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RLX vs TPB
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RLX is a Hold and TPB is a Buy.
RLX's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for RLX moved out of oversold territory on November 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 24 of the 30 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +4.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RLX advanced for three days, in 143 of 210 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
RLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RLX as a result. In 74 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RLX turned negative on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RLX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator for RLX entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.127) is normal, around the industry mean (-7.297). P/E Ratio (2.155) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.512). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.595). RLX's Dividend Yield (0.248) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.060). P/S Ratio (3.162) is also within normal values, averaging (2.780).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RLX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
TPB in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for TPB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TPB's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +5.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPB advanced for three days, in 231 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
TPB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 166 of 222 cases where TPB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPB as a result. In 50 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPB turned negative on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
TPB moved below its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TPB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.071) is normal, around the industry mean (-7.297). P/E Ratio (28.154) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.512). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.048) is also within normal values, averaging (3.595). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.701) is also within normal values, averaging (2.780).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
TPB | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 89 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| RLX | TPB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 68% | 9 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 75% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RLX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TPB’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- RLX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TPB’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RLX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPB’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RLX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
RLX (@Tobacco) experienced а -6.10% price change this week, while TPB (@Tobacco) price change was -16.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -6.35%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
RLX is expected to report earnings on Nov 20, 2026.
TPB is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-6.35% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
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RLX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that RLX and PM have been poorly correlated (+18% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that RLX and PM's prices will move in lockstep.