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MSFT vs SPY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MSFT is a Hold and SPY is a Hold.
Aroon Indicator for MSFT shows an upward move is likely
MSFT's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 16, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 273 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 182 of the 273 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSFT as a result. In 51 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSFT just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where MSFT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +1.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in 214 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MSFT moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 45%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 67 cases where MSFT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
MSFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.547) is normal, around the industry mean (17.765). P/E Ratio (28.369) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.654) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.013) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
SPY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
SPY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 70 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In 58 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +1.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 301 of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 357 of 423 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.
MSFT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 11 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| MSFT | SPY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 64% | 13 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 55% | 5 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 84% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MSFT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- MSFT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MSFT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- MSFT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MSFT (@Computer Communications) experienced а -1.13% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was -8.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
MSFT is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Communications (-8.82% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
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|---|---|---|---|
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| CTEF | 84.74 | -1.65 | -1.91% |
| Castellan Targeted Equity ETF (CTEF) | |||
| NOWL | 7.78 | -0.78 | -9.11% |
| GraniteShares 2x Long NOW Daily ETF (NOWL) | |||
MSFT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSFT has been loosely correlated with NOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MSFT jumps, then NOW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MSFT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | 100% | -1.93% | ||
| NOW - MSFT | 61% Loosely correlated | -4.44% | ||
| CDNS - MSFT | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| COIN - MSFT | 56% Loosely correlated | -5.79% | ||
| CLSK - MSFT | 54% Loosely correlated | -10.16% | ||
| ADSK - MSFT | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.15% | ||
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