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ODFL vs TFII
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) vs. TFI International (TFII) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ODFL and TFII operate in the less-than-truckload (LTL) freight sector and have faced soft volumes amid a recovering but still challenged freight market in recent weeks.
- ODFL trades near the upper end of its recent range with multiple analyst price target increases and a dividend hike announced in July 2026, reflecting operational discipline and pricing power.
- TFII has delivered stronger year-to-date returns in some periods and received a Zacks Strong Buy upgrade, supported by integration of recent acquisitions and upcoming Q2 results.
- Valuations for both remain elevated relative to historical averages, with ODFL commanding a premium multiple amid expectations for earnings growth.
- Upcoming earnings—TFII on July 27, 2026, and ODFL on July 29, 2026—represent key near-term catalysts that could influence relative sentiment.
- Market positioning favors stability for ODFL while TFII offers exposure to broader North American logistics through its diversified platform.
Introduction
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) and TFI International (TFII) are two prominent publicly traded companies in the North American trucking and logistics industry. This comparison examines their recent stock performance, business profiles, and positioning within the less-than-truckload (LTL) freight segment during a period of gradual freight market recovery. Professional traders and institutional investors focused on transportation equities, as well as growth-oriented retail investors seeking exposure to cyclical industrials, may find the relative analysis useful for understanding sector dynamics and company-specific factors.
ODFL Overview and Recent Performance
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) provides less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation services across the United States. The company has maintained a reputation for operational efficiency and high service levels. In recent weeks, ODFL shares have traded near the upper portion of their 52-week range, supported by multiple analyst price target upgrades from firms including Stifel, Truist, and others. The company raised its quarterly dividend to $0.29 per share in July 2026, signaling management confidence. Q2 2026 earnings, scheduled for July 29, carry expectations of EPS growth to $1.52 and revenue expansion to approximately $1.54 billion, driven by pricing improvements offsetting softer volumes. Sentiment has been influenced by broader freight market stabilization and the company’s consistent yield management.
TFII Overview and Recent Performance
TFI International Inc. (TFII) offers a diversified portfolio of transportation and logistics services, including less-than-truckload (LTL), truckload, and specialized segments across North America. The company has pursued an active acquisition strategy to expand its footprint. In recent weeks, TFII received a Zacks Rank upgrade to Strong Buy, reflecting positive momentum. Shares have shown resilience amid sector volatility, with analyst attention including a price target increase from Stifel. Q2 2026 results, due July 27, 2026, are anticipated with EPS guidance in the $1.50–$1.60 range from prior periods. Performance has been shaped by integration benefits from acquisitions and exposure to improving demand trends, though the stock remains sensitive to economic indicators affecting freight volumes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) focuses primarily on domestic LTL operations with a premium service model, while TFI International (TFII) maintains broader exposure through multiple segments and international reach. Growth drivers for ODFL center on pricing discipline and network density, whereas TFII benefits from M&A (mergers and acquisitions) synergies. Recent momentum favors ODFL through consistent analyst support and dividend action, while TFII shows stronger relative outperformance in certain rolling periods. Risk factors include volume sensitivity for both, with ODFL carrying a higher valuation multiple and TFII facing integration and currency considerations. Sector exposure remains concentrated in industrials for each, though market sentiment appears incrementally more constructive toward ODFL stability in the near term.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, analyst momentum, and earnings visibility in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a modestly higher probabilistic edge to ODFL in the current environment. The company’s elevated but supported valuation, upcoming earnings catalysts, and repeated price target revisions provide a clearer near-term technical and fundamental alignment compared with TFII’s broader but more acquisition-dependent profile. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to earnings outcomes and macroeconomic freight data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ODFL is a Hold and TFII is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ODFL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTFII’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ODFL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TFII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ODFL’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TFII’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ODFL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TFII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ODFL (@Trucking) experienced а -2.49% price change this week, while TFII (@Trucking) price change was +4.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -1.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +22.90%.
Reported Earning Dates
ODFL is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
TFII is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-1.41% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| ODFL | TFII | ODFL / TFII | |
| Capitalization | 43.8B | 12B | 365% |
| EBITDA | 1.71B | 1.18B | 145% |
| Gain YTD | 34.906 | 42.990 | 81% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.58 | 36.03 | 113% |
| Revenue | 5.46B | 8.12B | 67% |
| Total Cash | 288M | 205M | 140% |
| Total Debt | 40M | 3.05B | 1% |
ODFL | TFII | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 63 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 42 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TFII's Valuation (38) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ODFL (92) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew somewhat faster than ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as TFII (63) in the null industry. This means that ODFL’s stock grew similarly to TFII’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's SMR Rating (42) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as TFII (64) in the null industry. This means that ODFL’s stock grew similarly to TFII’s over the last 12 months.
TFII's Price Growth Rating (45) in the null industry is in the same range as ODFL (49) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
TFII's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the null industry is in the same range as ODFL (22) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
| ODFL | TFII | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 59% | 10 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 63% |
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ODFL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ODFL has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ODFL jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ODFL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | 100% | -2.21% | ||
| SAIA - ODFL | 84% Closely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| ARCB - ODFL | 79% Closely correlated | -2.63% | ||
| TFII - ODFL | 76% Closely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| KNX - ODFL | 74% Closely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| CVLG - ODFL | 73% Closely correlated | +0.66% | ||
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