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SPT vs TEAM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Sprout Social (SPT) vs. Atlassian (TEAM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Scale gap: TEAM (Atlassian) is a roughly $54 billion enterprise-collaboration giant, while SPT (Sprout Social) is a small-cap social-media software provider valued near $600–700 million.
- Growth contrast: Atlassian's trailing revenue grew about 26% year over year, versus roughly 11% for Sprout Social.
- Profitability inflection: Atlassian recently swung to a GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) profit and records robust free cash flow; Sprout Social remains GAAP-unprofitable but is narrowing losses.
- Momentum: TEAM has delivered sharply stronger year-to-date returns than SPT, which trades near the middle of its 52-week range.
- Sentiment: Analysts rate Atlassian a consensus "Buy," while Sprout Social carries a consensus "Hold."
Introduction
Investors evaluating software and SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) names often weigh high-growth, high-multiple franchises against smaller, turnaround-oriented players. This stock comparison examines two firms that both sell cloud software yet occupy very different positions in the market: SPT, a social-media management platform, and TEAM, a broad collaboration-software leader. The contrast in scale, growth, and profitability makes the two a useful lens for traders weighing relative performance and market positioning across growth, momentum, and value styles.
SPT Overview and Recent Performance
Sprout Social is a cloud-based social-media management and intelligence platform that helps brands manage publishing, engagement, customer care, and analytics across major social networks. In recent quarters the company has emphasized enterprise customers, AI (artificial intelligence) features such as its Trellis offering, and operational efficiency. Trailing-twelve-month revenue reached roughly $482 million, up about 11% year over year, and the company narrowed its GAAP losses while generating positive free cash flow.
Recent market activity has been comparatively subdued. SPT trades in the low double digits, near the middle of a 52-week range of roughly $5 to $12, and its year-to-date return has modestly lagged the broader market. Sentiment reflects a cautious, show-me stance: analysts carry a consensus "Hold" rating, though some firms have recently raised price targets. A workforce restructuring aimed at margin improvement and a continued shift toward larger customers are among the factors shaping investor expectations.
TEAM Overview and Recent Performance
Atlassian is a global provider of collaboration and productivity software, best known for Jira (project and issue tracking), Confluence (team knowledge sharing), and its broader product suite spanning development, IT, and work management. The company has pivoted aggressively toward cloud subscriptions and AI-enabled offerings such as Rovo, while expanding its enterprise footprint. Trailing revenue exceeded $6.5 billion, growing about 26% year over year.
Recent performance has been notably strong. TEAM rallied sharply after a fiscal third-quarter earnings beat and, in its latest quarter, swung to a GAAP profit with a double-digit operating margin. The stock trades near the top of its 52-week range and has delivered roughly a 30%-plus year-to-date gain, supported by a wave of analyst price-target increases. Momentum has been driven by accelerating cloud revenue, rising remaining performance obligations, and improving profitability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Across most dimensions, the two companies occupy distinct lanes. Business model: both are subscription-software firms, but Atlassian serves millions of teams across a broad collaboration suite, while Sprout Social targets social-media operations with a narrower product set. Growth drivers: Atlassian's cloud migration and enterprise expansion are compounding at a much faster rate than Sprout's more modest low-teens growth, which leans on AI monetization and larger customer contracts.
Risk factors also differ. Sprout Social faces demand headwinds among smaller customers and competitive pressure in social-media software, with profitability still developing. Atlassian, while profitable on a GAAP basis in its latest quarter, carries a higher valuation and faces execution risk around AI monetization and cloud migrations, along with margin guidance that suggests some near-term step-down. Market sentiment clearly favors TEAM, evidenced by its "Buy" consensus and rising price targets, versus the more cautious "Hold" posture on SPT. In short, investors are choosing between a large, fast-growing, increasingly profitable franchise and a smaller, higher-beta turnaround story.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI framework would likely favor TEAM at present. Atlassian exhibits stronger revenue acceleration, a recent move into GAAP profitability, robust free cash flow, and an uptrend reinforced by analyst upgrades. Sprout Social shows improving but comparatively slower fundamentals and more muted price momentum. That said, this is a probabilistic read on current conditions rather than a permanent ranking: a sustained trend break or a notable catalyst could shift the relative picture.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SPT is a Hold and TEAM is a StrongBuy.
SPT in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
The 10-day moving average for SPT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
SPT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +0.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPT advanced for three days, in 226 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
SPT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 112 of 143 cases where SPT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPT moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPT as a result. In 70 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPT turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.932) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (-22.120) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.078) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.393) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SPT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
TEAM's RSI Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 2 days
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +5.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEAM advanced for three days, in 232 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
TEAM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 142 of 185 cases where TEAM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEAM as a result. In 58 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TEAM turned negative on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
TEAM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TEAM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEAM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (36.754) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). TEAM's P/E Ratio (-731.810) is considerably lower than the industry average of (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.860) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.530) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEAM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TEAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
SPT | TEAM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 14 Undervalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 94 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEAM's Valuation (3) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPT (14) in the null industry. This means that TEAM’s stock grew similarly to SPT’s over the last 12 months.
TEAM's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPT (100) in the null industry. This means that TEAM’s stock grew similarly to SPT’s over the last 12 months.
TEAM's SMR Rating (92) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPT (94) in the null industry. This means that TEAM’s stock grew similarly to SPT’s over the last 12 months.
SPT's Price Growth Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as TEAM (47) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that SPT’s stock grew similarly to TEAM’s over the last 12 months.
SPT's P/E Growth Rating (80) in the null industry is in the same range as TEAM (93) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that SPT’s stock grew similarly to TEAM’s over the last 12 months.
| SPT | TEAM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 22 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 81% | 6 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SPT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TEAM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- SPT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TEAM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SPT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEAM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SPT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TEAM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
SPT (@Packaged Software) experienced а -6.62% price change this week, while TEAM (@Packaged Software) price change was -22.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.12%.
Reported Earning Dates
SPT is expected to report earnings on Feb 23, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.32% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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TEAM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEAM has been closely correlated with ASAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEAM jumps, then ASAN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TEAM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM | 100% | -4.07% | ||
| ASAN - TEAM | 75% Closely correlated | -4.29% | ||
| SPT - TEAM | 72% Closely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| WDAY - TEAM | 70% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| NOW - TEAM | 70% Closely correlated | -3.07% | ||
| CRM - TEAM | 69% Closely correlated | -0.68% | ||
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