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QQQ vs QTOP
Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) vs. iShares Nasdaq Top 30 Stocks ETF (QTOP)
Key Takeaways
- QQQ tracks the broad Nasdaq-100 Index with approximately 100 holdings, while QTOP focuses on the 30 largest companies by market capitalization within the same index, resulting in higher concentration.
- Both ETFs maintain identical expense ratios of 0.20% and employ passive, market-capitalization-weighted strategies with quarterly rebalancing.
- Sector allocations for both center on technology, particularly semiconductors and software, though QTOP exhibits greater exposure to the largest mega-cap names.
- QQQ offers broader diversification across non-financial Nasdaq-listed companies, whereas QTOP provides targeted exposure to top performers with built-in concentration limits.
- Liquidity remains strong for QQQ due to its long history and high trading volume, while QTOP, launched in late 2024, shows growing but comparatively lower volume.
- Both funds suit investors seeking growth-oriented U.S. equity exposure, with QTOP emphasizing the most dominant market leaders.
Introduction
Investors comparing Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) and iShares Nasdaq Top 30 Stocks ETF (QTOP) seek efficient ways to access leading U.S. growth companies. These exchange-traded funds (ETFs) do not compete directly but instead offer alternative exposures within the technology-heavy Nasdaq ecosystem. QQQ delivers diversified access to the Nasdaq-100 Index, while QTOP narrows focus to the index’s 30 largest constituents. Both target similar investor goals of long-term capital appreciation through innovation-driven sectors, yet they differ in concentration, diversification, and risk profiles, making them relevant alternatives in the current market environment favoring large-cap growth.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) Overview
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, which comprises the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange. The ETF holds approximately 100 securities and employs a passive, market-capitalization-weighted approach with quarterly rebalancing and annual reconstitution. Top holdings typically include major technology firms such as NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), and Apple Inc. (AAPL). Sector allocations emphasize information technology, consumer discretionary, and communication services. The expense ratio stands at 0.20%. As an open-end structure, QQQ provides high liquidity and serves as a core holding for broad exposure to innovative U.S. growth companies.
iShares Nasdaq Top 30 Stocks ETF (QTOP) Overview
iShares Nasdaq Top 30 Stocks ETF tracks the Nasdaq-100 Top 30 Index, selecting the 30 largest companies by market capitalization from the Nasdaq-100. The fund holds 30 to 31 securities and applies market-capitalization weighting with caps to promote diversification. Top holdings feature NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), and other leading technology names. Sector exposure concentrates heavily in semiconductors, technology hardware, media and entertainment, and software. The expense ratio is 0.20%. Launched in October 2024 as an open-end fund, QTOP uses a passive strategy with quarterly rebalancing and securities lending to enhance returns.
Industry and Thematic Backdrop
The technology sector, particularly semiconductors, artificial intelligence infrastructure, and cloud computing, continues to drive capital flows amid ongoing innovation cycles. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and corporate earnings from mega-cap leaders influence both ETFs. Regulatory developments around antitrust and data privacy pose potential risks, while strong demand for AI-related hardware and software supports sector momentum. Broader equity market rotation toward growth stocks has benefited concentrated technology exposure in recent market cycles.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent weeks and months, both ETFs have reflected strength in large-cap technology leaders, with performance tied to earnings from semiconductor and software companies. QQQ’s broader holdings provide some cushion during sector rotations, while QTOP’s concentration amplifies returns when top names outperform. Volatility tends to be higher for QTOP due to its narrower focus. Relative positioning favors QTOP for investors prioritizing the strongest market-capitalization leaders and QQQ for those seeking slightly wider diversification within the same thematic universe.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor QTOP due to its structural emphasis on the largest market-capitalization leaders, cost efficiency matching QQQ, concentrated yet capped exposure to high-momentum sectors, and alignment with prevailing growth trends in technology. The fund’s focused profile offers potentially stronger trend consistency in the current environment, balanced against higher concentration risk compared with the broader QQQ.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is QQQ is a Hold and QTOP is a Hold.
QQQ sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
QQQ saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QQQ as a result. In 67 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
QQQ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QQQ's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QQQ advanced for three days, in 313 of 368 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
QQQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 318 of 354 cases where QQQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
QTOP sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
QTOP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 18 of the 21 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QTOP as a result. In 28 of 34 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
QTOP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QTOP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QTOP's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 6 of 8 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.22% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QTOP advanced for three days, in 111 of 133 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
QTOP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 137 of 156 cases where QTOP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.
| QQQ | QTOP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 85% | 18 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 81% | 8 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 88% |
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QTOP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QTOP has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QTOP jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QTOP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QTOP | 100% | -3.45% | ||
| LRCX - QTOP | 77% Closely correlated | -11.76% | ||
| AMD - QTOP | 77% Closely correlated | -8.10% | ||
| AMAT - QTOP | 72% Closely correlated | -8.16% | ||
| KLAC - QTOP | 72% Closely correlated | -9.55% | ||
| NVDA - QTOP | 71% Closely correlated | -4.40% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FTOH | 8.07 | 0.09 | +1.12% |
| Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF (FTOH) | |||
| DDTF | 20.91 | N/A | N/A |
| Innovator Equity Dual Directional 10 Buffer ETF - February (DDTF) | |||
| EPOL | 44.12 | -0.96 | -2.13% |
| iShares MSCI Poland ETF (EPOL) | |||
| QQQM | 290.13 | -8.51 | -2.85% |
| Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) | |||
| MRNY | 39.09 | -7.48 | -16.06% |
| YieldMax MRNA Option Income Strategy ETF (MRNY) | |||