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MCO vs SPGI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Moody's Corporation (MCO) vs. S&P Global (SPGI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Two credit-ratings-and-data leaders, different profiles: MCO is anchored by Moody's Investors Service plus a fast-growing Analytics arm, while SPGI is more diversified across Ratings, Indices, Market Intelligence, and Commodity Insights.
- Diverging recent momentum: Moody's shares have softened after a modest third-quarter earnings miss, while S&P Global has faced a sharper year-to-date pullback on AI-competition concerns.
- Growth engine contrast: Moody's recurring Analytics revenue (up 8% year over year) is offsetting softer ratings issuance, whereas S&P Global is leaning on Indices and Ratings strength amid a Market Intelligence reset.
- Valuation gap: Moody's trades near a mid-to-high-20s forward earnings multiple, while S&P Global sits at a lower multiple that analysts view as relatively discounted.
- For additional context on each name, explore MCO Major News and MCO Today's Price Move, along with SPGI Major News and SPGI Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven systems are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Moody's Corporation (MCO) and S&P Global (SPGI) are two of the most influential financial-information franchises in the world, sharing a powerful duopoly in credit ratings while competing in data, analytics, and benchmarks. Because both generate substantial revenue from debt issuance cycles and recurring subscriptions, their relative performance offers a useful lens on capital-markets activity and investor sentiment toward financial data providers. This comparison is relevant for long-term investors evaluating durable, high-margin franchises, as well as traders tracking how recent earnings, AI-driven disruption, and credit-market trends are reshaping market positioning between the two names.
MCO Overview and Recent Performance
Moody's operates through Moody's Investors Service (its credit ratings business) and Moody's Analytics (subscription-based risk, data, and research products). Recent market activity has seen the stock pull back after third-quarter results came in modestly below consensus, with adjusted earnings per share of $4.14 and revenue of roughly $2.02 billion. Ratings revenue declined about 1% year over year as lower leveraged-finance and high-yield issuance weighed on results, partially offset by an 18% rise in investment-grade revenue. Moody's Analytics grew 3%, and its annualized recurring revenue rose 8%, underscoring the stability of the subscription base. Management reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS (earnings per share) guidance in the $16.50–$17.00 range, and the company continued returning capital through buybacks. Sentiment has been tempered by rising operating expenses and a tougher issuance environment, though the firm's durable analytics franchise remains a core support.
SPGI Overview and Recent Performance
S&P Global is organized across four segments: S&P Global Ratings, Indices, Market Intelligence, and Commodity Insights, following the recent separation of its Mobility unit. Recent quarters have delivered strong top-line momentum, with first-quarter revenue up roughly 10% year over year and second-quarter adjusted EPS up 23% on double-digit pro-forma revenue growth. Ratings benefited from elevated investment-grade issuance tied to artificial-intelligence infrastructure financing, while Indices saw robust growth. Despite this operational strength, the stock has underperformed, with a double-digit year-to-date decline driven by investor concerns about AI competition in the market-data business and a reset underway in Market Intelligence. Management has responded by raising its 2026 share-repurchase target above $7 billion and leaning on AI-driven productivity savings to protect margins. The share price now trades at a multiple several analysts consider discounted relative to its franchise quality.
Trending AI Robots
For traders who prefer a systematic, data-driven approach, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a selection of the platform's AI trading bots. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI-powered trading bots that collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and universe of securities. Rather than listing every bot, the Trending AI Robots section highlights only those judged most suitable for current market conditions, giving users a focused starting point amid the broader catalog. Whether you are evaluating large-cap financial data providers or scanning other sectors, exploring the Trending AI Robots page can help you identify automated strategies aligned with today's market environment.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast is business-model concentration. Moody's derives a majority of its profit from the ratings business, making it more sensitive to debt-issuance cycles, though its high-growth Analytics segment provides growing recurring revenue. S&P Global is more diversified, with Indices and Commodity Insights adding ballast beyond ratings and Market Intelligence. On recent momentum, Moody's has shown greater price stability, while S&P Global has corrected more sharply despite stronger headline growth, reflecting heavier exposure to AI-disruption narratives. Risk factors differ: Moody's faces elevated expenses and leveraged-finance softness, while S&P Global is contending with competitive pressure in market data and ongoing investment in its Market Intelligence reset. From a valuation standpoint, S&P Global's lower multiple is viewed by some analysts as offering more relative value, whereas Moody's premium reflects the faster growth and recurring mix of its Analytics business. Sector exposure is similar, but the growth drivers and sentiment catalysts diverge meaningfully.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor Moody's (MCO) at the current juncture, reflecting more consistent trend stability, a higher-margin recurring-revenue base, and relatively resilient share-price action compared with S&P Global's (SPGI) steeper drawdown and heavier AI-competition overhang. That said, S&P Global's stronger recent earnings growth, broader diversification, and comparatively discounted valuation could argue for the opposite conclusion if market-data sentiment stabilizes. The verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: Moody's currently displays steadier positioning, while S&P Global offers a potentially larger catalyst-driven recovery if investor concerns around AI and Market Intelligence ease.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Moody's Corporation (MCO) and S&P Global Inc (SPGI) provide research and analytics for financial institutions and investors. S&P has four segments: one specializing in ratings for companies based on fundamental analysis; one obtaining stock market intelligence to identify opportunities, risks, and trends; one dedicated to physical commodities markets, and one maintaining their indices which attempt to accurately depict sectors, industries, and markets as concisely as possible. Moody’s operations are similar, providing creditworthiness ratings through it’s MIS segment, and analysis services and platforms designed to increase access to relevant information and to streamline decision-making. The companies are very similar in their size, revenue, diluted EPS, price-to-sales, and dividend rate. Slightly more investors are shorting SPGI at the time of this writing, but it may be a short-term trend.
MCO in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MCO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCO as a result. In 53 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCO just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where MCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
MCO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCO advanced for three days, in 215 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 122 of 274 cases where MCO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 45%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MCO moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 28 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 64 cases where MCO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
MCO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MCO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MCO's P/B Ratio (28.950) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.143). P/E Ratio (31.984) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.659). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.609) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.132) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).
SPGI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
SPGI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 24 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPGI as a result. In 50 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPGI just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPGI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The 10-day moving average for SPGI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
The 50-day moving average for SPGI moved above the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +1.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPGI advanced for three days, in 193 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 147 of 300 cases where SPGI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPGI moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 58 cases where SPGI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
SPGI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. SPGI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.378) is normal, around the industry mean (4.143). P/E Ratio (28.455) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.659). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.893) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.570) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).
MCO | SPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 19 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 69 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SPGI's Valuation (92) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (97). This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (67). This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's SMR Rating (16) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (56). This means that MCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
SPGI's Price Growth Rating (19) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (30). This means that SPGI’s stock grew similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's P/E Growth Rating (69) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (72). This means that MCO’s stock grew similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
| MCO | SPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 53% | 6 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 49% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SPGI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MCO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SPGI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPGI’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SPGI’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MCO (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +1.39% price change this week, while SPGI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was +1.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -0.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.53%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCO is expected to report earnings on Feb 05, 2027.
SPGI is expected to report earnings on Feb 09, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-0.54% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
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MCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCO has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCO jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCO | 100% | -0.07% | ||
| SPGI - MCO | 88% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| MSCI - MCO | 73% Closely correlated | +1.61% | ||
| JEF - MCO | 66% Closely correlated | -2.69% | ||
| SF - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| GS - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.44% | ||
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SPGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPGI has been closely correlated with MCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPGI jumps, then MCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPGI | 100% | +0.49% | ||
| MCO - SPGI | 88% Closely correlated | -0.07% | ||
| MSCI - SPGI | 71% Closely correlated | +1.61% | ||
| NDAQ - SPGI | 66% Closely correlated | +1.40% | ||
| TRU - SPGI | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| MORN - SPGI | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.13% | ||
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