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FWRD vs XPO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FWRD is a Hold and XPO is a Hold.
FWRD's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for FWRD moved out of oversold territory on September 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 33 of the 37 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FWRD just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where FWRD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +6.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FWRD advanced for three days, in 236 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 62 cases where FWRD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FWRD as a result. In 59 of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
FWRD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FWRD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FWRD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
FWRD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FWRD entered a downward trend on September 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FWRD's P/B Ratio (-4.401) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.756). P/E Ratio (-1.679) is within average values for comparable stocks, (222.905). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.400) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). FWRD's Dividend Yield (0.064) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.013). P/S Ratio (0.195) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FWRD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
XPO's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XPO turned positive on September 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where XPO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XPO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XPO as a result. In 62 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +4.24% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPO advanced for three days, in 215 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
XPO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
XPO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for XPO entered a downward trend on September 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to good earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XPO's P/B Ratio (11.140) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.871). P/E Ratio (54.265) is within average values for comparable stocks, (179.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.707) is also within normal values, averaging (12.936). XPO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.010). P/S Ratio (2.421) is also within normal values, averaging (2.068).
FWRD | XPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FWRD's Valuation (55) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (85) in the Trucking industry. This means that FWRD’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Trucking industry is significantly better than the same rating for FWRD (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew significantly faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's SMR Rating (45) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FWRD (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as FWRD (61) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FWRD (71) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
| FWRD | XPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 79% | 24 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 76% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FWRD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while XPO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FWRD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FWRD’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FWRD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- XPO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FWRD (@Other Transportation) experienced а -3.84% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was +1.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -2.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.09%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was +0.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
FWRD is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
XPO is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-2.70% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
@Trucking (+0.54% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
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FWRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRD has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FWRD jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FWRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FWRD | 100% | -5.05% | ||
| XPO - FWRD | 75% Closely correlated | -1.14% | ||
| PAL - FWRD | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.79% | ||
| JBHT - FWRD | 31% Poorly correlated | -2.78% | ||
| FDX - FWRD | 31% Poorly correlated | -0.67% | ||
| UPS - FWRD | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.36% | ||
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