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MSCI vs SPGI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MSCI Inc. (MSCI) vs. S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MSCI reported strong Q1 2026 results with 14.1% year-over-year revenue growth to $850.8 million and adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $4.55, boosting its stock in recent weeks.
- SPGI announced a new strategic direction for its upstream energy business and partnerships, amid a broader YTD (year-to-date) decline of around 16%.
- MSCI has outperformed SPGI over the past 12 months, with approximately +5% returns versus -5% to -9%.
- Both companies boast high profit margins above 40%, but MSCI's quarterly revenue growth (14.1%) exceeds SPGI's (9.0%).
- SPGI maintains a larger market cap (~$130B) compared to MSCI (~$43B), offering greater scale in financial data services.
- Recent analyst sentiment favors both, with average price targets implying upside potential.
Introduction
MSCI Inc. (MSCI) and S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) are leading providers of financial indexes, analytics, and market intelligence, making them direct peers in the investment data sector. This stock comparison is relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights amid volatile market conditions and investors evaluating exposure to recurring-revenue businesses driven by asset management trends. Both stocks offer stability through subscription models but differ in scale, growth trajectories, and recent catalysts, helping portfolio managers weigh trade-offs in financial services allocation.
MSCI Overview and Recent Performance
MSCI Inc. specializes in investment decision-support tools, including equity indexes, ESG (environmental, social, and governance) ratings, and analytics platforms used by asset managers globally. In recent market activity, MSCI shares have shown resilience, trading around $593 within a 52-week range of $501 to $626, with a market cap of approximately $43 billion. Strong Q1 2026 results, featuring 14.1% revenue growth and robust adjusted EPS, propelled the stock higher post-earnings, supported by AI-driven product acceleration and an acquisition in private markets data (PM Insights). Sentiment has benefited from reaffirmed 2026 outlook and shareholder approvals, though high debt levels and valuation (trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 33.9) introduce caution amid broader equity rotations.
SPGI Overview and Recent Performance
S&P Global Inc. delivers benchmarks like the S&P 500, credit ratings, and commodity insights, serving a wide array of financial institutions. Recently, SPGI shares hovered near $435 in a 52-week range of $382 to $579, backed by a substantial $130 billion market cap. Developments include a strategic pivot in upstream energy data via partnerships (e.g., with SLB) and AI-focused reshaping, alongside preparations for Q1 earnings. Performance reflects YTD pressure from market dynamics, with quarterly revenue growth at 9.0% TTM (trailing twelve months), offset by solid profitability (profit margin ~29%) and a lower P/E of 29.8. Investor focus remains on scale advantages despite recent softness.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both MSCI and SPGI rely on subscription-based models for steady revenue, but SPGI's diversified segments (ratings, indices, commodities) provide broader sector exposure versus MSCI's index and analytics focus. Growth drivers favor MSCI with higher recent revenue acceleration (14.1% vs. 9.0%), though SPGI scales larger with $15.3B TTM revenue. Momentum tilts to MSCI amid post-earnings gains and YTD outperformance, while SPGI faces headwinds from energy transitions. Risk factors include MSCI's leverage (high debt-to-equity) and SPGI's regulatory scrutiny in ratings; market sentiment leans positive on both via analyst upgrades, with MSCI showing tighter trend consistency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward MSCI based on superior recent momentum, earnings catalysts, and relative stability in growth metrics versus SPGI's scale but softer positioning. Observable trends suggest higher probability of near-term upside for MSCI amid favorable analytics demand, though SPGI could rebound post-earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MSCI is a Hold and SPGI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MSCI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSPGI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MSCI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SPGI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MSCI’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPGI’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MSCI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SPGI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MSCI (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -2.21% price change this week, while SPGI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -0.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -3.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
MSCI is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
SPGI is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-3.32% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| MSCI | SPGI | MSCI / SPGI | |
| Capitalization | 42.3B | 122B | 35% |
| EBITDA | 2B | 8.14B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | 2.067 | -21.002 | -10% |
| P/E Ratio | 33.19 | 25.99 | 128% |
| Revenue | 3.24B | 15.7B | 21% |
| Total Cash | 382M | 1.81B | 21% |
| Total Debt | 6.55B | 13.8B | 47% |
MSCI | SPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 6 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MSCI's Valuation (6) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (69). This means that MSCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (81). This means that MSCI’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's SMR Rating (6) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (58). This means that MSCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (61). This means that MSCI’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's P/E Growth Rating (65) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (84). This means that MSCI’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
| MSCI | SPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 61% | 5 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 48% |
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MSCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSCI has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MSCI jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MSCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI | 100% | -2.63% | ||
| SPGI - MSCI | 68% Closely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| MCO - MSCI | 66% Loosely correlated | -1.22% | ||
| MORN - MSCI | 56% Loosely correlated | -6.46% | ||
| NDAQ - MSCI | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| JEF - MSCI | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.36% | ||
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