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BURL vs TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BURL has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 16.7% compared to TJX’s decline of about 7.7% through mid-August 2026.
- Both companies reported solid comparable-store sales growth in recent quarters, with BURL posting a 6% increase and TJX achieving 4% in its latest period.
- BURL stock has experienced a sharper pullback in recent weeks, declining roughly 8% over the past month amid broader market activity.
- TJX shares fell approximately 6% following its Q2 FY2027 earnings release despite beating estimates, reflecting cautious investor reaction to forward guidance.
- BURL’s upcoming Q2 FY2026 earnings on August 27, 2026, represent a near-term catalyst, while TJX benefits from greater scale and diversified international exposure.
- Relative momentum favors BURL in recent performance metrics, though both stocks trade in the off-price retail sector with similar exposure to consumer discretionary spending patterns.
Introduction
Burlington Stores (BURL) and The TJX Companies (TJX) represent two leading off-price retailers focused on branded apparel, footwear, and home goods at value prices. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, earnings momentum, and market positioning to assist institutional and retail investors evaluating relative opportunities within the consumer discretionary sector. Traders monitoring earnings cycles, comparable-store sales trends, and sector rotation may find the analysis relevant for assessing short- to intermediate-term positioning amid evolving macroeconomic conditions.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores operates a chain of off-price retail stores offering high-quality branded merchandise at everyday low prices. In recent weeks, BURL shares have traded lower following a period of strength, with the stock declining approximately 8% over the past month as of late August 2026. The company delivered robust fiscal first-quarter results with total sales rising 14% and comparable-store sales advancing 6%, contributing to positive sentiment earlier in the year. Year-to-date returns stand near 16.7%, outpacing the broader market. Upcoming second-quarter earnings scheduled for August 27, 2026, serve as a key near-term focus, with analysts noting continued earnings growth momentum.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies manages a global portfolio of off-price retail banners including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods. TJX reported fiscal second-quarter results in mid-August 2026 showing 4% comparable-store sales growth and earnings per share that exceeded consensus estimates. Despite the beat, shares declined roughly 6% in the immediate aftermath amid tempered forward outlook commentary. Year-to-date performance reflects a decline of approximately 7.7% through mid-August 2026. Recent market activity has seen the stock trade near multi-week lows, with investors weighing resilient consumer traffic against apparel category softness and guidance details.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a curated Trending AI Robots page that highlights select AI trading bots from a broader library of hundreds available across thousands of tickers. Only those demonstrating strong alignment with prevailing market conditions, consistent performance statistics, and suitable risk parameters earn placement in this section. The bots encompass varied trading styles, strategies, timeframes, and ticker universes, allowing users to review detailed metrics such as historical returns, win rates, and drawdown profiles. Market participants seeking data-driven signals may explore the page for additional context on automated trading approaches.
Head-to-Head Comparison
BURL and TJX share an off-price retail business model but differ in scale, geographic reach, and growth execution. BURL exhibits higher recent earnings growth and stronger year-to-date price appreciation, supported by aggressive store expansion and merchandise initiatives. TJX offers greater diversification across banners and international markets, providing relative stability during periods of consumer caution. Recent momentum has favored BURL, though TJX maintains wider margins and cash flow consistency. Risk factors include comparable-store sales sensitivity to apparel demand for both, with BURL carrying higher beta exposure. Market sentiment reflects optimism around value retail resilience, tempered by post-earnings volatility in each name.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of outperformance to Burlington Stores (BURL) in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BURL is a Hold and TJX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BURL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTJX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BURL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BURL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TJX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BURL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -2.79% price change this week, while TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -2.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was -2.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.19%.
Reported Earning Dates
BURL is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (-2.08% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| BURL | TJX | BURL / TJX | |
| Capitalization | 16.7B | 145B | 12% |
| EBITDA | 1.47B | 9.44B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | -8.143 | -13.218 | 62% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.84 | 24.46 | 97% |
| Revenue | 12.2B | 62.4B | 20% |
| Total Cash | 704M | 6B | 12% |
| Total Debt | 5.91B | 14.3B | 41% |
BURL | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 74 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BURL's Valuation (78) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (92). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (100). This means that TJX’s stock grew significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (19) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (25). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (80). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's P/E Growth Rating (74) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (83). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
| BURL | TJX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 39% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 37% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 36% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 67% | 6 days ago 36% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 35% |
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