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ROST vs TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ross Stores (ROST) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ross Stores (ROST) delivered stronger comparable-store sales growth of 10% in its most recent quarter compared to The TJX Companies (TJX) weaker performance in its flagship Marmaxx division.
- ROST raised full-year guidance following its earnings beat, while TJX also raised select margins but faces decelerating comp trends.
- Year-to-date, ROST shares have risen approximately 25-27%, significantly outperforming TJX which has declined around 17% over the same period.
- Both companies operate in the off-price retail sector, benefiting from consumer focus on value, but ROST shows more robust recent momentum in traffic and transactions.
- Market capitalization stands at roughly $72 billion for ROST versus approximately $140 billion for TJX, reflecting differences in scale and recent valuation dynamics.
- Recent board changes and dividend declarations at both firms underscore ongoing governance and shareholder return activities.
Introduction
Ross Stores (ROST) and The TJX Companies (TJX) represent leading players in the off-price retail segment, offering brand-name apparel and home goods at discounted prices. This comparison examines their relative performance, business positioning, and recent market dynamics to assist traders and investors evaluating exposure within the consumer discretionary sector. The analysis draws on observable financial metrics, earnings trends, and sector sentiment to highlight contrasts in growth trajectories and operational execution. Such insights prove particularly relevant for those monitoring value-oriented retail plays amid shifting consumer spending patterns.
ROST Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores (ROST) operates as an off-price retailer with a focus on apparel and home fashions through its Ross Dress for Less and dd's Discounts banners. In recent market activity, the company reported robust second-quarter results with comparable-store sales growth reaching 10%, driven by increased traffic from new, returning, and existing customers. Revenue rose 13% year over year, prompting management to raise full-year earnings guidance and expand store opening plans to 115 locations for the year. Shares have traded near $226-$229 levels, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 25-27% amid broader market volatility. Sentiment has benefited from consistent outperformance in comps and margin expansion, positioning the stock favorably against sector peers.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies (TJX) runs a global portfolio of off-price chains including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods. Its latest quarterly results showed revenue of $15.18 billion, up 5% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.22 beating estimates. However, comparable sales growth proved more modest at around 1-4%, with the core Marmaxx division near flat. The stock has hovered around $127, posting a year-to-date decline of approximately 17% following post-earnings pressure. Recent developments include a board appointment and quarterly dividend declaration. Market positioning reflects scale advantages but highlights challenges from softer comp trends relative to the prior period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ross Stores (ROST) and The TJX Companies (TJX) share an off-price retail model reliant on opportunistic inventory sourcing and value-conscious consumers, yet differ in scale, geographic reach, and recent execution. ROST exhibits stronger recent comparable sales momentum and traffic growth, supporting elevated guidance, while TJX leverages larger market capitalization and broader international presence but contends with decelerating comps in key segments. Growth drivers favor ROST through accelerated store expansion, whereas TJX emphasizes share repurchases and margin stability. Risk factors include inventory management and macroeconomic sensitivity for both, though ROST’s smaller size allows for potentially faster relative gains in favorable environments. Market sentiment has tilted toward ROST amid its outperformance in the latest reporting cycle, contrasting with TJX’s post-earnings adjustment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency in comparable sales, earnings momentum, and relative positioning within the off-price sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic preference to Ross Stores (ROST) over The TJX Companies (TJX). Stronger recent comp performance and raised guidance provide clearer catalysts for sustained momentum, though TJX’s scale and dividend stability offer defensive attributes in uncertain conditions. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to ongoing market data rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ROST is a Hold and TJX is a Hold.
ROST in -1.38% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 09, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where ROST declined for three days, in 157 of 295 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ROST as a result. In 44 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ROST turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 44%.
The Aroon Indicator for ROST entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROST advanced for three days, in 215 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ROST's P/B Ratio (11.236) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.366). P/E Ratio (28.669) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.317). ROST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.542) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. ROST's P/S Ratio (2.952) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.652).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
TJX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
TJX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 35 of 55 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TJX as a result. In 41 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TJX just turned positive on September 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where TJX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +2.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TJX advanced for three days, in 196 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TJX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 35%.
TJX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TJX entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TJX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TJX's P/B Ratio (13.459) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.366). P/E Ratio (24.120) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.317). TJX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.543) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. TJX's P/S Ratio (2.210) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.652).
ROST | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TJX's Valuation (93) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (95). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (26). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (24). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (47). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TJX (71). This means that ROST’s stock grew somewhat faster than TJX’s over the last 12 months.
| ROST | TJX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 32% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 53% | 29 days ago 35% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 40% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 41% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ROST’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while TJX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ROST’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ROST’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TJX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ROST’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +0.66% price change this week, while TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was +3.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was -1.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.35%.
Reported Earning Dates
ROST is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (-1.96% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
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ROST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROST has been loosely correlated with BURL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ROST jumps, then BURL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ROST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 100% | -0.07% | ||
| BURL - ROST | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.81% | ||
| CAL - ROST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| GCO - ROST | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| DBI - ROST | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| BKE - ROST | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.02% | ||
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TJX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TJX has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TJX jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TJX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 100% | -0.30% | ||
| ROST - TJX | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.07% | ||
| BURL - TJX | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.81% | ||
| GAP - TJX | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| BKE - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | +1.02% | ||
| DBI - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
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