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MP vs UAMY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MP Materials Corp. (MP) vs. United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- UAMY has significantly outperformed MP year-to-date (YTD, year-to-date), gaining 141% compared to MP's 32%, driven by antimony demand and expansion catalysts.
- Both stocks trade in the critical minerals space, benefiting from U.S. government initiatives to secure domestic supply chains for defense and technology applications.
- MP offers greater scale with a $11.8 billion market cap versus UAMY's $1.7 billion, alongside stronger cash reserves of $1.8 billion.
- Recent sentiment shifts favor strategic metals amid geopolitical tensions, with UAMY highlighting tungsten potential and MP advancing rare earth magnetics.
- Both remain unprofitable on a trailing twelve months (TTM) basis, with MP EPS at -$0.50 and UAMY at -$0.04, reflecting investment in growth.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MP Materials Corp. and United States Antimony Corp. (UAMY), two players in the critical minerals sector vital for defense, electric vehicles (EVs), and technology supply chains. As geopolitical tensions highlight U.S. reliance on foreign sources, these stocks have drawn attention for their domestic production capabilities. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term strategic positioning may find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and market sentiment in the current environment.
MP Overview and Recent Performance
MP Materials Corp. is America's only fully integrated rare earth producer, operating the Mountain Pass mine in California and advancing magnetics production. Shares have risen 32% YTD and 166% over the past year, trading around $66.50 with a 52-week range of $18.64–$100.25. Recent market activity reflects positive sentiment from U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) purchase price agreements (PPAs), analyst upgrades like Wedbush's Outperform rating with a $90 target, and expectations for Q1 2026 earnings. Broader catalysts include rising demand for neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) in EVs and defense, bolstering trend consistency despite TTM losses.
UAMY Overview and Recent Performance
United States Antimony Corp. (UAMY) produces antimony trisulfide for flame retardants and batteries, zeolite for filtration, and explores precious metals and tungsten. The stock has surged 141% YTD and 256% over the past year, trading near $12.10 within a 52-week range of $1.94–$19.71. Key influences include completion of Thompson Falls smelter expansion tripling capacity, mapping of a major tungsten deposit, and a $248 million Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) contract. Revenue jumped 163% YoY to $39 million TTM, fueling momentum amid antimony price strength and strategic metal focus, though profitability challenges persist.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MP and UAMY both target U.S. critical minerals self-sufficiency but differ in focus: MP's rare earth vertical integration contrasts UAMY's antimony smelting and tungsten exploration. Growth drivers include MP's magnet scaling versus UAMY's production tripling and DLA deals. Recent momentum favors UAMY with explosive gains, while MP shows steadier trends backed by larger revenue ($275 million TTM vs. $39 million). Risks involve commodity volatility and execution for UAMY, versus capex intensity for MP. Sector exposure overlaps in materials, with positive sentiment from policy tailwinds, though UAMY's lower beta (0.44) suggests relative stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward UAMY based on superior short-term momentum, outperformance in recent market activity, and catalysts like tungsten resources and capacity expansions. While MP provides scale and government-backed stability, UAMY's relative positioning in high-demand antimony offers probabilistic edge in trending conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MP is a Hold and UAMY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileUAMY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UAMY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAMY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UAMY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MP (@Other Metals/Minerals) experienced а -9.14% price change this week, while UAMY (@Other Metals/Minerals) price change was -19.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Metals/Minerals industry was +3.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was +55.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
MP is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
UAMY is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Metals/Minerals (+3.16% weekly)The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.
| MP | UAMY | MP / UAMY | |
| Capitalization | 10.9B | 1.28B | 854% |
| EBITDA | 29.5M | -4.51M | -654% |
| Gain YTD | 21.279 | 71.514 | 30% |
| P/E Ratio | 770.50 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 254M | 31.9M | 796% |
| Total Cash | 1.74B | 65.9K | 2,637,329% |
| Total Debt | 1B | 265K | 377,358% |
MP | UAMY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 97 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 22 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UAMY's Valuation (97) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as MP (98) in the null industry. This means that UAMY’s stock grew similarly to MP’s over the last 12 months.
MP's Profit vs Risk Rating (62) in the null industry is in the same range as UAMY (64) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that MP’s stock grew similarly to UAMY’s over the last 12 months.
MP's SMR Rating (92) in the null industry is in the same range as UAMY (93) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that MP’s stock grew similarly to UAMY’s over the last 12 months.
UAMY's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as MP (40) in the null industry. This means that UAMY’s stock grew similarly to MP’s over the last 12 months.
MP's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the null industry is in the same range as UAMY (7) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that MP’s stock grew similarly to UAMY’s over the last 12 months.
| MP | UAMY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 82% | 16 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 89% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 79% |
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MP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MP has been loosely correlated with NB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MP jumps, then NB could also see price increases.
UAMY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UAMY has been loosely correlated with NB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UAMY jumps, then NB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UAMY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAMY | 100% | -10.03% | ||
| NB - UAMY | 61% Loosely correlated | -7.00% | ||
| USAR - UAMY | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.77% | ||
| MP - UAMY | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.59% | ||
| CRML - UAMY | 53% Loosely correlated | -3.62% | ||
| FNUC - UAMY | 49% Loosely correlated | -4.42% | ||
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