AST SpaceMobile, Lantronix, and Ondas Holdings operate in very different corners of the technology and defense economy, yet each has become a fixture in speculative and growth-oriented portfolios over the past year. This stock comparison examines their business models, recent market activity, and risk profiles side by side. Growth investors drawn to satellite connectivity, defense drones, and autonomous systems may find the contrasts instructive, while traders weighing relative performance and market positioning can use this framework to assess where momentum, stability, and valuation sensitivity currently stand across these three tickers.
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is developing a direct-to-device cellular broadband network using a constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) BlueBird satellites that connect to unmodified smartphones. The company has partnerships with more than 60 mobile network operators representing roughly three billion subscribers, including AT&T, Verizon, and Vodafone. In recent weeks, sentiment has been shaped by two competing forces. European carriers Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefónica, and Vodafone signed a letter of intent to explore a joint bid for mobile satellite services spectrum, a potential tailwind, while SpaceX's expansion into direct-to-cell service and an $8 billion spectrum acquisition intensified competitive concerns. The shares have fallen substantially from their spring peak and remain well below year-ago levels. Investors continue to weigh heavy free-cash-flow burn, frequent convertible-note issuance, and a still-uncertain revenue ramp against a large addressable market.
Lantronix (LTRX) provides Edge AI computing, Industrial Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity, and out-of-band management solutions, with a growing focus on National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA)-compliant unmanned systems and drone computing. In its most recent fiscal year, revenue rose roughly 8% to about $121 million, and the company ended the period debt-free with around $60 million in cash. Unmanned systems revenue reached $12.6 million and is expected to grow to 15–20% of revenue in the current fiscal year, supported by engagements tied to U.S. defense drone programs and a $11.7 million acquisition of an Industrial IoT asset-tracking business. Recent market activity has been steadier than its peers, though the shares remain sensitive to federal procurement timing, memory-component costs, and lingering GAAP losses (losses measured under generally accepted accounting principles) even as non-GAAP profitability improves.
Ondas Holdings (ONDS) is a provider of private wireless networks, drones, and autonomous defense technologies, and it has pivoted aggressively toward defense through a rapid series of acquisitions, including counter-drone and electronic safe-and-arm businesses. Revenue has scaled dramatically, with record quarterly sales and a full-year target raised to between $525 million and $550 million, alongside a backlog near $613 million and more than $270 million in new orders since mid-year. The company also launched a joint venture with Palantir to build secure AI systems for defense customers. Despite these milestones, the stock has declined sharply from its January high and trades well below its earlier peak. The share count has more than doubled as growth has been funded partly with equity, operating losses remain large, and short interest has climbed above 40% of the float, reflecting significant skepticism about whether the order surge can convert into durable profitability.
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The three companies differ most clearly in business maturity and risk structure. ASTS is the most speculative: it is pre-commercial at scale, generates minimal revenue today, and carries high sensitivity to regulatory approvals, launch schedules, and competitive moves by SpaceX. Its valuation rests on future revenue projections rather than current earnings, which amplifies both upside potential and downside risk. LTRX sits at the opposite end of the spectrum as a more established, modestly growing operator with a clean balance sheet and a defined path toward profitability, though its smaller market capitalization and dependence on a handful of defense programs limit its scale. ONDS occupies the middle ground on revenue visibility but the most aggressive end on execution risk: its revenue growth is real and large, yet much of it has arrived through acquisition, accompanied by heavy share issuance, ongoing operating losses, and an unusually high short position. Sector exposure also diverges, spanning satellite telecom (ASTS), industrial IoT and drones (LTRX), and defense and autonomy (ONDS).
Based on observable factors rather than any single metric, Tickeron's AI would likely favor LTRX as the most stable of the three in the current environment. Its combination of a debt-free balance sheet, improving profitability trajectory, and a clearly defined growth catalyst in defense drones offers relatively greater trend consistency than the high-burn, catalyst-dependent profile of ASTS or the acquisition- and dilution-heavy setup at ONDS. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: AI-driven models re-evaluate these names continuously as price action, order flow, and catalyst timing shift, and each stock may lead during different market regimes.
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ASTS saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASTS as a result. In 70 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
ASTS moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASTS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for ASTS entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASTS advanced for three days, in 235 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
ASTS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.298) is normal, around the industry mean (6.969). P/E Ratio (-18.507) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.283). ASTS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.120) among similar stocks. ASTS's P/S Ratio (147.059) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (11.937).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ASTS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ASTS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
LTRX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 72 of the 89 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LTRX turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
LTRX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LTRX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LTRX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LTRX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LTRX advanced for three days, in 226 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
LTRX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.260) is normal, around the industry mean (6.969). P/E Ratio (-57.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.283). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.540) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.120) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.800) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LTRX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LTRX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ONDS advanced for three days, in 236 of 266 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ONDS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 16 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
ONDS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ONDS as a result. In 67 of 70 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ONDS turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ONDS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for ONDS entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ONDS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.300) is normal, around the industry mean (6.969). ONDS has a moderately high P/E Ratio (98.556) as compared to the industry average of (6.283). ONDS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.120) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (16.694) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ONDS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
ASTS | LTRX | ONDS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 87 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 11 Undervalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 92 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 57 | 81 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 53 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LTRX's Valuation (11) in the Computer Communications industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASTS (57) in the null industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for ONDS (82) in the null industry. This means that LTRX's stock grew somewhat faster than ASTS’s and significantly faster than ONDS’s over the last 12 months.
ASTS's Profit vs Risk Rating (79) in the null industry is in the same range as LTRX (100) in the Computer Communications industry, and is in the same range as ONDS (100) in the null industry. This means that ASTS's stock grew similarly to LTRX’s and similarly to ONDS’s over the last 12 months.
ONDS's SMR Rating (47) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LTRX (92) in the Computer Communications industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ASTS (98) in the null industry. This means that ONDS's stock grew somewhat faster than LTRX’s and somewhat faster than ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
LTRX's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as ONDS (81) in the null industry, and is in the same range as ASTS (89) in the null industry. This means that LTRX's stock grew similarly to ONDS’s and similarly to ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
ONDS's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as ASTS (16) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LTRX (53) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that ONDS's stock grew similarly to ASTS’s and somewhat faster than LTRX’s over the last 12 months.
| ASTS | LTRX | ONDS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 30 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 9 days ago 77% | 13 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASTS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while LTRX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ONDS’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASTS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LTRX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and ONDS’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
ASTS (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -2.14% price change this week, while LTRX (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was +2.50% , and ONDS (@Telecommunications Equipment) price fluctuated +2.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.98%.
ASTS is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
LTRX is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
ONDS is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
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| CSHI | 49.65 | 0.03 | +0.06% |
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LTRX has been loosely correlated with CRNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LTRX jumps, then CRNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LTRX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTRX | 100% | +2.50% | ||
| CRNT - LTRX | 53% Loosely correlated | +3.36% | ||
| ASTS - LTRX | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.63% | ||
| VSAT - LTRX | 51% Loosely correlated | +4.19% | ||
| HLIT - LTRX | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.40% | ||
| ONDS - LTRX | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.99% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONDS has been loosely correlated with ASTS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ONDS jumps, then ASTS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONDS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONDS | 100% | +2.99% | ||
| ASTS - ONDS | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.63% | ||
| LTRX - ONDS | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.50% | ||
| VSAT - ONDS | 48% Loosely correlated | +4.19% | ||
| TSAT - ONDS | 45% Loosely correlated | +5.32% | ||
| CRNT - ONDS | 38% Loosely correlated | +3.36% | ||
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