-term than NVAX.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MRNA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVAX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MRNA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • NVAX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, both MRNA and NVAX are a bad buy in the short-term.

Price Growth

MRNA (@Biotechnology) experienced а -9.47% price change this week, while NVAX (@Biotechnology) price change was -11.94% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Biotechnology industry was -1.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.94%, and the average quarterly price growth was +61.81%.

Reported Earning Dates

MRNA is expected to report earnings on Feb 19, 2026.

NVAX is expected to report earnings on Mar 04, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Biotechnology (-1.63% weekly)

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
MRNA($9.45B) has a higher market cap than NVAX($1.03B). NVAX YTD gains are higher at: -21.144 vs. MRNA (-41.847). NVAX has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 496M vs. MRNA (-2.72B). MRNA has more cash in the bank: 5.13B vs. NVAX (612M). NVAX has less debt than MRNA: NVAX (228M) vs MRNA (741M). MRNA has higher revenues than NVAX: MRNA (3.06B) vs NVAX (1.08B).
MRNANVAXMRNA / NVAX
Capitalization9.45B1.03B917%
EBITDA-2.72B496M-549%
Gain YTD-41.847-21.144198%
P/E RatioN/A3.15-
Revenue3.06B1.08B283%
Total Cash5.13B612M838%
Total Debt741M228M325%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MRNA vs NVAX: Fundamental Ratings
MRNA
NVAX
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
851
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
71
Overvalued
74
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
100100
SMR RATING
1..100
94100
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6383
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
213
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
4645

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

MRNA's Valuation (71) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as NVAX (74). This means that MRNA’s stock grew similarly to NVAX’s over the last 12 months.

MRNA's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as NVAX (100). This means that MRNA’s stock grew similarly to NVAX’s over the last 12 months.

MRNA's SMR Rating (94) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as NVAX (100). This means that MRNA’s stock grew similarly to NVAX’s over the last 12 months.

MRNA's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as NVAX (83). This means that MRNA’s stock grew similarly to NVAX’s over the last 12 months.

MRNA's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as NVAX (13). This means that MRNA’s stock grew similarly to NVAX’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MRNANVAX
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
76%
Bullish Trend 25 days ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
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MRNA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
NVAX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVAX has been loosely correlated with MRNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVAX jumps, then MRNA could also see price increases.

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NAME
Correlation
To NVAX
1D Price
Change %
NVAX100%
-3.50%
MRNA - NVAX
57%
Loosely correlated
-2.97%
BNTX - NVAX
44%
Loosely correlated
-1.07%
XNCR - NVAX
38%
Loosely correlated
-1.62%
CRSP - NVAX
38%
Loosely correlated
-5.12%
CCCC - NVAX
38%
Loosely correlated
+0.60%
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