XPO
Price
$118.48
Change
+$1.81 (+1.55%)
Updated
Jun 6, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
13.96B
55 days until earnings call
ZTO
Price
$17.13
Change
+$0.08 (+0.47%)
Updated
Jun 6, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
17.46B
68 days until earnings call
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XPO vs ZTO

Header iconXPO vs ZTO Comparison
Open Charts XPO vs ZTOBanner chart's image
XPO
Price$118.48
Change+$1.81 (+1.55%)
Volume$7.81K
Capitalization13.96B
ZTO Express (Cayman)
Price$17.13
Change+$0.08 (+0.47%)
Volume$14.97K
Capitalization17.46B
XPO vs ZTO Comparison Chart
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XPO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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XPO vs. ZTO commentary
Jun 07, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is XPO is a Hold and ZTO is a StrongBuy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jun 07, 2025
Stock price -- (XPO: $116.67 vs. ZTO: $17.13)
Brand notoriety: XPO and ZTO are both not notable
XPO represents the Trucking, while ZTO is part of the Air Freight/Couriers industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: XPO: 90% vs. ZTO: 30%
Market capitalization -- XPO: $13.74B vs. ZTO: $17.46B
XPO [@Trucking] is valued at $13.74B. ZTO’s [@Air Freight/Couriers] market capitalization is $17.46B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Trucking] industry ranges from $33.74B to $0. The market cap for tickers in the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry ranges from $126.8B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Trucking] industry is $3.98B. The average market capitalization across the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry is $13.19B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

XPO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileZTO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • XPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • ZTO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, XPO is a better buy in the long-term than ZTO.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

XPO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ZTO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • XPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • ZTO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, ZTO is a better buy in the short-term than XPO.

Price Growth

XPO (@Trucking) experienced а -0.74% price change this week, while ZTO (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was -2.67% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was +0.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.36%.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +1.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.59%.

Reported Earning Dates

XPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2025.

ZTO is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Trucking (+0.61% weekly)

The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.

@Air Freight/Couriers (+1.49% weekly)

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
ZTO($17.5B) has a higher market cap than XPO($14B). XPO has higher P/E ratio than ZTO: XPO (36.45) vs ZTO (14.44). ZTO (-10.625) and XPO (-11.041) have similar YTD gains . ZTO has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 10.7B vs. XPO (1.19B). ZTO has more cash in the bank: 16.9B vs. XPO (212M). XPO has less debt than ZTO: XPO (4.11B) vs ZTO (17.5B). ZTO has higher revenues than XPO: ZTO (37.7B) vs XPO (8.01B).
XPOZTOXPO / ZTO
Capitalization14B17.5B80%
EBITDA1.19B10.7B11%
Gain YTD-11.041-10.625104%
P/E Ratio36.4514.44252%
Revenue8.01B37.7B21%
Total Cash212M16.9B1%
Total Debt4.11B17.5B23%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
XPO vs ZTO: Fundamental Ratings
XPO
ZTO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
5957
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
87
Overvalued
68
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
29100
SMR RATING
1..100
3754
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
5681
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
8687
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

ZTO's Valuation (68) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (87) in the Trucking industry. This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Trucking industry is significantly better than the same rating for ZTO (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew significantly faster than ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's SMR Rating (37) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ZTO (54) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ZTO (81) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's P/E Growth Rating (86) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ZTO (87) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
XPOZTO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend about 1 month ago
73%
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
67%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
70%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
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XPO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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XPO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with ODFL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then ODFL could also see price increases.

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Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XPO
1D Price
Change %
XPO100%
+1.51%
ODFL - XPO
77%
Closely correlated
-1.12%
ARCB - XPO
75%
Closely correlated
-0.80%
FWRD - XPO
75%
Closely correlated
+3.39%
SAIA - XPO
71%
Closely correlated
-4.37%
GXO - XPO
71%
Closely correlated
+0.26%
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