Advertisement
TMC vs UAMY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) vs. United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- UAMY has surged over 110% year-to-date (YTD), far outpacing TMC's roughly 8% YTD decline.
- Both focus on critical minerals, but UAMY generates revenue from antimony and tungsten production, while TMC is pre-revenue deep-sea exploration.
- Recent catalysts include UAMY's mining restart and tungsten deposit announcement, versus TMC's U.S.-Japan supply chain support.
- UAMY exhibits lower volatility (beta 0.10) compared to TMC (beta 2.00), appealing to risk-averse investors.
- Market caps are comparable around $1.5-3 billion, but UAMY shows improving margins amid defense demand.
Introduction
In the volatile critical minerals sector, vital for electric vehicles (EVs), defense, and renewables, TMC and UAMY represent contrasting approaches to supplying strategic metals. TMC targets innovative deep-sea resources, while UAMY ramps up traditional mining. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, catalysts, and risks, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term supply chain shifts. With geopolitical tensions highlighting domestic sourcing, understanding their relative positioning offers insights into sector trends and trade-offs.
TMC Overview and Recent Performance
TMC the metals company Inc. explores and aims to extract polymetallic nodules from the ocean floor, rich in nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese—key battery metals for EVs and clean energy. Shares trade around $5.66, with a market cap near $3.2 billion and a 52-week range of $2.26-$11.35. In recent weeks, TMC has stabilized after a sharp 25% drop in March, amid profit-taking and sector pressures, trading flat into April. Positive sentiment stems from U.S.-Japan partnerships to secure critical minerals, countering China's dominance, alongside environmental data releases addressing regulatory concerns. Retail interest has turned bullish, though high losses ($320 million TTM) and no revenue underscore exploration risks.
UAMY Overview and Recent Performance
United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) mines and processes antimony, gold, silver, and zeolite from U.S. and Mexico sites, expanding into tungsten for defense applications. Shares are at $10.64, market cap about $1.5 billion, 52-week range $1.94-$19.71. Recent market activity shows robust gains, up over 110% YTD and 230% over one year, fueled by Montana mining restart, discovery of a major North American tungsten deposit, a $248 million Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) contract, and joint ventures for processing. Fiscal 2025 revenue rose 163%, gross margins hit 25%, supporting momentum despite modest TTM losses.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates 25 elite bots from over 350 AI trading agents, selected for excelling in current conditions across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These employ machine learning for real-time signals, with styles like swing trading, trend following, and multi-ticker strategies. Standout stats include annualized returns of 15% to 168%, win rates from 54% to 88%, profit factors up to 11.7, and profit-to-drawdown ratios exceeding 22 in some cases. Timeframes range from intraday (5-60 minutes) to 55 days, targeting volatile themes like semiconductors and minerals. Traders can explore these for data-driven edges in dynamic markets.
Head-to-Head Comparison
TMC and UAMY both tap critical minerals demand but diverge in models: TMC's speculative deep-sea venture carries environmental and permitting hurdles, lacking revenue (EV/EBITDA -2.07), while UAMY's production yields $39 million TTM revenue (price/sales 33.3) and expansion via defense pacts. Growth for TMC hinges on geopolitical tailwinds; UAMY on near-term output ramps. Momentum favors UAMY's surge versus TMC's volatility. Risks: TMC high beta (2.0), massive losses; UAMY low beta (0.1), operational focus. Sentiment leans positive for both amid reshoring, but UAMY shows stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor UAMY for its consistent upward trend, revenue traction, defense catalysts, and lower volatility in a market prioritizing producers. TMC holds speculative appeal with nodule potential, but recent flat performance and pre-commercial status suggest higher uncertainty. Probabilistic edges tilt toward UAMY for relative stability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TMC is a Hold and UAMY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TMC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileUAMY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- TMC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UAMY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TMC’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAMY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TMC’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- UAMY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
TMC (@Other Metals/Minerals) experienced а -7.12% price change this week, while UAMY (@Other Metals/Minerals) price change was -1.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Metals/Minerals industry was -6.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
TMC is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
UAMY is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Metals/Minerals (-6.06% weekly)The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.
| TMC | UAMY | TMC / UAMY | |
| Capitalization | 2.09B | 1.04B | 201% |
| EBITDA | -316.58M | -15.46M | 2,048% |
| Gain YTD | -19.611 | 39.641 | -49% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 0 | 39M | - |
| Total Cash | 120M | 7.84M | 1,530% |
| Total Debt | 2.48M | 200K | 1,239% |
TMC | UAMY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 5 | 4 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TMC's Valuation (90) in the null industry is in the same range as UAMY (99) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that TMC’s stock grew similarly to UAMY’s over the last 12 months.
UAMY's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as TMC (100) in the null industry. This means that UAMY’s stock grew similarly to TMC’s over the last 12 months.
UAMY's SMR Rating (96) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as TMC (100) in the null industry. This means that UAMY’s stock grew similarly to TMC’s over the last 12 months.
UAMY's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as TMC (62) in the null industry. This means that UAMY’s stock grew similarly to TMC’s over the last 12 months.
UAMY's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Metal Fabrication industry is significantly better than the same rating for TMC (100) in the null industry. This means that UAMY’s stock grew significantly faster than TMC’s over the last 12 months.
| TMC | UAMY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 82% | 6 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 87% | 14 days ago 89% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
Advertisement
TMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMC has been loosely correlated with FNUC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TMC jumps, then FNUC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMC | 100% | -3.31% | ||
| FNUC - TMC | 58% Loosely correlated | -8.29% | ||
| MP - TMC | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| USAR - TMC | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.21% | ||
| OMEX - TMC | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.74% | ||
| UAMY - TMC | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.64% | ||
More | ||||