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PLTR vs PLTW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Palantir Technologies (PLTR) vs. Roundhill PLTR WeeklyPay ETF (PLTW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PLTR is Palantir Technologies Inc., a data-analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) software company, while PLTW is not a company but the Roundhill PLTR WeeklyPay ETF — a leveraged income fund whose performance is tied to PLTR.
- Palantir reported revenue of roughly $1.94 billion in its most recent quarter, up 93% year over year, with U.S. revenue rising about 115%.
- PLTW targets 120% (1.2x) of Palantir's weekly return and pays weekly distributions, but those distributions are largely classified as return of capital rather than earnings.
- The two tickers carry very different risk profiles: PLTR is a single operating company trading at a premium valuation, while PLTW adds leverage and volatility drag on top of PLTR's price moves.
- This is less a company-versus-company contest and more a contrast between owning an underlying business and owning a leveraged income instrument linked to that same business.
- PLTR has traded near record highs in recent weeks, whereas PLTW's price has been pressured by the path-dependent, leveraged mechanics of its weekly reset.
- For more detail on each ticker's developments and daily price action, explore PLTR Major News, PLTR Today's Price Move, PLTW Major News, and PLTW Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are currently positioned across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
At first glance, PLTR and PLTW appear to be two sides of the same trade — and in a sense, they are. One is Palantir Technologies, the fast-growing AI and data-analytics firm. The other is an exchange-traded fund (ETF), meaning a pooled investment vehicle, built specifically to amplify Palantir's weekly moves while paying out income. Comparing them is therefore not a standard matchup of two rivals, but a study in how the same underlying business can be accessed with very different levels of risk, income potential, and market positioning. Growth-oriented investors tracking Palantir's expansion, and income-oriented traders weighing leveraged yield products, will both find this comparison directly relevant.
PLTR Overview and Recent Performance
PLTR, Palantir Technologies, sells AI-driven software platforms used by government agencies and commercial enterprises to integrate and analyze large datasets. Its most recent quarterly results underscored accelerating demand: revenue reached about $1.94 billion, up 93% from the prior year, with U.S. revenue climbing roughly 115% to about $1.57 billion. Government and commercial segments are now nearly balanced in size, and the company raised its full-year revenue outlook to around $8.15 billion.
That operational strength has been tempered by valuation debate. Palantir's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, a common measure of how much investors pay per dollar of earnings, has hovered well above 150, leaving little room for missteps. Recent market activity has also reflected geopolitical and sector-level concerns, including questions about European control over U.S.-built defense software. Despite these headwinds, analysts maintain a broadly constructive stance, with an average price target implying modest additional upside from levels near $200.
PLTW Overview and Recent Performance
PLTW is the Roundhill PLTR WeeklyPay ETF, an actively managed fund launched in February 2025. Its objective is twofold: to pay weekly distributions to shareholders and to deliver calendar-week returns equal to approximately 1.2 times (120%) the weekly total return of Palantir common shares. The fund achieves this through total return swap agreements, Palantir stock, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities, and it carries an expense ratio of 0.99%.
Its headline distribution yield has at times appeared extremely high, but investors should note that these payments have largely been classified as return of capital (ROC), meaning the fund is effectively returning some of shareholders' own money rather than paying out earned income. Because the fund resets its leverage weekly, its performance is path-dependent: it can lag Palantir's cumulative return even when the underlying stock rises, due to the compounding effect of leverage and volatility. In recent weeks, this has translated into negative year-to-date price performance for PLTW despite Palantir trading near record highs.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of automated trading strategies from a much larger library of hundreds of AI trading bots covering thousands of tickers. Each bot operates with its own trading style, timeframe, strategy, and performance statistics, and only those judged most suitable for current market conditions earn a place in this featured section. This makes the page a useful starting point for traders who want to observe how algorithmic approaches — including those that may reference high-momentum and leveraged instruments such as PLTR and PLTW — are positioned right now. Exploring the page can help you identify strategies aligned with your own objectives and risk tolerance.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The core distinction between these two tickers is structural. PLTR represents ownership in an operating company whose value is driven by revenue growth, contract wins, and profit expansion. PLTW represents a leveraged, income-oriented wrapper around that same company, engineered to magnify short-term price swings and distribute cash weekly.
From a growth-driver standpoint, PLTR benefits directly from enterprise and government AI adoption. PLTW has no independent growth drivers; its fortunes are entirely derivative of PLTR's weekly performance. On risk, PLTR faces valuation and geopolitical exposure, while PLTW layers on leverage, swap counterparty risk, and volatility drag. On income, PLTR pays no meaningful dividend, whereas PLTW offers frequent distributions — albeit largely as return of capital. Finally, momentum diverges: PLTR has sustained an upward trend, while PLTW's leveraged weekly reset has produced choppier, weaker cumulative price performance. In short, PLTR offers direct business exposure, while PLTW offers amplified, income-flavored tactical exposure with additional complexity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative positioning, and catalyst strength, Tickeron's AI would likely favor PLTR over PLTW in the current environment. Palantir benefits from accelerating revenue, strong commercial and government demand, and a resilient uptrend, which tend to score favorably on momentum and stability signals. PLTW, by contrast, carries the structural disadvantages of leverage and path dependency, which have historically translated into weaker cumulative returns even when the underlying stock performs well. The verdict is probabilistic rather than absolute: PLTW may appeal to sophisticated traders specifically seeking high-frequency income and amplified short-term exposure, but for trend-consistency and relative-strength considerations, the AI would more likely lean toward PLTR.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PLTR is a StrongBuy and PLTW is a Hold.
PLTR in +9.17% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 09, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PLTR advanced for three days, in 290 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PLTR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 50 of 65 cases where PLTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
PLTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PLTR as a result. In 64 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PLTR turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
PLTR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PLTR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator for PLTR entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PLTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (39.431) is normal, around the industry mean (16.272). P/E Ratio (126.283) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.956). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.805) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.430) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (72.993) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for PLTW turns negative, indicating new downward trend
PLTW saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 29 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PLTW turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 15 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 14 of the 15 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
PLTW moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PLTW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PLTW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for PLTW entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PLTW's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 9 of 9 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 19 of 20 cases where PLTW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +10.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PLTW advanced for three days, in 119 of 123 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
PLTW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
PLTR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| PLTR | PLTW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 78% | 8 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PLTR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- PLTR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PLTR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- PLTR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
PLTR (@Computer Communications) experienced а +0.41% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was +5.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
PLTR is expected to report earnings on Feb 17, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Communications (+5.03% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
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PLTW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that PLTW and PLTR have been poorly correlated (+4% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that PLTW and PLTR's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PLTW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTW | 100% | +2.40% | ||
| PLTR - PLTW | 4% Poorly correlated | +2.12% |