XPO
Price
$103.72
Change
+$3.76 (+3.76%)
Updated
Apr 24 closing price
Capitalization
12.22B
5 days until earnings call
ZTO
Price
$18.98
Change
-$0.02 (-0.11%)
Updated
Apr 24, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
17.46B
19 days until earnings call
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XPO vs ZTO

Header iconXPO vs ZTO Comparison
Open Charts XPO vs ZTOBanner chart's image
XPO
Price$103.72
Change+$3.76 (+3.76%)
Volume$1.53M
Capitalization12.22B
ZTO Express (Cayman)
Price$18.98
Change-$0.02 (-0.11%)
Volume$23.1K
Capitalization17.46B
XPO vs ZTO Comparison Chart
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XPO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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XPO vs. ZTO commentary
Apr 25, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is XPO is a StrongBuy and ZTO is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Apr 25, 2025
Stock price -- (XPO: $103.72 vs. ZTO: $19.00)
Brand notoriety: XPO and ZTO are both not notable
XPO represents the Trucking, while ZTO is part of the Air Freight/Couriers industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: XPO: 81% vs. ZTO: 117%
Market capitalization -- XPO: $12.22B vs. ZTO: $17.46B
XPO [@Trucking] is valued at $12.22B. ZTO’s [@Air Freight/Couriers] market capitalization is $17.46B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Trucking] industry ranges from $33.71B to $0. The market cap for tickers in the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry ranges from $126.8B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Trucking] industry is $3.81B. The average market capitalization across the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry is $13.19B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

XPO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileZTO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • XPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • ZTO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, ZTO is a better buy in the long-term than XPO.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

XPO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ZTO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • XPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • ZTO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, XPO is a better buy in the short-term than ZTO.

Price Growth

XPO (@Trucking) experienced а +7.22% price change this week, while ZTO (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was +1.01% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -1.35%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.37%.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +2.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.76%.

Reported Earning Dates

XPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2025.

ZTO is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Trucking (-1.35% weekly)

The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.

@Air Freight/Couriers (+2.17% weekly)

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
ZTO($17.5B) has a higher market cap than XPO($12.2B). XPO has higher P/E ratio than ZTO: XPO (32.11) vs ZTO (14.44). ZTO YTD gains are higher at: -0.868 vs. XPO (-20.915). ZTO has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 10.7B vs. XPO (1.19B). ZTO has more cash in the bank: 16.9B vs. XPO (246M). XPO has less debt than ZTO: XPO (4.12B) vs ZTO (17.5B). ZTO has higher revenues than XPO: ZTO (37.7B) vs XPO (8.07B).
XPOZTOXPO / ZTO
Capitalization12.2B17.5B70%
EBITDA1.19B10.7B11%
Gain YTD-20.915-0.8682,408%
P/E Ratio32.1114.44222%
Revenue8.07B37.7B21%
Total Cash246M16.9B1%
Total Debt4.12B17.5B24%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
XPO vs ZTO: Fundamental Ratings
XPO
ZTO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
1913
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
87
Overvalued
37
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
29100
SMR RATING
1..100
3755
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
8057
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
9547
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
17n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

ZTO's Valuation (37) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPO (87) in the Trucking industry. This means that ZTO’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Trucking industry is significantly better than the same rating for ZTO (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew significantly faster than ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's SMR Rating (37) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ZTO (55) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

ZTO's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (80) in the Trucking industry. This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.

ZTO's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPO (95) in the Trucking industry. This means that ZTO’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
XPOZTO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
65%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
60%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
65%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
68%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
67%
Bearish Trend 17 days ago
72%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
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XPO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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ZTO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that ZTO and XPO have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ZTO and XPO's prices will move in lockstep.

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1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ZTO
1D Price
Change %
ZTO100%
-0.05%
XPO - ZTO
33%
Poorly correlated
+3.76%
UPS - ZTO
25%
Poorly correlated
+1.76%
FDX - ZTO
21%
Poorly correlated
+2.20%
EXPD - ZTO
21%
Poorly correlated
+3.63%
PBI - ZTO
20%
Poorly correlated
+1.93%
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