SOXL
Price
$66.03Alerts
Change
+$9.97 (+17.78%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
15.22B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TSMX
Price
$70.28Alerts
Change
+$5.28 (+8.12%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
421.78M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SOXL vs TSMX

SOXL vs TSMX Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 01, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (SOXL) vs. Direxion Daily TSM Bull 2X ETF (TSMX)

Key Takeaways

  • SOXL provides 3x daily leveraged exposure to a broad semiconductor index tracking 30 large U.S.-listed companies, while TSMX delivers 2x daily leveraged exposure to a single stock, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSM).
  • Both ETFs use synthetic instruments such as swaps for leverage and rebalance daily, resulting in distinct risk profiles due to compounding effects over multiple days.
  • SOXL offers broader sector diversification across semiconductor manufacturers, equipment providers, and related firms, whereas TSMX concentrates risk on one leading foundry.
  • Expense ratios stand at 0.75% for SOXL and 0.99% for TSMX, reflecting differences in strategy complexity and liquidity characteristics.
  • Both products suit short-term tactical positioning within the semiconductor theme but carry amplified volatility compared with unleveraged alternatives.
  • Structural features position SOXL for sector-wide momentum plays and TSMX for targeted exposure to TSM-specific developments.

Introduction

Investors seeking leveraged exposure to the semiconductor sector often evaluate products that amplify returns from industry leaders and supply-chain participants. SOXL and TSMX both target this theme through daily leveraged strategies but differ significantly in breadth and concentration. SOXL spreads exposure across a diversified index of semiconductor firms, while TSMX focuses exclusively on one key player. These structural distinctions make the pair relevant for comparing alternative approaches to similar investor objectives in a high-growth, technology-driven market environment.

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (SOXL) Overview

SOXL seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the performance of the NYSE Semiconductor Index. The index follows a rules-based, modified float-adjusted market-capitalization-weighted methodology covering the 30 largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies. The ETF typically holds a concentrated set of holdings through swaps and other derivatives to achieve its leverage target. Its expense ratio is 0.75%. As a leveraged, passive product, SOXL rebalances daily and suits investors focused on broad semiconductor sector exposure rather than individual company selection.

Direxion Daily TSM Bull 2X ETF (TSMX) Overview

TSMX seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% of the performance of the common shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSM). The fund invests primarily in securities of TSM and financial instruments such as swaps to deliver the stated leverage. It is non-diversified with a limited number of holdings and carries an expense ratio of 0.99%. As a single-stock leveraged ETF, TSMX rebalances daily and provides targeted exposure to one major semiconductor manufacturer.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The semiconductor sector continues to benefit from structural demand drivers including artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout, advanced computing applications, and global electronics manufacturing. Capital spending by leading foundries and equipment suppliers remains elevated, supported by government incentives and supply-chain resilience initiatives. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and geopolitical developments in Asia can influence sector sentiment and capital flows. Risks include cyclical inventory adjustments, regulatory scrutiny on technology exports, and concentration in a small number of large-cap names.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, both ETFs have exhibited heightened sensitivity to semiconductor earnings announcements and broader technology spending trends. SOXL’s diversified index exposure has historically moderated single-name volatility relative to pure single-stock products, though daily leverage amplifies moves in either direction. TSMX’s concentrated mandate ties its behavior more closely to TSM-specific catalysts such as capacity expansions and customer order patterns. Relative positioning favors SOXL for investors seeking sector rotation exposure and TSMX for those emphasizing one company’s operational momentum, with both displaying elevated volatility characteristics typical of leveraged vehicles.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights into leveraged products and sector themes may find the platform useful for refining their research process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable positioning to SOXL. The broader diversification across multiple semiconductor holdings, lower expense ratio, and established liquidity profile provide a more balanced risk framework within the leveraged semiconductor category compared with the single-stock concentration and higher cost structure of TSMX. This assessment reflects relative sector momentum consistency and cost efficiency rather than any guarantee of future outcomes.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SOXL vs. TSMX commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SOXL is a Hold and TSMX is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SOXL with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

SOXL sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for SOXL moved below the 200-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SOXL as a result. In 72 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SOXL turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

SOXL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SOXL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOXL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for SOXL entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SOXL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +37.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOXL advanced for three days, in 317 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SOXL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TSMX with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

TSMX's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for TSMX moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 5 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 5 of the 5 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 24 of 24 cases where TSMX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +12.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSMX advanced for three days, in 140 of 146 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

TSMX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSMX as a result. In 37 of 38 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSMX turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 22 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

TSMX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSMX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 6 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSMX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for TSMX entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SOXLTSMX
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
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SOXL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SOXL has been closely correlated with ASX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SOXL jumps, then ASX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SOXL
1D Price
Change %
SOXL100%
+17.78%
ASX - SOXL
85%
Closely correlated
+6.60%
TSM - SOXL
83%
Closely correlated
+4.25%
MKSI - SOXL
82%
Closely correlated
+5.87%
ONTO - SOXL
82%
Closely correlated
+8.89%
STM - SOXL
78%
Closely correlated
+3.49%
More

TSMX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that TSMX and TSM have been poorly correlated (+-8% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that TSMX and TSM's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TSMX
1D Price
Change %
TSMX100%
+8.12%
TSM - TSMX
-8%
Poorly correlated
+4.25%
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