MRNA
Price
$79.59
Change
+$1.42 (+1.82%)
Updated
Nov 29, 12:21 PM EST
85 days until earnings call
NVAX
Price
$5.73
Change
+$0.27 (+4.95%)
Updated
Nov 28, 6:59 PM EST
90 days until earnings call
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Compare predictions MRNA vs NVAX

Header iconMRNA vs NVAX Comparison
Open Charts MRNA vs NVAXBanner chart's image
Moderna
Price$79.59
Change+$1.42 (+1.82%)
Volume$1.38K
CapitalizationN/A
Novavax
Price$5.73
Change+$0.27 (+4.95%)
Volume$3.71M
CapitalizationN/A
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MRNA vs NVAX Comparison Chart

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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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VS
MRNA vs. NVAX commentary
Nov 29, 2023

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MRNA is a Buy and NVAX is a Hold.

COMPARISON
Comparison
Nov 29, 2023
Stock price -- (MRNA: $78.18 vs. NVAX: $5.73)
Brand notoriety: MRNA and NVAX are both notable
Both companies represent the Biotechnology industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MRNA: 55% vs. NVAX: 87%
Market capitalization -- MRNA: $29.63B vs. NVAX: $648.59M
MRNA [@Biotechnology] is valued at $29.63B. NVAX’s [@Biotechnology] market capitalization is $648.59M. The market cap for tickers in the [@Biotechnology] industry ranges from $464.61B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Biotechnology] industry is $2.29B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MRNA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNVAX’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • MRNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • NVAX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, MRNA is a better buy in the long-term than NVAX.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MRNA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVAX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MRNA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
  • NVAX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, MRNA is a better buy in the short-term than NVAX.

Price Growth

MRNA (@Biotechnology) experienced а +1.35% price change this week, while NVAX (@Biotechnology) price change was +7.10% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Biotechnology industry was +4.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +36.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.89%.

Reported Earning Dates

MRNA is expected to report earnings on Feb 22, 2024.

NVAX is expected to report earnings on Feb 27, 2024.

Industries' Descriptions

@Biotechnology (+4.56% weekly)

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

SUMMARIES
A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for MRNA with price predictions.
OPEN
A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for NVAX with price predictions.
OPEN
FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
MRNA($29.6B) has a higher market cap than NVAX($649M). NVAX YTD gains are higher at: -44.261 vs. MRNA (-56.475). NVAX has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): -498.29M vs. MRNA (-1.82B). MRNA has more cash in the bank: 7.57B vs. NVAX (651M). NVAX has less debt than MRNA: NVAX (222M) vs MRNA (1.46B). MRNA has higher revenues than NVAX: MRNA (9.09B) vs NVAX (974M).
MRNANVAXMRNA / NVAX
Capitalization29.6B649M4,561%
EBITDA-1.82B-498.29M364%
Gain YTD-56.475-44.261128%
P/E Ratio26.46N/A-
Revenue9.09B974M933%
Total Cash7.57B651M1,163%
Total Debt1.46B222M655%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
NVAX: Fundamental Ratings
NVAX
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
54
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
88
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
100
SMR RATING
1..100
100
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
80
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
100
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MRNANVAX
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
82%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 21 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
89%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVAX has been loosely correlated with CRSP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVAX jumps, then CRSP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NVAX
1D Price
Change %
NVAX100%
+4.95%
CRSP - NVAX
47%
Loosely correlated
-1.33%
THRD - NVAX
41%
Loosely correlated
+0.26%
CHRS - NVAX
37%
Loosely correlated
+8.76%
SANA - NVAX
35%
Loosely correlated
N/A
AGEN - NVAX
35%
Loosely correlated
+6.63%
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