Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) and Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) represent two distinct yet complementary approaches to U.S. large-cap equity investing. While both target established companies and share substantial sector overlap, they diverge in methodology: VTV prioritizes value characteristics such as lower price-to-book ratios, and VYM emphasizes above-average dividend payers. These ETFs do not compete directly but offer investors alternative tilts within the same broad market segment, allowing customization based on goals like total return versus income generation in varying interest-rate and economic environments.
VTV seeks to track the performance of the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index (or Morningstar US Large Cap Value Index) through a passively managed, full-replication strategy. The fund holds approximately 310-311 stocks, with top positions including Micron Technology, JPMorgan Chase, Berkshire Hathaway, ExxonMobil, and Johnson & Johnson. Sector allocations typically feature financials near 21-22%, industrials 14-16%, health care 14-16%, and meaningful exposure to energy, consumer staples, and technology. The expense ratio stands at 0.03%. As an open-ended exchange-traded fund, VTV rebalances periodically to match its benchmark and offers high liquidity with options trading available.
VYM aims to replicate the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index, which selects U.S. common stocks paying dividends generally higher than average (excluding real estate investment trusts). The ETF employs a passive, rules-based methodology with full replication and maintains roughly 590-610 holdings. Prominent positions include Broadcom, JPMorgan Chase, ExxonMobil, Johnson & Johnson, and AbbVie. Sector weights center on financials around 20-21%, technology 14-17% (elevated by dividend-paying tech names), health care 13-14%, and industrials plus energy. The expense ratio is 0.04%. VYM distributes dividends quarterly and provides broad exposure to high-yielding large- and mid-cap equities.
Both ETFs operate within the U.S. large-cap equity space, influenced by macroeconomic factors including interest rate expectations, corporate earnings growth, and sector rotation between value and growth styles. Financials and energy sectors, prominent in each portfolio, respond to lending environments and commodity price trends. Health care holdings face regulatory and demographic drivers, while technology exposure in VYM reflects dividend sustainability among select growth companies. Capital flows into dividend-focused strategies often increase during periods of market uncertainty or when investors seek income amid lower bond yields. Broader risks include valuation compression in high-yield names and potential underperformance of value factors during strong growth cycles.
In recent market cycles, VTV has demonstrated characteristics typical of value-oriented funds, with sensitivity to economic expansions favoring cyclicals and financials. VYM has shown resilience through its dividend emphasis, often exhibiting lower volatility in downturns due to income support and defensive sector tilts. Relative positioning highlights VTV’s tighter focus on undervalued large-caps versus VYM’s wider net across dividend payers, including select technology holdings. Both have benefited from large-cap dominance in recent weeks and months, though differences emerge in how each captures sector momentum—VTV through traditional value sectors and VYM through yield sustainability amid shifting rate outlooks.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights into funds like VTV and VYM can leverage this platform for deeper analysis.
Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to VTV due to its marginally lower expense ratio, tighter large-cap value focus, and efficient replication of a established benchmark. VYM offers compelling diversification and explicit yield targeting that may appeal in specific income-driven scenarios. Investors should evaluate both against personal objectives, time horizons, and risk tolerance, as relative attractiveness can shift with evolving market conditions and sector dynamics.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
VTV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 36 cases where VTV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VTV as a result. In 76 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VTV just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where VTV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
VTV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VTV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Following a +0.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTV advanced for three days, in 291 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VTV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for VTV entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator for VYM moved out of oversold territory on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VYM as a result. In 75 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VYM just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where VYM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
VYM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VYM advanced for three days, in 278 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
VYM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VYM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for VYM entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| VTV | VYM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 2 days ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 72% | 9 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 7 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CAGE | 29.31 | 0.34 | +1.17% |
| Calamos Autocallable Growth ETF (CAGE) | |||
| XXV | 22.65 | 0.16 | +0.71% |
| Simplify Ancorato Target 25 Distribution ETF (XXV) | |||
| VSGX | 79.79 | 0.42 | +0.53% |
| Vanguard ESG International Stock ETF (VSGX) | |||
| IBHF | 22.51 | N/A | N/A |
| iShares iBonds 2026 Term High Yield and Income ETF (IBHF) | |||
| ACGR | 70.52 | N/A | N/A |
| American Century Large Cap Growth ETF (ACGR) | |||