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NEM vs PAAS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Newmont Corporation (NEM) vs. Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the world’s largest gold producer with a diversified portfolio of long-life assets, while Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) focuses primarily on silver production with gold byproducts.
- In recent market activity, both stocks have benefited from elevated precious metals prices, with NEM showing strong free cash flow generation from its Q2 2026 results and PAAS demonstrating robust earnings beats in prior quarters.
- NEM offers greater scale and operational stability through its global gold operations, whereas PAAS provides higher sensitivity to silver price movements and potential growth from acquisitions and project expansions.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects sector tailwinds from rising gold and silver prices, with NEM exhibiting consistent production guidance adherence and PAAS highlighting upcoming quarterly results as a near-term catalyst.
- Risk factors differ by primary commodity exposure: NEM faces gold-specific operational and regulatory considerations, while PAAS contends with silver market volatility and execution on development projects.
- Market sentiment for both remains constructive amid broader precious metals demand, though trade-offs center on NEM’s defensive positioning versus PAAS’s leveraged upside potential in silver.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to precious metals often compare gold and silver mining equities to assess relative value, risk, and performance characteristics. Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) represent leading producers in their respective primary commodities, making them relevant benchmarks for sector analysis. This comparison appeals to those evaluating portfolio diversification within materials, momentum in commodity-linked equities, or tactical allocations based on gold versus silver price dynamics. The analysis examines business models, recent operational results, and market positioning using verifiable data from company reports and financial platforms.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM) operates as the world’s largest gold mining company, with a portfolio spanning multiple continents and a focus on long-life assets. In recent market activity, the stock has reflected strength in gold prices and solid operational delivery. The company reported robust second-quarter 2026 results, including record free cash flow and production near 1.3 million attributable gold ounces, while reaffirming full-year guidance. Sentiment has been supported by consistent capital returns through dividends and share repurchases alongside ongoing investments in the asset base. Broader influences include favorable precious metals pricing and sector-wide demand, contributing to positive relative performance amid fluctuating equity markets.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) ranks among the largest primary silver producers, with operations concentrated in the Americas and meaningful gold credits from its mines. Recent market activity has shown responsiveness to rising silver prices and operational momentum. The company delivered strong first-quarter 2026 results that exceeded expectations, generating substantial free cash flow and bolstering its balance sheet. Attention has turned to the upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings release, which serves as a near-term focus for investors. Performance drivers include production growth targets and project development, set against a backdrop of elevated silver market conditions that have influenced broader sector sentiment in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) differ markedly in primary commodity focus, with NEM centered on gold and PAAS on silver with gold credits. NEM’s larger scale and diversified asset base support more stable production profiles and consistent free cash flow generation, while PAAS exhibits greater leverage to silver price fluctuations and potential upside from project expansions or acquisitions. Recent momentum for both has aligned with precious metals strength, though NEM’s track record of meeting guidance provides a defensive contrast to PAAS’s upcoming earnings catalyst. Risk considerations include NEM’s exposure to gold-specific operational and regulatory factors versus PAAS’s sensitivity to silver market volatility and development execution. Sector exposure overlaps in precious metals, yet market sentiment reflects trade-offs between NEM’s established positioning and PAAS’s targeted commodity upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, balance sheet strength, production stability, and relative positioning within the precious metals sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Newmont Corporation (NEM). The company’s scale, recent free cash flow results, and adherence to guidance provide a foundation for more consistent performance signals compared to PAAS’s higher sensitivity to silver-specific catalysts. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NEM is a Buy and PAAS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NEM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePAAS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NEM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PAAS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NEM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAAS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PAAS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
NEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +12.99% price change this week, while PAAS (@Precious Metals) price change was +8.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +8.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +17.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+8.01% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| NEM | PAAS | NEM / PAAS | |
| Capitalization | 124B | 22.1B | 561% |
| EBITDA | 16B | 2.22B | 722% |
| Gain YTD | 18.532 | 1.697 | 1,092% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.86 | 16.52 | 90% |
| Revenue | 25.8B | 4B | 645% |
| Total Cash | 9.01B | 1.61B | 558% |
| Total Debt | 5.6B | 845M | 662% |
NEM | PAAS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 49 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 38 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (19) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (71). This means that PAAS’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (49). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's SMR Rating (38) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (45). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (46). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAAS (79). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
| NEM | PAAS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 88% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 77% | 9 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 66% | 16 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 71% |
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NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM | 100% | +0.54% | ||
| KGC - NEM | 88% Closely correlated | +0.88% | ||
| AEM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| WPM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| PAAS - NEM | 85% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| CGAU - NEM | 85% Closely correlated | +0.28% | ||
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PAAS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAAS has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAAS jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAAS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAAS | 100% | +1.14% | ||
| WPM - PAAS | 90% Closely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| KGC - PAAS | 88% Closely correlated | +0.88% | ||
| AEM - PAAS | 87% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| IAG - PAAS | 86% Closely correlated | -0.50% | ||
| NEM - PAAS | 85% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
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