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ARMK or EXPO or GHC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Aramark (ARMK) vs. Exponent (EXPO) vs. Graham Holdings (GHC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARMK leads YTD performance at +22.68%, outperforming the S&P 500's +8.08%, driven by entry into AI data centers.
- EXPO offers steady revenue growth in high-single digits, with a YTD return of +11.20% and lower beta (0.78) indicating reduced volatility.
- GHC trades at the lowest trailing P/E (16.81), reflecting value in diversified education and media amid Q1 earnings beat.
- All three show positive 1-year returns (ARMK +18.76%, EXPO +19.14%, GHC +17.43%), but lag broader market gains.
- ARMK has highest market cap ($11.85B), while EXPO and GHC provide higher relative stability.
- Recent momentum favors ARMK, but GHC's lower valuation appeals to value investors.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ARMK (Aramark), EXPO (Exponent), and GHC (Graham Holdings Company) in the current market environment. These companies span industrials services, engineering consulting, and education/media sectors, offering investors exposure to growth in facilities management, technical expertise, and diversified operations. Traders seeking relative performance insights, particularly amid AI-driven catalysts and earnings momentum, will find value in analyzing their price behavior, valuations, and sentiment shifts over recent weeks. This analysis highlights contrasts in momentum, risk, and positioning for informed decision-making.
ARMK Overview and Recent Performance
Aramark (ARMK), a leader in food and facilities services for education, healthcare, sports, and business sectors (Industrials: Specialty Business Services), has demonstrated robust recent market activity. Trading around $45 with a market cap of $11.85B, it boasts a trailing P/E of 37.88 and forward P/E of 20.20. YTD return stands at +22.68%, surpassing the S&P 500, fueled by a multi-year deal entering the hyperscale AI data center market via a new hospitality platform with a top global hyperscaler. A quarterly dividend declaration and upcoming Q2 earnings have bolstered sentiment, though beta of 1.16 signals moderate volatility. Price has hovered near its 52-week high of $46.88, reflecting positive response to diversification into high-growth tech infrastructure.
EXPO Overview and Recent Performance
Exponent (EXPO), a science and engineering consulting firm (Industrials: Engineering & Construction), serves clients in chemicals, energy, and tech with expertise in failure analysis and risk assessment. Current price near $61, market cap $2.99B, trailing P/E 28.70, forward P/E 29.33. YTD +11.20% outperforms S&P slightly, with 1-year +19.14%. Recent Q1 results showed high-single-digit revenue growth before reimbursements, dividend hike to $0.31, and $50M share repurchase boost. UBS lowered target to $75 (Neutral), yet 1-year target averages $86.67. Beta 0.78 indicates lower risk; shares near 52-week low $60.73 after pullback, supported by leadership transitions and FY26 growth outlook.
GHC Overview and Recent Performance
Graham Holdings Company (GHC), a diversified holding firm in education, media, manufacturing, and healthcare (Consumer Defensive: Education & Training Services), operates Kaplan and TV stations. Price around $1,136, market cap $4.89B, trailing P/E 16.81, beta 0.74. YTD +3.78% trails S&P, 1-year +17.43%. Q1 revenue $1.24B (+6% YoY), EPS $16.79 beating estimates; sold Kaplan Languages Group. Trading below 52-week high $1,225 amid steady performance. Lower beta reflects stability; analyst targets average $1,040, suggesting potential downside but value appeal in diversified revenue streams.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARMK, EXPO, and GHC contrast in business models: ARMK's scale-driven facilities services versus EXPO's niche consulting and GHC's holdings diversification. Growth drivers differ—ARMK leverages AI data centers, EXPO high-single-digit billings, GHC education recovery. Recent momentum strongest for ARMK (near highs), EXPO stable, GHC range-bound. Risk via beta: GHC/EXPO lower (0.74/0.78) than ARMK (1.16). Sectors: Industrials dominate, GHC defensive. Valuations: GHC cheapest (P/E 16.81), ARMK forward-discounted (20.20). Sentiment tilts growth for ARMK, stability for others.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ARMK due to superior trend consistency (top YTD performer), fresh AI catalysts, and forward P/E compression signaling earnings leverage. While EXPO offers low-beta growth and GHC value stability, ARMK's relative positioning in expanding sectors provides higher probabilistic upside in recent market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARMK’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileEXPO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and GHC’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ARMK’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- EXPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GHC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARMK’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXPO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and GHC’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARMK’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- EXPO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GHC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARMK (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а -0.45% price change this week, while EXPO (@Engineering & Construction) price change was -4.54% , and GHC (@Other Consumer Specialties) price fluctuated +4.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was +0.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.40%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Engineering & Construction industry was -3.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Consumer Specialties industry was -3.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.67%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARMK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
EXPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
GHC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (+0.69% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Engineering & Construction (-3.83% weekly)Engineering & Construction includes companies that engage in non-residential construction and contract services, including ventilation, heating and air conditioning (HVAC) services. The level/value of construction & engineering activity is one of the potentially relevant indicators of the health of businesses, and hence of the overall economy. Some of the large-cap U.S. companies in this industry include Jacobs Engineering Group Inc,, AECOM and Quanta Services, Inc.
@Other Consumer Specialties (-3.10% weekly)‘Other Consumer Specialties’ represents an industry that typically sells durable consumer products, but do not have a classification in another category. The products include jewelry, smoke detectors, watches, collectibles and safety products. MSA Safety (makes products which enhances the safety and health of workers and protect facility infrastructures), Matthews International (memorialization business), Fitbit (makes wireless-enabled wearable technology devices that gauge data such as the number of steps walked, heart rate, quality of sleep), and Fossil Group (makes watches and accessories) have some of the largest market caps in this group.
| ARMK | EXPO | GHC | |
| Capitalization | 14B | 2.69B | 4.94B |
| EBITDA | 1.35B | 127M | 678M |
| Gain YTD | 45.383 | -19.532 | 4.730 |
| P/E Ratio | 39.78 | 25.87 | 16.95 |
| Revenue | 19.4B | 603M | 4.98B |
| Total Cash | 476M | 119M | 1.11B |
| Total Debt | 6.42B | 81M | 1.25B |
ARMK | EXPO | GHC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 90 | 61 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 29 Undervalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 100 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 35 | 83 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 75 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 81 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 35 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GHC's Valuation (16) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ARMK (29) in the Restaurants industry, and is in the same range as EXPO (29) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that GHC's stock grew similarly to ARMK’s and similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
ARMK's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as GHC (19) in the Other Consumer Services industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EXPO (100) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ARMK's stock grew similarly to GHC’s and significantly faster than EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
EXPO's SMR Rating (35) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as ARMK (67) in the Restaurants industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for GHC (83) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that EXPO's stock grew similarly to ARMK’s and somewhat faster than GHC’s over the last 12 months.
ARMK's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as GHC (48) in the Other Consumer Services industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EXPO (75) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ARMK's stock grew similarly to GHC’s and somewhat faster than EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
GHC's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ARMK (25) in the Restaurants industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EXPO (81) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that GHC's stock grew similarly to ARMK’s and significantly faster than EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
| ARMK | EXPO | GHC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 51% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 63% | 7 days ago 56% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 56% | 1 day ago 59% | 9 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 39% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| MSFD | 13.57 | 0.18 | +1.32% |
| Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X ETF | |||
| CAOS | 90.57 | 0.03 | +0.04% |
| Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF | |||
| IHD | 7.37 | -0.04 | -0.54% |
| VOYA EMERGING MARKETS HIGH Income DIVIDEND EQUITY FUND | |||
| DFAI | 40.55 | -0.50 | -1.22% |
| Dimensional International Cr Eq Mkt ETF | |||
| ORCX | 46.13 | -1.04 | -2.20% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF | |||
ARMK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARMK has been loosely correlated with MSA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ARMK jumps, then MSA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARMK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMK | 100% | -0.87% | ||
| MSA - ARMK | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.79% | ||
| ARLO - ARMK | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.52% | ||
| EXPO - ARMK | 49% Loosely correlated | -3.25% | ||
| GHC - ARMK | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| EFX - ARMK | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.37% | ||
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