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CHRD vs OVV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chord Energy (CHRD) vs. Ovintiv (OVV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CHRD and OVV have delivered strong YTD returns around 48%, outperforming the S&P 500, driven by elevated oil prices and operational efficiencies in key basins.
- CHRD, focused on the Williston Basin, reported Q1 2026 earnings beating estimates with raised full-year oil production outlook and a $1.30 base dividend.
- OVV boasts a larger multi-basin portfolio including Permian and Montney, recently closing a $3B Anadarko asset sale to streamline operations.
- OVV trades at a higher market cap ($16.4B vs. $7.7B) with positive EPS (TTM $4.78) and lower debt exposure post-sale, while CHRD offers a higher dividend yield (3.81%).
- Recent market activity shows volatility in energy stocks, with both benefiting from oil price strength but facing risks from commodity fluctuations and regulatory shifts.
- Tickeron’s AI tools highlight energy sector bots with up to 285% annualized returns, aiding relative performance analysis.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CHRD (Chord Energy Corporation) and OVV (Ovintiv Inc.), two independent exploration and production (E&P) companies in the oil and gas sector. Both operate in premium North American basins, capitalizing on crude oil demand amid geopolitical tensions and supply constraints. Investors and traders focused on energy relative performance, dividend yields, and basin-specific growth may find value in contrasting their recent momentum, operational updates, and market positioning. With YTD gains significantly outpacing broader indices, this analysis highlights key contrasts in scale, exposure, and catalysts in the current market environment.
CHRD Overview and Recent Performance
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is an independent E&P company headquartered in Houston, Texas, primarily focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the Williston Basin of North Dakota and Montana. The company, formerly Oasis Petroleum, rebranded in 2022 to emphasize its strategic shift toward sustainable assets.
In recent market activity, CHRD shares have shown resilience, with a YTD return of 48.73% and 1-year gain of 53.39%, trading around $136 with a market cap of $7.7B. The stock hit a 52-week high near $150 amid oil price surges but pulled back slightly on profit-taking. Q1 2026 results exceeded expectations, with revenue up 37% year-over-year to $1.67B and adjusted EPS of $4.56 versus estimates of $3.49, driven by higher output (158 MBopd oil) despite weather challenges. The company raised its 2026 oil volume outlook, declared a $1.30 base dividend (yield 3.81%), and generated strong adjusted free cash flow ($507.5M), bolstering sentiment through shareholder returns and low leverage (0.6x). Factors influencing performance include Williston efficiencies like extended-reach laterals and AI-optimized operations, though commodity volatility caps upside.
OVV Overview and Recent Performance
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV), based in Denver, Colorado, is a North American E&P firm operating through U.S. and Canadian segments. It explores and produces oil, NGLs, and natural gas in high-quality plays like the Permian Basin (West Texas), Montney (Alberta/B.C.), and formerly Anadarko Basin. Rebranded from Encana in 2020, OVV emphasizes multi-basin diversification.
Recent weeks have seen OVV stock perform solidly, posting a YTD return of 48% and 1-year advance of 68%, with shares around $58 and a $16.4B market cap. The 52-week range spans $35-$63, reflecting energy sector swings. Key developments include the April 2026 closing of a $3B all-cash Anadarko asset sale, enhancing liquidity and balance sheet strength (debt/equity 57%) while refocusing on core Permian and Montney assets. Q1 2026 earnings are due May 11, with expectations for EPS growth amid stable production. Positive EPS TTM ($4.78) and 2.08% yield support returns, though free cash flow pressures from prior periods linger. Sentiment benefits from diversified exposure and strategic divestitures, tempered by natural gas price risks and cross-border operations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CHRD and OVV share E&P business models centered on low-cost oil production but diverge in scale and exposure. CHRD's pure-play Williston Basin focus (1.3M acres, ~217 MBopd oil) drives capital efficiency via long laterals and AI optimizations, yielding superior per-share free cash flow but higher basin-specific risks like midstream constraints. OVV's multi-basin portfolio (Permian, Montney) offers diversification, with recent Anadarko divestiture boosting liquidity for growth, though it introduces Canadian regulatory and gas exposure trade-offs.
Growth drivers for CHRD include raised 2026 production guidance and M&A inventory; OVV leverages Permian scale and gas marketing hedges. Recent momentum favors OVV's 68% 1-year return over CHRD's 53%, but CHRD edges on dividend yield (3.81% vs. 2.08%). Risk factors: both vulnerable to oil volatility (WTI sensitivity), but OVV higher debt historically and geopolitical gas risks; CHRD more concentrated. Valuation shows OVV at ~12x P/E with positive earnings versus CHRD's negative TTM EPS, though EV/EBITDA ~4x for both signals cash flow strength. Market sentiment tilts toward diversified plays amid sector rotation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward OVV based on superior 1-year trend consistency, larger scale with $16B+ market cap, positive profitability metrics, and recent balance sheet catalysts like the $3B asset sale enhancing positioning. OVV's multi-basin diversification provides stability over CHRD's focused Williston exposure, amid observable oil momentum and lower relative volatility. However, CHRD's superior dividend and Q1 beat offer probabilistic upside if basin efficiencies persist—AI favors OVV for current relative strength.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHRD is a Hold and OVV is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOVV’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CHRD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OVV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OVV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OVV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRD (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +0.41% price change this week, while OVV (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +1.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
OVV is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+0.22% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CHRD | OVV | CHRD / OVV | |
| Capitalization | 7.62B | 16.1B | 47% |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 2.71B | 60% |
| Gain YTD | 48.828 | 47.399 | 103% |
| P/E Ratio | 201.57 | 18.90 | 1,067% |
| Revenue | 5.33B | 9.06B | 59% |
| Total Cash | 226M | 26M | 869% |
| Total Debt | 1.62B | 7.81B | 21% |
CHRD | OVV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 80 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OVV's Valuation (38) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CHRD (87) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV’s stock grew somewhat faster than CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
OVV's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as CHRD (49) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
OVV's SMR Rating (80) in the null industry is in the same range as CHRD (92) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
OVV's Price Growth Rating (44) in the null industry is in the same range as CHRD (45) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OVV (43) in the null industry. This means that CHRD’s stock grew somewhat faster than OVV’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRD | OVV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 73% | 10 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 64% | 18 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 67% |
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OVV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OVV has been closely correlated with PR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OVV jumps, then PR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To OVV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVV | 100% | +1.63% | ||
| PR - OVV | 88% Closely correlated | +1.30% | ||
| CHRD - OVV | 86% Closely correlated | +1.20% | ||
| MGY - OVV | 85% Closely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| MTDR - OVV | 85% Closely correlated | +0.80% | ||
| DVN - OVV | 84% Closely correlated | +1.57% | ||
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