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PH vs TKR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Parker-Hannifin (PH) vs. Timken (TKR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different scale, different profiles: Parker-Hannifin is a large-cap industrial conglomerate with a market value near $119 billion, while Timken is a mid-cap focused on engineered bearings and industrial motion valued near $8 billion.
- Relative performance diverged: Parker-Hannifin has risen roughly 24% over the trailing year, while Timken delivered a stronger one-year total return but has cooled sharply in recent weeks.
- Growth engines differ: Aerospace and defense drive Parker-Hannifin's momentum, whereas Timken leans on margin recovery, portfolio reshaping, and an 80/20 simplification strategy.
- Valuation gap is wide: Parker-Hannifin trades at a premium forward P/E (price-to-earnings) multiple, while Timken offers a cheaper earnings multiple but faces a choppier near-term chart.
- Balance of catalysts: Both companies raised guidance recently, but their risk profiles—tariffs, industrial softness, and acquisition integration—remain distinct.
Introduction
Parker-Hannifin and Timken both operate in the industrial machinery space, yet they serve investors in very different ways. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and long-term investors evaluating whether to favor a large, diversified motion-and-control leader or a smaller, turnaround-oriented bearing and power-transmission specialist. Because the two companies differ in size, sector exposure, valuation, and recent momentum, a head-to-head look at their market positioning and relative performance can help clarify which profile better fits the current environment.
PH Overview and Recent Performance
Parker-Hannifin Corporation is a global leader in motion and control technologies, spanning aerospace and defense, industrial, transportation, and energy markets. Aerospace and defense is its largest vertical, representing roughly a third of sales, and has been the company's clearest growth driver. In its most recent quarterly results, Parker-Hannifin posted record sales, a record backlog of about $12.5 billion, and adjusted EPS (earnings per share) growth of roughly 18% year over year, with orders rising at a double-digit pace in aerospace.
Recent market activity has been more mixed. After trading near a 52-week high, shares have pulled back modestly over the past month, with one recent close near $958, down several percentage points from late August levels. Analysts remain broadly constructive, with a consensus target well above current levels, though a recent Equal-Weight initiation by Wells Fargo signals some caution about valuation. The company has also been active on the deal front, announcing acquisitions including CIRCOR's commercial and defense aerospace business and Filtration Group, which support its long-term growth narrative.
TKR Overview and Recent Performance
The Timken Company is a global technology leader in engineered bearings and industrial motion, serving industries such as rail, off-highway, wind, aerospace, and automation. The company is executing an "Elevate to Outperform" strategy built around an 80/20 portfolio discipline, which concentrates resources on its highest-return products and customers. Timken recently raised its full-year guidance, citing stronger demand and pricing, and reported a double-digit increase in adjusted EPS in its latest quarter.
Sentiment around the stock has been uneven, however. Shares delivered a strong one-year total return but have slipped roughly 8% over the past month, giving back some of their earlier gains as investors reassess growth and valuation. Portfolio moves—including the Bijur Delimon acquisition and the divestiture of its Belts business—are reshaping the company's margin profile. Tariffs and soft organic growth in select regions remain watch points, though management's pricing actions and cost discipline have helped offset some of that pressure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most fundamental contrast is diversification versus focus. Parker-Hannifin operates a broad, multi-vertical portfolio with a heavy aerospace and defense tilt, giving it exposure to long-cycle, higher-visibility demand. Timken is a more concentrated bearings and motion business whose fortunes are tied to industrial production, rail, off-highway, and wind end markets—areas more sensitive to cyclical swings.
Momentum also differs. Parker-Hannifin's trend has been steadier, supported by record backlogs and consistent order growth, while Timken's chart has been more volatile, with a strong earlier run followed by a recent pullback. On valuation, Parker-Hannifin trades at a forward P/E in the high-20s—a premium reflecting its quality and aerospace exposure—whereas Timken's earnings multiple is lower, reflecting both its smaller scale and execution-dependent turnaround.
Risk profiles diverge as well. Parker-Hannifin faces integration risk from sizable M&A (mergers and acquisitions) and softening in certain industrial end markets. Timken faces tariff exposure, softer organic growth in some regions, and the execution risk of its 80/20 transformation and portfolio reshuffling. Neither is immune to industrial cyclicality, but the sources and magnitudes of their risks are different.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and catalyst strength, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward Parker-Hannifin at present. Its steadier upward trajectory, record backlog, strong aerospace order flow, and higher-quality earnings profile present a more consistent technical and fundamental setup than Timken's choppier, execution-heavy recovery story. That said, Timken's cheaper valuation and margin-recovery potential could appeal to more contrarian or value-oriented strategies. In probabilistic terms, the AI's edge currently appears to favor Parker-Hannifin for trend-following models, while Timken may register as a higher-risk, higher-reward candidate depending on the timeframe and risk tolerance in play.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PH is a Hold and TKR is a Hold.
PH | TKR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 38 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TKR's Valuation (73) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as PH (80) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew similarly to PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as TKR (32) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that PH’s stock grew similarly to TKR’s over the last 12 months.
PH's SMR Rating (38) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TKR (76) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that PH’s stock grew somewhat faster than TKR’s over the last 12 months.
PH's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as TKR (46) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that PH’s stock grew similarly to TKR’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as PH (21) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew similarly to PH’s over the last 12 months.
| PH | TKR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 71% | 12 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while TKR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TKR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PH’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TKR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PH’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TKR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PH (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -3.20% price change this week, while TKR (@Tools & Hardware) price change was -4.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -6.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.05%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was -2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
PH is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
TKR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-6.99% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (-2.02% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
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PH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PH has been closely correlated with ATMU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PH jumps, then ATMU could also see price increases.
TKR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TKR has been closely correlated with ITT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TKR jumps, then ITT could also see price increases.