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MCO vs SPGI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Moody's Corporation (MCO) vs. S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MCO reported strong Q2 2026 results with 15% revenue growth and an EPS beat, while SPGI is scheduled to report earnings on July 28, 2026.
- MCO shares closed near $471.50 on July 24, 2026, reflecting resilience amid broader market conditions compared to SPGI at approximately $426.40.
- Both companies operate in credit ratings and financial data services, with MCO showing higher recent operating margins and SPGI maintaining a more diversified revenue base.
- Recent analyst activity for SPGI includes mixed price target adjustments, while MCO benefited from raised full-year outlook elements post-earnings.
- Relative performance in recent weeks highlights MCO's earnings momentum versus SPGI's pre-earnings positioning.
- Sector exposure for both centers on financial information services, with growth tied to corporate debt markets and data analytics demand.
Introduction
Moody's Corporation (MCO) and S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) are leading providers of credit ratings, financial data, and analytics. Investors and traders focused on the financial information services sector often compare these stocks due to their similar business exposures and sensitivity to economic cycles, capital markets activity, and regulatory environments. This analysis examines their recent performance, operational developments, and relative positioning to assist those evaluating opportunities within established financial infrastructure companies.
MCO Overview and Recent Performance
Moody's Corporation provides credit ratings through its Investors Service segment and analytical tools via Moody's Analytics. In recent market activity, MCO delivered robust Q2 2026 results, with revenue rising 15% year-over-year to $2.185 billion, driven by strength in ratings amid higher debt issuance volumes. Adjusted EPS reached $4.68, exceeding estimates, and the company updated select full-year 2026 metrics. Shares traded around $471.50 as of July 24, 2026, following an initial post-earnings reaction, with sentiment supported by margin expansion to 55.3% on an adjusted basis. Broader influences included steady demand for credit assessment services.
SPGI Overview and Recent Performance
S&P Global Inc. offers credit ratings, indices, and market intelligence across diversified platforms. In recent market activity, SPGI has maintained focus on operational evolution, including adjustments to its Market Intelligence segment for enhanced platform capabilities. Shares closed at approximately $426.40 on July 24, 2026, ahead of the Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 28. Analyst price targets have seen incremental revisions in both directions during recent weeks, reflecting ongoing evaluation of growth in data and analytics amid comparable sector tailwinds. Performance has been influenced by positioning ahead of results and broader equity market dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCO and SPGI share core exposure to credit ratings and financial data but differ in scale and diversification. MCO derives a larger proportion of revenue from ratings services with higher operating margins, while SPGI benefits from broader offerings in indices and commodities intelligence following prior integration activities. Recent momentum favored MCO following its earnings beat and guidance updates, contrasting with SPGI's pre-earnings phase. Risk factors for both include sensitivity to interest rate environments and debt market volumes, though SPGI's larger size may offer greater stability in diversified segments. Market sentiment reflects comparable sector positioning, with trade-offs centered on earnings visibility versus portfolio breadth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, margin trends, and relative price stability in the past several weeks, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic preference toward MCO over SPGI. This reflects stronger demonstrated momentum from Q2 results and updated outlook elements, though outcomes remain contingent on upcoming data releases and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Moody's Corporation (MCO) and S&P Global Inc (SPGI) provide research and analytics for financial institutions and investors. S&P has four segments: one specializing in ratings for companies based on fundamental analysis; one obtaining stock market intelligence to identify opportunities, risks, and trends; one dedicated to physical commodities markets, and one maintaining their indices which attempt to accurately depict sectors, industries, and markets as concisely as possible. Moody’s operations are similar, providing creditworthiness ratings through it’s MIS segment, and analysis services and platforms designed to increase access to relevant information and to streamline decision-making. The companies are very similar in their size, revenue, diluted EPS, price-to-sales, and dividend rate. Slightly more investors are shorting SPGI at the time of this writing, but it may be a short-term trend.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSPGI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SPGI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPGI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SPGI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MCO (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -3.84% price change this week, while SPGI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -1.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was +3.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCO is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
SPGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (+3.83% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| MCO | SPGI | MCO / SPGI | |
| Capitalization | 84.2B | 130B | 65% |
| EBITDA | 3.96B | 8.14B | 49% |
| Gain YTD | -4.439 | -10.581 | 42% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.84 | 27.82 | 111% |
| Revenue | 7.87B | 15.7B | 50% |
| Total Cash | 1.51B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 7.31B | 13.8B | 53% |
MCO | SPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 25 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SPGI's Valuation (78) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (85). This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (76). This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's SMR Rating (15) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (58). This means that MCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
SPGI's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (53). This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's P/E Growth Rating (81) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (84). This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
| MCO | SPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 48% |
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SPGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPGI has been closely correlated with MCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPGI jumps, then MCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPGI | 100% | +3.15% | ||
| MCO - SPGI | 88% Closely correlated | +3.07% | ||
| NDAQ - SPGI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.01% | ||
| MSCI - SPGI | 64% Loosely correlated | +3.67% | ||
| FDS - SPGI | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.54% | ||
| MORN - SPGI | 63% Loosely correlated | +5.69% | ||
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