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NEM vs PAAS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Newmont Corporation (NEM) vs. Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Newmont Corporation (NEM) operates as the world’s largest gold producer with a diversified portfolio of long-life assets, while Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) focuses primarily on silver with meaningful gold by-product credits.
- Over recent weeks, both stocks have experienced downward pressure amid broader precious metals volatility, though PAAS has shown notable year-over-year gains driven by operational strength.
- PAAS reported robust Q1 2026 results featuring record cash balances and an enhanced shareholder return framework targeting up to $1 billion in distributions for the full year.
- NEM benefits from greater scale and geographic diversification, potentially offering relative stability compared to PAAS’s higher sensitivity to silver price movements.
- Sector sentiment for precious metals miners remains influenced by macroeconomic factors including interest rates, inflation expectations, and industrial demand for silver.
- Relative positioning favors companies with strong balance sheets and clear capital return plans amid fluctuating commodity prices.
Introduction
Investors and traders frequently compare Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) to assess exposure within the precious metals sector. NEM represents large-scale gold mining with extensive global operations, while PAAS provides primary exposure to silver alongside gold production. This comparison appeals to those seeking to understand differences in business models, recent momentum, and risk profiles within a volatile commodity environment. Market participants evaluating portfolio diversification or sector rotation may find the relative performance and operational updates particularly relevant for informed decision-making.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the largest gold mining company by production volume, with operations spanning multiple continents and a focus on long-life assets. In recent market activity, the stock has reflected broader pressures on gold producers, including fluctuations in metal prices and macroeconomic influences. Sentiment has been shaped by ongoing operational execution and cost management efforts across its portfolio. Recent weeks have highlighted the company’s emphasis on maintaining production stability amid evolving market conditions, contributing to measured investor responses rather than sharp directional moves.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) is a leading silver producer with integrated gold output from its mines. The company delivered strong first-quarter 2026 financial results, including elevated mine operating earnings that supported a record cash position. Recent market activity has shown price declines over the past month, consistent with silver price movements, yet longer-term returns remain positive. Key developments include an updated shareholder return framework targeting substantial capital returns to investors and exploration initiatives aimed at extending mine life, which have supported operational narratives during recent periods.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) differ markedly in primary commodity focus, with NEM centered on gold and PAAS on silver with gold credits. This distinction drives contrasting growth drivers: NEM’s scale supports resilience through diversified assets, whereas PAAS benefits from potential silver industrial demand but faces greater price volatility. Recent momentum has tilted toward operational catalysts at PAAS, including enhanced capital returns, while NEM emphasizes steady production across its larger footprint. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity for both, though PAAS exhibits higher beta to silver. Sector exposure places both within precious metals, yet market sentiment reflects differing leverage to macroeconomic variables such as rates and inflation. Trade-offs center on stability versus targeted commodity upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, balance sheet strength, and recent operational catalysts, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) for its combination of cash generation and shareholder return initiatives. NEM offers advantages in scale and diversification that support stability assessments. The evaluation remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing data patterns rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NEM is a Buy and PAAS is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePAAS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PAAS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NEM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAAS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PAAS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +4.28% price change this week, while PAAS (@Precious Metals) price change was +5.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +5.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -34.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+5.44% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| NEM | PAAS | NEM / PAAS | |
| Capitalization | 102B | 18.6B | 548% |
| EBITDA | 16.2B | 2.22B | 731% |
| Gain YTD | -4.724 | -14.204 | 33% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.29 | 13.94 | 88% |
| Revenue | 25B | 4B | 625% |
| Total Cash | 8.78B | 1.61B | 544% |
| Total Debt | 5.53B | 845M | 655% |
NEM | PAAS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 61 Fair valued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 3 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (16) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (61). This means that PAAS’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (54) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (61). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's SMR Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (44). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (61). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAAS (96). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
| NEM | PAAS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 8 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 64% |
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NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.