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UNP vs UTF
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UNP is a Hold and UTF is a Hold.
UNP's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNP turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where UNP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNP as a result. In 58 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
UNP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in 181 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for UNP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
UNP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for UNP entered a downward trend on September 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to good earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UNP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.874) is normal, around the industry mean (4.638). P/E Ratio (22.194) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.129). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.721) is also within normal values, averaging (7.261). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. UNP's P/S Ratio (6.562) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.592).
UTF in +0.70% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 12, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where UTF advanced for three days, in 299 of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UTF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UTF as a result. In 61 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UTF just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where UTF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for UTF moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UTF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
UTF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for UTF entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
UNP | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| UNP | UTF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 5 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
UNP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- UNP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
UNP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- UNP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
UNP (@Railroads) experienced а +3.78% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Railroads industry was -0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
UNP is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Railroads (-0.72% weekly)The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPDV | 40.43 | 0.80 | +2.01% |
| AAM S&P 500 High Dividend Value ETF (SPDV) | |||
| IVSS | 29.78 | 0.43 | +1.46% |
| Applied Finance IVS US SMID ETF (IVSS) | |||
| FNDB | 31.61 | 0.22 | +0.70% |
| Schwab Fundamental U.S. Broad Market ETF (FNDB) | |||
| FTSD | 89.09 | 0.15 | +0.17% |
| Franklin Short Duration U.S. Government ETF (FTSD) | |||
| HMAY | 25.47 | N/A | N/A |
| Corgi U.S. Equities 100% Structured Buffer ETF (HMAY) | |||
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UTF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that UTF and AMT have been poorly correlated (+17% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that UTF and AMT's prices will move in lockstep.