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NDAQ vs SPGI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) vs. S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) delivered strong Q2 2026 results with revenue of $1.5 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.07, beating estimates and prompting multiple analyst price target increases.
- S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) saw a notable share price increase of nearly 8% in early July 2026 following a corporate spinoff, though subsequent market activity showed more mixed movements.
- Over recent weeks, NDAQ has exhibited positive momentum tied to earnings growth in its core exchange and technology segments, while SPGI's performance reflects both the spinoff catalyst and broader sector dynamics.
- Business models differ markedly: NDAQ focuses on market infrastructure and data services, whereas SPGI provides ratings, indices, and analytics with higher operating margins.
- Both stocks operate in the financial information and market services space, exposing them to similar macroeconomic factors such as trading volumes and regulatory environments.
- Relative performance in recent market activity highlights trade-offs between NDAQ's earnings-driven upside and SPGI's established scale in data and ratings.
Introduction
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) and S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) represent two prominent players in the financial markets ecosystem, offering investors exposure to exchange operations, data services, and analytics. This comparison examines their recent performance, business positioning, and market dynamics to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating relative opportunities within the sector. Market participants focused on financial infrastructure, regulatory themes, and data-driven growth may find the analysis particularly relevant amid evolving trading volumes and information services demand.
NDAQ Overview and Recent Performance
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) operates one of the world's largest stock exchanges and provides technology, data, and index services to global markets. In recent market activity, the stock has responded positively to its second-quarter 2026 earnings release, which showed revenue reaching $1.5 billion alongside non-GAAP EPS of $1.07. Multiple Wall Street firms raised price targets following the report, citing broad-based growth across segments. Sentiment in recent weeks has been supported by these results and ongoing demand for exchange and technology solutions, though the shares have traded within a broader range influenced by overall market conditions.
SPGI Overview and Recent Performance
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) delivers credit ratings, market indices, and financial data analytics through its established platforms. Recent market activity featured a sharp price increase of nearly 8% in early July tied to completion of a corporate spinoff that streamlined operations. Subsequent weeks reflected more varied trading as the stock adjusted to the event and broader sector influences. Performance has been shaped by demand for its ratings and analytics offerings, with the company maintaining significant scale in information services amid fluctuating market sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) derives revenue primarily from trading fees, market data subscriptions, and technology licensing, creating sensitivity to equity market volumes and volatility. In contrast, S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) generates the majority of its income from recurring subscriptions to ratings, indices, and analytics, supporting more stable cash flows and typically higher adjusted operating margins near 49-50%. Recent momentum favors NDAQ following its earnings beat and subsequent analyst upgrades, while SPGI benefited from the spinoff catalyst earlier in the period. Risk factors include regulatory scrutiny for both, with NDAQ additionally exposed to competitive pressures in exchange services and SPGI facing cyclicality in credit markets. Sector exposure overlaps in financial services, yet NDAQ maintains greater direct linkage to trading activity and SPGI emphasizes information and ratings leadership.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, analyst sentiment shifts, and relative positioning in market activity, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) over S&P Global Inc. (SPGI). The stock's post-earnings momentum and multiple upward target revisions provide a clearer near-term catalyst profile compared with SPGI's mixed adjustments following its corporate event. This assessment remains conditional on continued trend stability and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NDAQ is a Buy and SPGI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NDAQ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSPGI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- NDAQ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SPGI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NDAQ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPGI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NDAQ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SPGI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NDAQ (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +2.57% price change this week, while SPGI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was +2.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was +0.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
NDAQ is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
SPGI is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (+0.38% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| NDAQ | SPGI | NDAQ / SPGI | |
| Capitalization | 54.2B | 123B | 44% |
| EBITDA | 3.43B | 8.39B | 41% |
| Gain YTD | 0.563 | -14.856 | -4% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.29 | 25.49 | 111% |
| Revenue | 8.74B | 16.1B | 54% |
| Total Cash | 2.79B | 4.13B | 67% |
| Total Debt | 9.24B | 15.6B | 59% |
NDAQ | SPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 82 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NDAQ's Valuation (68) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as SPGI (76) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (82) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's SMR Rating (53) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as SPGI (56) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's Price Growth Rating (31) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as SPGI (55) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
NDAQ's P/E Growth Rating (76) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as SPGI (90) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry. This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
| NDAQ | SPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 49% | 11 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 59% |
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NDAQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NDAQ has been closely correlated with JEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NDAQ jumps, then JEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NDAQ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDAQ | 100% | -0.58% | ||
| JEF - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | -1.29% | ||
| MS - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | -0.47% | ||
| GS - NDAQ | 70% Closely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| RJF - NDAQ | 69% Closely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| SPGI - NDAQ | 68% Closely correlated | -0.92% | ||
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SPGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPGI has been closely correlated with MCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPGI jumps, then MCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPGI | 100% | -0.92% | ||
| MCO - SPGI | 88% Closely correlated | -0.50% | ||
| MSCI - SPGI | 70% Closely correlated | -0.71% | ||
| NDAQ - SPGI | 68% Closely correlated | -0.58% | ||
| MORN - SPGI | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| FDS - SPGI | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
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