NAIL
Price
$27.58
Change
+$3.06 (+12.48%)
Updated
Oct 15, 11:14 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
524.62M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TOL
Price
$134.12
Change
+$3.71 (+2.84%)
Updated
Oct 15, 02:37 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
12.58B
60 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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NAIL vs TOL

NAIL vs TOL Comparison Chart in %
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NAIL vs. TOL commentary
Oct 15, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NAIL is a Hold and TOL is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for NAIL with price predictions
Oct 14, 2026

Momentum Indicator for NAIL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

NAIL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 76 of the 81 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NAIL turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 48 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NAIL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for NAIL entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NAIL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +11.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NAIL advanced for three days, in 273 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

NAIL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TOL with price predictions
Oct 14, 2026

TOL's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for TOL entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 162 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 115 of the 162 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 71%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOL as a result. In 54 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TOL turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 61%.

The 50-day moving average for TOL moved below the 200-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TOL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in 225 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

TOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.474) is normal, around the industry mean (1.963). P/E Ratio (11.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.880) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.184) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
TOL: Fundamental Ratings
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
14
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
65
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
48
SMR RATING
1..100
58
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
58
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
32
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
75

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
NAILTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
62%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
70%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 24 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
71%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
59%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
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NAIL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TOL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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NAIL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NAIL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NAIL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NAIL
1D Price
Change %
NAIL100%
-4.18%
PHM - NAIL
95%
Closely correlated
-2.00%
DHI - NAIL
93%
Closely correlated
-1.34%
TOL - NAIL
91%
Closely correlated
-1.69%
MTH - NAIL
91%
Closely correlated
-0.41%
LEN - NAIL
88%
Closely correlated
-1.86%
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