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BURL vs TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Burlington Stores (BURL) and The TJX Companies (TJX) operate as leading off-price retailers, both benefiting from consumer demand for value amid economic uncertainty.
- In recent weeks, BURL has shown stronger price momentum with double-digit year-to-date returns, while TJX delivered more modest gains alongside raised full-year guidance following its latest earnings.
- Both companies maintain solid market positions in the off-price sector, with TJX benefiting from greater scale and BURL from aggressive store expansion plans.
- Analyst sentiment remains positive for both, featuring multiple price target increases in recent market activity, though BURL faces near-term focus around its upcoming quarterly report.
- Risk factors include potential shifts in consumer spending and competition within the retail landscape, with each stock exhibiting distinct volatility profiles.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between BURL’s growth-oriented trajectory and TJX’s established stability in comparable sales trends.
Introduction
Burlington Stores (BURL) and The TJX Companies (TJX) represent prominent players in the off-price retail sector, where consumers seek branded merchandise at discounted prices. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business models, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative value within consumer discretionary equities. Portfolio managers, sector specialists, and active traders monitoring retail trends may find the analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities or tactical allocations in a value-focused retail environment. The review draws on observable market data and developments without forward-looking projections.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores (BURL) operates as an off-price retailer offering apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods. In recent market activity, the stock has displayed notable upward movement, closing near $324.51 as of May 22, 2026, following sessions with gains exceeding 8% on select days. Year-to-date returns reached approximately 12.35%, outpacing the S&P 500 benchmark. Sentiment has been supported by analyst commentary highlighting expansion flexibility and expectations around the first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release scheduled for May 28, 2026. Broader performance metrics include a one-year return of about 25.25%, reflecting resilience in the off-price segment.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies (TJX) runs a global network of off-price stores including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods. Recent market activity shows the stock trading near $158.27 as of May 22, 2026, with year-to-date returns around 3.66%. The company reported solid first-quarter results in late May 2026, leading to raised full-year guidance and subsequent analyst price target increases. Comparable sales trends remained positive, underscoring steady customer traffic. One-year returns stood near 23.63%, demonstrating consistent positioning within the sector despite a more measured price trajectory compared to some peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Burlington Stores (BURL) and The TJX Companies (TJX) share an off-price retail model but differ in scale and execution. TJX maintains a larger market capitalization and broader international footprint, supporting more stable comparable sales growth. BURL emphasizes rapid store expansion and initiatives such as Burlington 2.0, which may drive sharper near-term momentum. Recent performance shows BURL with elevated year-to-date gains amid earnings anticipation, while TJX benefited from explicit guidance raises post-earnings. Risk considerations include BURL’s higher sensitivity to quarterly results versus TJX’s established buyback and dividend programs. Sector exposure remains similar, yet market sentiment has tilted toward BURL’s catalysts in recent weeks while favoring TJX’s consistency over longer horizons.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning within the off-price retail sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to The TJX Companies (TJX). The assessment reflects TJX’s demonstrated ability to raise guidance alongside steady operational metrics, balanced against BURL’s higher recent volatility around its upcoming report. This represents an informational observation rather than a definitive ranking.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BURL is a StrongBuy and TJX is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BURL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTJX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BURL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BURL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TJX’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BURL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -2.09% price change this week, while TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was +3.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +0.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
BURL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+0.56% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| BURL | TJX | BURL / TJX | |
| Capitalization | 20B | 178B | 11% |
| EBITDA | 1.33B | 9.04B | 15% |
| Gain YTD | 9.763 | 5.262 | 186% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.62 | 31.27 | 104% |
| Revenue | 11.9B | 61.6B | 19% |
| Total Cash | 747M | 5.58B | 13% |
| Total Debt | 5.87B | 14.2B | 41% |
BURL | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BURL's Valuation (82) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (95). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (100). This means that TJX’s stock grew significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (19) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (25). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (46). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
BURL's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (47). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
| BURL | TJX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 35% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 7 days ago 36% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 35% |
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BURL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | -1.53% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.15% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | -7.35% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 37% Loosely correlated | +1.31% | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.92% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | -12.95% | ||
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TJX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TJX has been closely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TJX jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TJX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 100% | +1.31% | ||
| ROST - TJX | 66% Closely correlated | -1.15% | ||
| BKE - TJX | 38% Loosely correlated | +2.89% | ||
| BURL - TJX | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| DBI - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | -7.35% | ||
| CAL - TJX | 35% Loosely correlated | -12.95% | ||
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