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BURL vs TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both BURL and TJX are leading off-price retailers that delivered strong second-quarter results with earnings beats and revenue growth in recent market activity.
- BURL reported adjusted EPS growth of 38% year over year and continues aggressive store expansion toward 2,000 locations, though its shares have declined sharply in recent weeks.
- TJX posted 5% sales growth and raised full-year guidance, supported by a larger scale, dividend payments, and lower volatility compared to smaller peers.
- Both stocks have traded lower in recent market activity despite positive fundamentals, reflecting sector-wide pressures and post-earnings reactions.
- TJX offers greater stability with a market capitalization exceeding $140 billion and a dividend yield, while BURL provides higher growth potential but with elevated price swings.
- Analyst consensus remains positive for both, with price targets suggesting upside, though recent relative performance favors the larger operator’s resilience.
Introduction
Off-price retail has proven resilient amid shifting consumer spending patterns, making BURL and TJX natural subjects for comparison. Both companies source branded merchandise at discounts and appeal to value-conscious shoppers, yet they differ in scale, geographic reach, and operational focus. This analysis examines their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities within the consumer discretionary sector during the current environment.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores operates as an off-price retailer specializing in apparel, footwear, and home goods. In recent market activity, the company reported robust second-quarter results, including an 11% revenue increase and adjusted earnings per share growth of 38% year over year, marking its 15th consecutive quarter of double-digit EPS expansion. Management highlighted store expansion with 45 net new locations added, advancing toward a long-term target of 2,000 stores. Despite these operational gains, shares of BURL have experienced notable pressure in recent weeks, trading near the lower end of their 52-week range amid broader retail sector dynamics and post-earnings volatility.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies manages a portfolio of off-price banners including T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, offering apparel and home fashions across a wider international footprint. Recent results showed net sales rising 5% in the second quarter, with comparable sales up 4%, alongside an earnings beat and raised full-year guidance. The company also declared its quarterly dividend and appointed a new board member. Shares of TJX declined following the earnings release in recent market activity, though the stock has demonstrated relative stability compared to smaller competitors, supported by its substantial scale and consistent capital return program.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies employ an off-price model that emphasizes opportunistic buying and rapid inventory turnover, yet TJX operates at significantly larger scale with diversified banners and international presence, contributing to lower beta and steadier cash flows. BURL focuses more intensely on domestic store growth and has delivered faster recent earnings momentum, though this comes with higher share-price volatility. Sector exposure overlaps in apparel and home goods, where both benefit from value-seeking consumers, but TJX’s dividend and share repurchase activity provide an additional layer of shareholder return not present at BURL. Recent momentum shows both names declining despite earnings strength, highlighting sensitivity to macroeconomic sentiment over company-specific catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to TJX. Its larger scale, lower volatility profile, and ongoing capital returns appear to support more consistent performance characteristics in the recent environment compared with the higher-growth but more variable trajectory at BURL. This assessment remains subject to evolving market conditions and further data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BURL is a Buy and TJX is a Buy.
BURL | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BURL's Valuation (78) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (93). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (100). This means that TJX’s stock grew significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (25). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
BURL's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (59). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
BURL's P/E Growth Rating (65) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (71). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
| BURL | TJX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 6 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 67% | 19 days ago 35% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 37% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BURL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TJX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BURL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BURL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TJX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BURL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +8.11% price change this week, while TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was +2.01% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +1.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
BURL is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+1.30% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
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BURL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | +0.01% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 52% Loosely correlated | -2.38% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | -0.65% | ||
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TJX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TJX has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TJX jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TJX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 100% | -0.68% | ||
| ROST - TJX | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.38% | ||
| BURL - TJX | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| BKE - TJX | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| DBI - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| GAP - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.97% | ||
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