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SPT vs TEAM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Sprout Social (SPT) vs. Atlassian (TEAM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Scale gap: TEAM (Atlassian) is a roughly $54 billion enterprise-collaboration giant, while SPT (Sprout Social) is a small-cap social-media software provider valued near $600–700 million.
- Growth contrast: Atlassian's trailing revenue grew about 26% year over year, versus roughly 11% for Sprout Social.
- Profitability inflection: Atlassian recently swung to a GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) profit and records robust free cash flow; Sprout Social remains GAAP-unprofitable but is narrowing losses.
- Momentum: TEAM has delivered sharply stronger year-to-date returns than SPT, which trades near the middle of its 52-week range.
- Sentiment: Analysts rate Atlassian a consensus "Buy," while Sprout Social carries a consensus "Hold."
Introduction
Investors evaluating software and SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) names often weigh high-growth, high-multiple franchises against smaller, turnaround-oriented players. This stock comparison examines two firms that both sell cloud software yet occupy very different positions in the market: SPT, a social-media management platform, and TEAM, a broad collaboration-software leader. The contrast in scale, growth, and profitability makes the two a useful lens for traders weighing relative performance and market positioning across growth, momentum, and value styles.
SPT Overview and Recent Performance
Sprout Social is a cloud-based social-media management and intelligence platform that helps brands manage publishing, engagement, customer care, and analytics across major social networks. In recent quarters the company has emphasized enterprise customers, AI (artificial intelligence) features such as its Trellis offering, and operational efficiency. Trailing-twelve-month revenue reached roughly $482 million, up about 11% year over year, and the company narrowed its GAAP losses while generating positive free cash flow.
Recent market activity has been comparatively subdued. SPT trades in the low double digits, near the middle of a 52-week range of roughly $5 to $12, and its year-to-date return has modestly lagged the broader market. Sentiment reflects a cautious, show-me stance: analysts carry a consensus "Hold" rating, though some firms have recently raised price targets. A workforce restructuring aimed at margin improvement and a continued shift toward larger customers are among the factors shaping investor expectations.
TEAM Overview and Recent Performance
Atlassian is a global provider of collaboration and productivity software, best known for Jira (project and issue tracking), Confluence (team knowledge sharing), and its broader product suite spanning development, IT, and work management. The company has pivoted aggressively toward cloud subscriptions and AI-enabled offerings such as Rovo, while expanding its enterprise footprint. Trailing revenue exceeded $6.5 billion, growing about 26% year over year.
Recent performance has been notably strong. TEAM rallied sharply after a fiscal third-quarter earnings beat and, in its latest quarter, swung to a GAAP profit with a double-digit operating margin. The stock trades near the top of its 52-week range and has delivered roughly a 30%-plus year-to-date gain, supported by a wave of analyst price-target increases. Momentum has been driven by accelerating cloud revenue, rising remaining performance obligations, and improving profitability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Across most dimensions, the two companies occupy distinct lanes. Business model: both are subscription-software firms, but Atlassian serves millions of teams across a broad collaboration suite, while Sprout Social targets social-media operations with a narrower product set. Growth drivers: Atlassian's cloud migration and enterprise expansion are compounding at a much faster rate than Sprout's more modest low-teens growth, which leans on AI monetization and larger customer contracts.
Risk factors also differ. Sprout Social faces demand headwinds among smaller customers and competitive pressure in social-media software, with profitability still developing. Atlassian, while profitable on a GAAP basis in its latest quarter, carries a higher valuation and faces execution risk around AI monetization and cloud migrations, along with margin guidance that suggests some near-term step-down. Market sentiment clearly favors TEAM, evidenced by its "Buy" consensus and rising price targets, versus the more cautious "Hold" posture on SPT. In short, investors are choosing between a large, fast-growing, increasingly profitable franchise and a smaller, higher-beta turnaround story.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI framework would likely favor TEAM at present. Atlassian exhibits stronger revenue acceleration, a recent move into GAAP profitability, robust free cash flow, and an uptrend reinforced by analyst upgrades. Sprout Social shows improving but comparatively slower fundamentals and more muted price momentum. That said, this is a probabilistic read on current conditions rather than a permanent ranking: a sustained trend break or a notable catalyst could shift the relative picture.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SPT is a StrongBuy and TEAM is a StrongBuy.
Momentum Indicator for SPT turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SPT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 74 of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPT just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
SPT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SPT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +11.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPT advanced for three days, in 226 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
SPT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SPT entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.325) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.287). P/E Ratio (-25.080) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.534). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.078) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.393) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SPT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for TEAM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TEAM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 72 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 58 of the 72 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TEAM just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where TEAM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +0.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEAM advanced for three days, in 232 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 136 of 169 cases where TEAM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TEAM moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEAM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (52.881) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.805). TEAM's P/E Ratio (-1052.905) is considerably lower than the industry average of (14.495). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.860) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.530) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TEAM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TEAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
SPT | TEAM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 94 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEAM's Valuation (3) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPT (13) in the null industry. This means that TEAM’s stock grew similarly to SPT’s over the last 12 months.
TEAM's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPT (100) in the null industry. This means that TEAM’s stock grew similarly to SPT’s over the last 12 months.
TEAM's SMR Rating (92) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPT (94) in the null industry. This means that TEAM’s stock grew similarly to SPT’s over the last 12 months.
SPT's Price Growth Rating (35) in the null industry is in the same range as TEAM (50) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that SPT’s stock grew similarly to TEAM’s over the last 12 months.
SPT's P/E Growth Rating (88) in the null industry is in the same range as TEAM (97) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that SPT’s stock grew similarly to TEAM’s over the last 12 months.
| SPT | TEAM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 2 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 8 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 81% | 22 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 2 days ago 80% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SPT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TEAM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- SPT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TEAM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SPT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEAM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SPT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TEAM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
SPT (@Packaged Software) experienced а +11.96% price change this week, while TEAM (@Packaged Software) price change was +6.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -0.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
SPT is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
TEAM is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-0.97% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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TEAM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEAM has been closely correlated with ASAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEAM jumps, then ASAN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TEAM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | 100% | +2.96% | ||
| ASAN - TEAM | 75% Closely correlated | +5.81% | ||
| NOW - TEAM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.88% | ||
| SPT - TEAM | 72% Closely correlated | +7.55% | ||
| WDAY - TEAM | 71% Closely correlated | +4.50% | ||
| CRM - TEAM | 69% Closely correlated | -0.01% | ||
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