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PH vs SWK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Parker-Hannifin (PH) vs. Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PH is a diversified motion-and-control technology leader riding record aerospace demand, while SWK is a tools-and-outdoor company in a margin-driven turnaround.
- Parker-Hannifin has posted record sales, backlog, and adjusted segment operating margin, with earnings per share (EPS) growing roughly 18% year over year in its latest fiscal year.
- Stanley Black & Decker is expanding gross margin sharply and raising guidance, but its top-line growth remains constrained by soft North American retail demand.
- PH trades at a premium valuation (a forward price-to-earnings ratio near 29X), while SWK carries a notably lower multiple (near 15X), reflecting a growth-versus-value trade-off.
- Both stocks face tariff, inflation, and supply-chain risks, but their sector exposures and catalysts are materially different.
Introduction
Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) and Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) are two storied U.S. industrial manufacturers that have followed very different paths in the current market. Parker-Hannifin has leaned into long-cycle aerospace and defense, delivering consistent growth and record profitability, while Stanley Black & Decker has been retooling its portfolio and supply chain after a period of margin pressure. This stock comparison is most relevant to investors and traders weighing momentum and quality against value and recovery potential. Understanding each company's market positioning, recent momentum, and risk profile helps clarify where each name fits in a diversified portfolio.
PH Overview and Recent Performance
Parker-Hannifin is a Fortune 250 leader in motion and control technologies, serving markets including aerospace and defense, transportation, industrial equipment, energy, and HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning). Aerospace and defense now represents its largest vertical, at roughly 35% of sales. In recent weeks the company reported a record fiscal year, with sales surpassing $20 billion for the first time, adjusted EPS rising about 18%, and adjusted segment operating margin reaching a record 27.3%.
Demand trends have been a central driver of sentiment. Order rates remained strong, and total backlog climbed to a record level of roughly $12.8 billion, providing revenue visibility into the coming year. The company has also announced a series of acquisitions—including the CIRCOR International commercial and defense aerospace business and Filtration Group—that shift the portfolio toward higher-margin, aftermarket-rich segments. Parker-Hannifin extended its dividend-increase streak to 70 consecutive years and raised its long-term margin target, reinforcing a positive fundamental narrative.
SWK Overview and Recent Performance
Stanley Black & Decker is a global supplier of tools, outdoor power equipment, and engineered fastening solutions, with flagship brands including DEWALT, CRAFTSMAN, and STANLEY. The company's recent activity has centered on a multi-year cost-reduction and supply-chain transformation program that has delivered roughly $2.1 billion in pre-tax run-rate savings. Management has guided toward restoring gross margin above 35% over time.
Recent results highlight meaningful progress on profitability. In its latest quarter, adjusted EPS rose sharply year over year, gross margin expanded by roughly 600 basis points (a basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point), and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) increased by about 40%. The company also raised its full-year earnings and free cash flow outlook. However, revenue growth has been modest, with volumes pressured by soft North American retail conditions. The divestiture of its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing business strengthened the balance sheet and reduced debt, while tariff refunds provided a one-time margin benefit.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different positions within the industrial landscape. Parker-Hannifin's growth is anchored in long-cycle aerospace and defense programs, where order backlogs and aftermarket demand support durable revenue. Stanley Black & Decker is more closely tied to consumer and professional tool demand, which is sensitive to housing, renovation, and retail spending cycles.
On momentum, PH has demonstrated stronger and more consistent top-line growth, while SWK's recent gains are concentrated in profitability rather than revenue expansion. On valuation, the contrast is stark: PH commands a premium forward P/E (price-to-earnings) multiple, reflecting its growth and margin profile, whereas SWK trades at a lower multiple consistent with a recovery story still in progress.
Risk factors also differ. PH carries integration and execution risk around several large acquisitions, plus exposure to aerospace cycles. SWK faces consumer-demand sensitivity, retail-channel concentration, and ongoing tariff and input-cost pressures. Both are subject to inflation and supply-chain dynamics, but their catalysts—aerospace backlog conversion versus margin restoration—point to distinct investor theses.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and the relative strength of catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor Parker-Hannifin (PH) in the current environment. PH's record backlog, sustained order growth, expanding margins, and rising long-term profitability targets form a more consistent and durable momentum profile. Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) presents an improving fundamental story and an attractive valuation, but its top-line recovery is less established and more dependent on a retail-demand inflection. This probabilistic assessment reflects relative positioning rather than a definitive prediction, and outcomes could shift if SWK's margin momentum accelerates or PH's acquisition integration introduces unexpected friction.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PH is a Hold and SWK is a Buy.
PH's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for PH moved out of oversold territory on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 37 of 51 cases where PH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PH as a result. In 63 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +0.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PH advanced for three days, in 241 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 227 of 321 cases where PH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PH turned negative on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 47%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.845) is normal, around the industry mean (4.387). P/E Ratio (33.168) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.178). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.247) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.473) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
SWK in +4.66% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 21, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SWK advanced for three days, in 193 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SWK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SWK as a result. In 62 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SWK just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where SWK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
SWK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
SWK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SWK entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. SWK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.609) is normal, around the industry mean (3.156). P/E Ratio (23.221) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.148). SWK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.170) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.020). SWK has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.035) as compared to the industry average of (0.017). P/S Ratio (0.886) is also within normal values, averaging (2.217).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
PH | SWK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 38 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 17 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SWK's Valuation (52) in the Tools And Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PH (88) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew somewhat faster than PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Industrial Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for SWK (100) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that PH’s stock grew significantly faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
PH's SMR Rating (38) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SWK (79) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that PH’s stock grew somewhat faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as PH (48) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as SWK (33) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that PH’s stock grew similarly to SWK’s over the last 12 months.
| PH | SWK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SWK’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SWK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PH’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SWK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- SWK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PH (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +0.20% price change this week, while SWK (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +5.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -7.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.09%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was -2.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.26%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
PH is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
SWK is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-7.37% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (-2.70% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
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SWK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SWK has been closely correlated with NDSN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SWK jumps, then NDSN could also see price increases.