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RIOT vs SHOP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Riot Platforms (RIOT) vs. Shopify (SHOP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Riot Platforms (RIOT) has significantly outperformed Shopify (SHOP) year-to-date (YTD), gaining 46% compared to SHOP's approximately 21%.
- RIOT's recent pivot toward AI data centers, including a doubled deal with AMD, sparked a sharp stock rally following Q1 earnings.
- SHOP shows steady recovery in the software sector, with strong analyst support ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
- RIOT carries higher volatility with a beta around 3.5, contrasting SHOP's beta of 2.64.
- Analyst price targets imply greater upside potential for RIOT at about 38% versus roughly 25% for SHOP.
- Both stocks tap into AI-driven themes but from distinct angles: infrastructure for RIOT and commerce enablement for SHOP.
Introduction
Riot Platforms (RIOT) and Shopify (SHOP) represent contrasting opportunities in the tech landscape: RIOT as a Bitcoin miner diversifying into AI infrastructure, and SHOP as a leading e-commerce platform powering online retail. This comparison suits growth-focused traders eyeing volatile momentum plays or investors seeking exposure to AI trends alongside stable software revenue. Amid recent market shifts toward AI and digital commerce, understanding their relative performance, risks, and catalysts aids informed positioning in a dynamic environment.
RIOT Overview and Recent Performance
Riot Platforms (RIOT) primarily engages in Bitcoin mining and is increasingly pivoting to high-performance computing for AI data centers. In recent market activity, the stock surged over 10% following Q1 2026 earnings, which revealed revenue of $167.22 million—beating estimates—despite a substantial net loss of $500.48 million driven by expansion costs. Key influences include a doubled agreement with AMD for 25 MW of additional AI deployment and positioning Bitcoin reserves as efficient funding for data centers. Trading around $18.50 with a market cap near $7 billion, RIOT has climbed 46% YTD amid cryptocurrency volatility and AI enthusiasm, though its high beta reflects sensitivity to broader tech swings.
SHOP Overview and Recent Performance
Shopify (SHOP) provides a comprehensive e-commerce platform enabling merchants to build online stores, process payments, and manage logistics. Recent weeks have seen the stock rise about 5% in a session, trading near $128 with a $166 billion market cap, buoyed by software sector strength. Anticipation builds for Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, with projections for 30% revenue growth and a robust $5.59 billion net cash position supporting innovation in AI-enhanced commerce tools. Performance reflects e-commerce recovery, up roughly 21% YTD despite earlier pressures, with a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 136 signaling premium valuation tied to scalable growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
RIOT and SHOP diverge sharply in business models: RIOT's capital-intensive mining and AI infrastructure versus SHOP's asset-light SaaS (software-as-a-service) with recurring subscriptions. Growth drivers contrast too—RIOT leverages Bitcoin holdings and AI compute demand, while SHOP benefits from e-commerce expansion and merchant ecosystem tools. Recent momentum favors RIOT with post-earnings gains and superior YTD returns, against SHOP's steadier climb. Risk profiles highlight RIOT's elevated volatility and negative earnings per share (EPS) amid crypto exposure, versus SHOP's profitability but lofty valuation. Sector-wise, RIOT ties to tech infrastructure, SHOP to consumer tech. Market sentiment leans positive for both, fueled by AI narratives, though RIOT shows sharper enthusiasm.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward RIOT based on stronger trend consistency in recent weeks, superior YTD performance, and tangible AI catalysts like the AMD expansion amid infrastructure demand. While SHOP offers greater stability and e-commerce tailwinds, RIOT's relative momentum and positioning suggest higher near-term probability of outperformance in an AI-focused market.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RIOT is a Hold and SHOP is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RIOT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSHOP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- RIOT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SHOP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RIOT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHOP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RIOT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHOP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
RIOT (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -2.45% price change this week, while SHOP (@Packaged Software) price change was -9.17% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.06%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -4.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.94%, and the average quarterly price growth was +43.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
RIOT is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
SHOP is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-0.06% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
@Packaged Software (-4.73% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| RIOT | SHOP | RIOT / SHOP | |
| Capitalization | 8.88B | 130B | 7% |
| EBITDA | -476.51M | 2.14B | -22% |
| Gain YTD | 85.399 | -37.703 | -227% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.24 | 98.31 | 28% |
| Revenue | 653M | 12.4B | 5% |
| Total Cash | 206M | 5.74B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 877M | 179M | 490% |
RIOT | SHOP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 85 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHOP's Valuation (86) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as RIOT (90) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that SHOP’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
SHOP's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as RIOT (100) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that SHOP’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
SHOP's SMR Rating (66) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as RIOT (96) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that SHOP’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
RIOT's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHOP (85) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHOP’s over the last 12 months.
RIOT's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as SHOP (37) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew similarly to SHOP’s over the last 12 months.
| RIOT | SHOP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 5 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 86% |
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RIOT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RIOT has been closely correlated with MSTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RIOT jumps, then MSTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RIOT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIOT | 100% | -4.59% | ||
| MSTR - RIOT | 79% Closely correlated | -5.11% | ||
| CLSK - RIOT | 79% Closely correlated | -6.22% | ||
| COIN - RIOT | 77% Closely correlated | -7.82% | ||
| CIFR - RIOT | 77% Closely correlated | -8.79% | ||
| HUT - RIOT | 75% Closely correlated | -6.31% | ||
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SHOP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHOP has been closely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHOP jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHOP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOP | 100% | +2.94% | ||
| COIN - SHOP | 67% Closely correlated | -7.82% | ||
| CLSK - SHOP | 64% Loosely correlated | -6.22% | ||
| RNG - SHOP | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.32% | ||
| RIOT - SHOP | 62% Loosely correlated | -4.59% | ||
| FTNT - SHOP | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.75% | ||
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