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CHRD or MTDR or OVV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) vs. Matador Resources Company (MTDR) vs. Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CHRD leads YTD performance at 48.73%, driven by strong Q1 results and raised oil volume outlook in the Williston Basin.
- MTDR trails YTD at 32.09% but offers attractive valuation with trailing P/E of 14.24 and forward P/E of 8.70, supported by increased production guidance.
- OVV shows robust 1-year return of 68.26% and largest market cap at $16.39B, bolstered by $3B Anadarko asset sale closing.
- All three stocks benefit from oil price strength, but OVV's multi-basin exposure (Permian, Montney) provides diversification versus peers' focused plays.
- EV/EBITDA multiples: MTDR at 4.98x most attractive, followed by CHRD (5.53x) and OVV (6.78x).
- Recent earnings beats across the board highlight operational resilience amid volatile energy markets.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CHRD, MTDR, and OVV, all independent exploration and production (E&P) companies focused on North American oil and gas assets. These firms operate in high-quality basins like the Williston, Delaware, Permian, and Montney, making them sensitive to crude oil prices, drilling efficiency, and commodity demand. Traders seeking momentum in energy plays and investors eyeing value in upstream oil may find this analysis useful for assessing relative performance, valuation, and market positioning in the current environment of steady oil prices and sector consolidation.
CHRD Overview and Recent Performance
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is an independent E&P company primarily operating in the Williston Basin of North Dakota and Montana, focusing on crude oil, natural gas, and NGL production. In recent market activity, CHRD shares have shown strength, with a YTD return of 48.73% and 1-year gain of 53.39%, trading around $136 with a $7.68B market cap. Sentiment improved following Q1 2026 earnings that beat estimates on higher output and prices, alongside an updated 2026 outlook raising oil volumes and declaring a base dividend. Influences include efficient operations and favorable oil pricing, though volatility in energy markets tempers gains.
MTDR Overview and Recent Performance
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) engages in oil and gas exploration, development, and production, with key assets in the Delaware Basin (Wolfcamp, Bone Spring) and Haynesville shale, plus midstream operations. Recent weeks saw MTDR at $55.26, market cap $6.86B, YTD return 32.09%, and 1-year 34.50%. Q1 2026 results prompted increased production guidance while reaffirming capital spending, alongside leadership promotions and a quarterly dividend declaration. Performance reflects solid execution in core plays, balanced by midstream support, amid broader sector oil price dynamics.
OVV Overview and Recent Performance
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is a North American E&P firm with operations in the Permian, Anadarko, and Montney formations across U.S. and Canada segments. Shares trade near $58 with a $16.39B market cap, boasting YTD 48.37% and 1-year 68.26% returns. Key recent developments include closing a $3B Anadarko asset sale for debt reduction and an upcoming Q1 2026 earnings call, plus annual meeting results. Portfolio optimization and multi-basin exposure have driven sentiment, supported by oil market stability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
All three operate in E&P with oil-heavy portfolios, but differ in scale and focus: CHRD’s Williston concentration offers high-quality inventory; MTDR blends Delaware production with midstream for cash flow stability; OVV’s diversified U.S./Canada basins reduce single-play risk. Growth drivers include CHRD and MTDR’s volume hikes versus OVV’s asset monetization. Recent momentum favors CHRD and OVV YTD, but MTDR’s lower debt and midstream edge mitigate risks. Valuation sensitivity shows MTDR cheapest (trailing P/E 14x, forward 9x), OVV balanced, CHRD elevated (201x trailing due to prior losses). Market sentiment tilts positive on earnings beats, though oil volatility and M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activity pose trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors OVV for its scale, diversified positioning, strong 1-year momentum, and portfolio catalysts like the Anadarko sale, which enhances balance sheet flexibility. Relative to CHRD’s basin focus and MTDR’s value tilt, OVV shows greater trend consistency and stability in recent market activity, with probabilistic upside from multi-basin exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMTDR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and OVV’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- CHRD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTDR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OVV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRD’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTDR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and OVV’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTDR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OVV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRD (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -2.80% price change this week, while MTDR (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -4.05% , and OVV (@Oil & Gas Production) price fluctuated -3.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -0.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
MTDR is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
OVV is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-0.85% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CHRD | MTDR | OVV | |
| Capitalization | 7.78B | 6.67B | 16.3B |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 2.09B | 2.71B |
| Gain YTD | 47.486 | 28.433 | 45.192 |
| P/E Ratio | 201.57 | 13.85 | 19.06 |
| Revenue | 5.33B | 3.59B | 9.06B |
| Total Cash | 226M | 30.5M | 26M |
| Total Debt | 1.62B | 3.57B | 7.81B |
CHRD | MTDR | OVV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 81 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 38 Fair valued | 40 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 54 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 46 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 9 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTDR's Valuation (38) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OVV (40) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CHRD (86) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that MTDR's stock grew similarly to OVV’s and somewhat faster than CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
OVV's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the null industry is in the same range as CHRD (50) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is in the same range as MTDR (54) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV's stock grew similarly to CHRD’s and similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
OVV's SMR Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as CHRD (100) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is in the same range as MTDR (100) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV's stock grew similarly to CHRD’s and similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OVV (41) in the null industry, and is in the same range as MTDR (46) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that CHRD's stock grew similarly to OVV’s and similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (9) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for OVV (38) in the null industry. This means that CHRD's stock grew similarly to MTDR’s and somewhat faster than OVV’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRD | MTDR | OVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 3 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 73% | 23 days ago 73% | 7 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 73% | 15 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 66% |
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