Based in New York City, Tapestry is the parent company of accessories and fashion brand Coach, which accounted for 86% of its revenue and all its operating profit in fiscal 2026... Show more
Tapestry, the parent of Coach and Kate Spade, has been one of the stronger performers in the accessible-luxury accessories space, powered by its "Amplify" growth strategy. Coach's handbag and leathergoods momentum has driven double-digit revenue and profit gains in recent quarters, helping the company raise its outlook repeatedly. However, sentiment has cooled as investors question how long that growth can last, especially as China's demand pace shows signs of slowing. The fiscal first quarter report will be a key test of whether Tapestry can extend its earnings beat streak and maintain credibility around its full-year targets.
Analysts expect Tapestry to report fiscal 2027 first quarter EPS of about $1.56, with estimates clustered between $1.55 and $1.57. Revenue is projected near $1.85 billion, though some estimates range up to $1.88 billion. These figures imply year-over-year growth of roughly 13% in EPS and 8% in revenue compared with the prior-year quarter, when Tapestry posted non-GAAP (non-GAAP meaning adjusted to exclude certain one-time items) EPS of $1.38 on revenue of $1.70 billion.
For the full fiscal year, Tapestry has guided to EPS of $7.80 to $7.90. UBS has said it expects the company to beat first-quarter EPS estimates by about $0.03 and raise full-year guidance to a range of $7.84 to $7.94. Tapestry has a strong track record, having topped consensus EPS in eight consecutive quarters, most recently reporting $1.32 for the fiscal 2026 fourth quarter against a $1.28 estimate.
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Sentiment heading into the report leans cautious. Despite Tapestry's consistent earnings beats, the stock has pulled back from the levels it reached earlier in fiscal 2026 and now trades in the mid-$110s. UBS recently described investor positioning as "leans bearish," noting concerns about whether Coach can sustain its momentum. The firm expects the results to show slowing sequential sales trends in Coach's U.S. and Greater China businesses, with U.S. direct-to-consumer (DTC, meaning sales made directly to consumers through the company's own stores and websites) growth moderating and China's online gross merchandise value (GMV, the total value of goods sold) growth decelerating sharply from the prior quarter. UBS nonetheless maintains a buy rating but lowered its price target to $200 from $232, framing the risk-reward as balanced.
Following the report, investors should watch several signals tied to the sustainability of Tapestry's growth. First is Coach's North America trajectory: whether direct-to-consumer sales growth holds up or continues to fade into the low single digits will be critical, since Coach accounts for the bulk of Tapestry's revenue and profit.
Second is Greater China. The region has been a major growth engine, but a sharp deceleration in online sales momentum suggests the easy comparisons may be ending. Any commentary on Chinese consumer demand and store productivity will be closely read.
Third, margin and cost trends matter. Tapestry has expanded its operating margin in recent quarters through gross margin gains and leverage on selling, general, and administrative expenses, but tariff and duty pressures and foreign exchange movements remain headwinds. Finally, any revision to the full-year EPS guidance of $7.80 to $7.90, along with updates on the company's shareholder return plans, will shape how the market interprets the quarter's durability.
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