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NOV vs OII
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NOV Inc. (NOV) vs. Oceaneering International (OII) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- OII has delivered sharply stronger relative performance in recent months, gaining roughly 100% over the past year versus a far more modest move for NOV.
- The two companies occupy different niches: NOV is a diversified energy-equipment and technology supplier, while OII concentrates on subsea robotics, engineered products, and aerospace/defense services.
- NOV's results have been pressured by Middle East logistics disruptions and tariffs, while OII is benefiting from surging defense and subsea robotics demand.
- NOV offers a dividend and a sizable capital-equipment backlog; OII offers faster momentum but a higher valuation after its rally.
- Both carry meaningful exposure to offshore energy cycles, but OII's aerospace and defense segment (ADTech) provides diversification NOV lacks.
Introduction
Energy equipment and services stocks rarely move in lockstep, and the contrast between NOV (NOV Inc.) and OII (Oceaneering International, Inc.) illustrates exactly why a stock comparison matters. Both companies serve offshore and subsea energy markets, yet their recent trajectories have diverged sharply. Investors weighing exposure to oilfield services, subsea robotics, or defense-adjacent technology will find this comparison useful, as it highlights how business mix, growth catalysts, and market positioning can produce very different outcomes even within the same broad sector. This article examines recent performance, underlying drivers, and how AI-driven analysis might frame the two names today.
NOV Overview and Recent Performance
NOV Inc. is a Houston-based supplier of technology-driven equipment and services to the global energy industry, spanning drilling equipment, subsea flexible pipe, and automation and digital solutions. Its two reporting segments, Energy Equipment and Energy Products and Services, serve a broad customer base from onshore drilling to deepwater production.
Recent market activity has been mixed. In its latest reported quarters, NOV posted revenue that modestly declined year over year while earnings came in below analyst expectations. Management has cited the Middle East conflict as a direct headwind, disrupting logistics, delaying deliveries, and raising operating costs. Tariff costs and a less favorable sales mix further compressed margins. On the positive side, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 20% earlier in the year, continued share repurchases, and announced a roughly $200 million investment to nearly double subsea flexible pipe capacity in Brazil, reflecting confidence in long-term offshore demand. The shares have traded in a relatively narrow range in recent weeks, with analysts gradually lifting price targets but largely maintaining a neutral stance.
OII Overview and Recent Performance
Oceaneering International, Inc. is a global technology company delivering engineered services, products, and robotic solutions to the offshore energy, defense, aerospace, and manufacturing industries. Its largest business, Subsea Robotics, operates remotely operated vehicles (ROVs) for drill support, inspection, and subsea installation, while its Aerospace and Defense Technologies (ADTech) segment has become a key growth engine.
Recent performance has been notably stronger. OII reported year-over-year revenue growth in its latest quarters, with adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) reaching multi-year highs on strong offshore project and defense activity. The company secured roughly $1 billion in new orders in a recent quarter, including long-dated subsea robotics awards and a U.S. Navy contract worth up to $154 million. That momentum has driven the stock up more than 100% over the past year, well ahead of the broader market. However, the rapid advance has left the shares trading above several analysts' average price targets, introducing valuation debate even as the fundamental story strengthens.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business model and revenue mix represent the clearest divide. NOV is a diversified equipment manufacturer with a capital-equipment backlog and a dividend-paying profile, generating revenue across drilling, production, and automation. OII is more service- and robotics-intensive, with a meaningful and growing defense and aerospace component that reduces its reliance on oilfield capital spending.
On growth drivers, OII is currently benefiting from strong subsea robotics pricing and defense contract momentum, while NOV is leaning on a recovering offshore equipment cycle and its Brazilian capacity expansion. Risk factors differ as well: NOV faces margin pressure from tariffs and Middle East logistics, whereas OII carries the risk of a stretched valuation and softer results in its Integrity Management and Digital Solutions (IMDS) segment.
Market sentiment also diverges. Analysts have been raising price targets on both, but OII's rapid appreciation has pushed its shares above some consensus targets, while NOV trades closer to its fair-value estimates. In short, OII offers stronger momentum and diversification but a higher valuation; NOV offers a steadier, more income-oriented profile at a more modest multiple.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor OII in the current environment. The stock's sustained upward trend, expanding defense backlog, and multi-year highs in adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) reflect a more consistent positive momentum profile than NOV, whose earnings have been pressured by geopolitical and tariff-related headwinds. That said, OII's rapid gains also introduce elevated valuation and pullback risk, making the AI's preference probabilistic rather than absolute. NOV's steadier balance sheet and dividend could appeal in a rotation away from high-momentum names, but on trend, catalyst, and positioning alone, the AI signal currently tilts toward OII.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NOV is a Hold and OII is a StrongBuy.
NOV's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NOV turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where NOV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NOV's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NOV as a result. In 62 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +4.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NOV advanced for three days, in 233 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 62 cases where NOV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
NOV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NOV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NOV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
NOV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NOV entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NOV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.108) is normal, around the industry mean (1.591). P/E Ratio (71.444) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-29.912). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.787) is also within normal values, averaging (1.687). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.873) is also within normal values, averaging (1.663).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
OII sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
On October 12, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for OII moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 47 of the 56 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where OII's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Following a +3.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OII advanced for three days, in 239 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
OII may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OII as a result. In 72 of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OII turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OII declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for OII entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OII’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.493) is normal, around the industry mean (1.591). P/E Ratio (11.641) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-29.912). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.300) is also within normal values, averaging (1.687). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.636) is also within normal values, averaging (1.663).
NOV | OII | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OII's Valuation (49) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as NOV (75). This means that OII’s stock grew similarly to NOV’s over the last 12 months.
OII's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NOV (64). This means that OII’s stock grew somewhat faster than NOV’s over the last 12 months.
OII's SMR Rating (29) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NOV (89). This means that OII’s stock grew somewhat faster than NOV’s over the last 12 months.
OII's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as NOV (47). This means that OII’s stock grew similarly to NOV’s over the last 12 months.
NOV's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as OII (26). This means that NOV’s stock grew similarly to OII’s over the last 12 months.
| NOV | OII | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 88% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NOV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while OII’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- NOV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NOV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OII’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NOV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OII’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NOV (@Oilfield Services/Equipment) experienced а -2.38% price change this week, while OII (@Oilfield Services/Equipment) price change was -4.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oilfield Services/Equipment industry was -3.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
NOV is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
OII is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oilfield Services/Equipment (-3.73% weekly)The oilfield services/equipment industry is involved in providing various equipment and services to oil and natural gas producers. These companies rent drilling rigs and/or provide services to build and maintain oil and gas wells. The performance of this industry is dependent on demand for oil and natural gas, which in turn is often driven by macroeconomic conditions or business cycles. Schlumberger NV, Halliburton Company, and Baker Hughes are some of the biggest oilfield services companies.
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NOV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NOV has been closely correlated with SLB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NOV jumps, then SLB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NOV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOV | 100% | -0.36% | ||
| SLB - NOV | 71% Closely correlated | -0.13% | ||
| HAL - NOV | 71% Closely correlated | +0.75% | ||
| BKR - NOV | 67% Closely correlated | +1.32% | ||
| XPRO - NOV | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.52% | ||
| WFRD - NOV | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.17% | ||
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