Advertisement
MCO vs SPGI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Moody's Corporation (MCO) vs. S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MCO has outperformed SPGI over the past year, with a smaller decline of approximately 2% compared to SPGI's roughly 15% drop.
- Both companies operate in the financial data and credit ratings sector, benefiting from debt issuance cycles and regulatory demand for ratings.
- MCO reports higher profitability metrics, including gross margins near 75% and strong EBIT margins, versus SPGI's slightly lower figures.
- Recent market activity shows MCO trading near $469 with a market capitalization of about $81 billion, while SPGI trades near $405 with a market cap exceeding $119 billion.
- Sentiment for both remains tied to broader capital markets activity, with analyst targets indicating upside potential for each amid stable sector positioning.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in scale, with SPGI offering greater diversification post-acquisitions and MCO demonstrating more focused efficiency.
Introduction
Moody's Corporation (MCO) and S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) stand as the two dominant players in credit ratings and financial information services. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business fundamentals, and market positioning in the current environment. Investors and traders focused on the financial services sector, particularly those evaluating stable, high-margin businesses with exposure to debt capital markets, may find this analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions. The review emphasizes verifiable performance metrics and sector dynamics without forward-looking speculation.
MCO Overview and Recent Performance
Moody's Corporation provides credit ratings through its Investors Service segment and analytics via Moody's Analytics. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience relative to broader market trends, closing near $468.59 as of mid-September 2026. Year-to-date performance reflects a decline of about 7.7%, while the trailing twelve months show a modest drop of around 2%. Recent quarterly results featured revenue growth exceeding 15% year-over-year in the second quarter, supported by strong margins with gross margins near 75% and EBIT margins around 46%. Factors influencing sentiment include sustained demand for ratings amid corporate refinancing activity and the company's capital-light model, which contributes to high returns on equity.
SPGI Overview and Recent Performance
S&P Global Inc. delivers credit ratings, market intelligence, indices, and commodity data services following its integration of prior acquisitions. The stock has traded near $405.32 in recent sessions as of mid-September 2026. Year-to-date returns show a decline near 17-18%, with the past year reflecting approximately a 15% drop. Second-quarter revenue rose over 10% year-over-year, accompanied by solid profitability though at levels slightly below those of its primary peer. Market activity in recent weeks has been influenced by the company's larger scale and diversified revenue streams, including indices and data analytics, alongside ongoing capital markets volumes that support its core ratings business.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates top-performing AI trading bots from hundreds available on the platform. These bots trade thousands of different tickers using varied strategies, timeframes, and performance profiles suited to current market conditions. Available bots demonstrate a range of outcomes, with leading agents achieving annualized returns often exceeding 100% in live conditions, win rates between 59% and 67%, and profit factors up to 4.5 or higher. Each bot features distinct approaches, from short-term momentum to multi-ticker hedging, along with detailed statistics on returns, drawdowns, and ticker exposure. The section highlights bots demonstrating consistent results amid volatility. Review the full selection on the Trending AI Robots page for options aligned with individual trading preferences.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Both MCO and SPGI share exposure to credit ratings and financial data, yet differ in scale and diversification. SPGI maintains a larger market capitalization and broader revenue base, including indices and commodity analytics, which can provide stability but also integration-related costs. MCO operates with higher reported margins and returns on equity, reflecting a more concentrated business mix. Recent momentum favors MCO on a relative basis, with smaller price declines over the trailing year. Risk factors for both include sensitivity to debt issuance volumes and regulatory changes in ratings oversight. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector overall, though SPGI's greater size introduces different liquidity and volatility characteristics compared to MCO.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as relative price stability, margin consistency, and positioning within the ratings sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to MCO over SPGI. This assessment draws from stronger recent performance metrics and efficiency indicators, though outcomes remain subject to broader market dynamics and sector catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Moody's Corporation (MCO) and S&P Global Inc (SPGI) provide research and analytics for financial institutions and investors. S&P has four segments: one specializing in ratings for companies based on fundamental analysis; one obtaining stock market intelligence to identify opportunities, risks, and trends; one dedicated to physical commodities markets, and one maintaining their indices which attempt to accurately depict sectors, industries, and markets as concisely as possible. Moody’s operations are similar, providing creditworthiness ratings through it’s MIS segment, and analysis services and platforms designed to increase access to relevant information and to streamline decision-making. The companies are very similar in their size, revenue, diluted EPS, price-to-sales, and dividend rate. Slightly more investors are shorting SPGI at the time of this writing, but it may be a short-term trend.
MCO | SPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SPGI's Valuation (87) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (97). This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (65) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (100). This means that MCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's SMR Rating (16) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (56). This means that MCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (59). This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's P/E Growth Rating (74) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (83). This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
| MCO | SPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 41% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 63% | 17 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 55% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SPGI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SPGI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPGI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- SPGI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MCO (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -3.08% price change this week, while SPGI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -2.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -2.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCO is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
SPGI is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-2.69% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
Advertisement
SPGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPGI has been closely correlated with MCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPGI jumps, then MCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPGI | 100% | -0.88% | ||
| MCO - SPGI | 88% Closely correlated | -1.14% | ||
| MSCI - SPGI | 71% Closely correlated | -0.55% | ||
| NDAQ - SPGI | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.83% | ||
| MORN - SPGI | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| JEF - SPGI | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.29% | ||
More | ||||