These three ETFs represent distinct approaches to gold-related investing within the broader precious metals sector. FGDL delivers unlevered exposure to physical gold bullion, while GDX and GOEX provide equity exposure to companies involved in gold mining and exploration, respectively. Investors compare them to evaluate trade-offs between direct commodity ownership and operational leverage from producers or explorers. The comparison highlights differences in cost, diversification, and risk that influence positioning across market cycles.
FGDL is a grantor trust that seeks to reflect the performance of the LBMA Gold Price, less expenses. It holds physical gold bullion sourced from LBMA-accredited refiners meeting responsible sourcing standards. The fund maintains one primary holding (gold) and carries an expense ratio of 0.15%. As a passive, physically backed vehicle, it avoids equity market risks and rebalances holdings only as needed to maintain gold exposure. Its structure provides straightforward commodity access with tax treatment as collectibles.
GDX is a passive ETF that tracks the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index, investing at least 80% of assets in gold and silver mining companies. It holds approximately 66 securities, with top positions typically including large producers such as Newmont and Barrick Gold. The expense ratio stands at 0.51%. The fund employs a modified market-capitalization weighting methodology and rebalances periodically to align with index changes. It offers diversified equity exposure across established miners globally.
GOEX is a passive ETF tracking the Solactive Global Gold Explorers & Developers Total Return Index. It allocates at least 80% of assets to companies engaged in gold exploration and development, holding around 52 securities. Expense ratio is 0.65%. Top holdings often include smaller explorers and developers. The index uses free-float adjusted, liquidity-tested market-cap weighting, with periodic rebalancing. The strategy emphasizes earlier-stage companies with higher growth potential and associated risks.
The gold sector benefits from macroeconomic factors including inflation hedging, geopolitical uncertainty, and central bank purchasing. Mining companies face input cost pressures from energy and labor while benefiting from higher realized gold prices. Exploration firms remain sensitive to permitting, financing, and discovery outcomes. Capital flows into precious metals equities have varied with broader risk sentiment, while physical gold demand has remained resilient. Regulatory focus on responsible sourcing continues to influence supply chains for physical metal and related equities.
In recent market cycles, FGDL has tracked spot gold prices with lower volatility due to its physical backing and absence of operational leverage. GDX has exhibited equity-like drawdowns during mining sector corrections but captured upside from producer margins during gold rallies. GOEX has shown greater volatility and larger drawdowns owing to its focus on exploration-stage firms, which amplify sensitivity to project milestones and financing conditions. Relative positioning favors FGDL for stability, GDX for established producer exposure, and GOEX for higher-beta thematic participation.
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Based on structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of favor to FGDL. Its lowest expense ratio, direct physical gold exposure, and minimal operational risk provide a more stable profile relative to the equity concentration and higher costs of GDX and GOEX.
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| FGDL | GDX | GOEX | |
| Gain YTD | 2.531 | 15.728 | 16.852 |
| Net Assets | 458M | 30.8B | 142M |
| Total Expense Ratio | 0.15 | 0.51 | 0.65 |
| Turnover | N/A | 50.00 | 27.01 |
| Yield | 0.00 | 0.64 | 1.90 |
| Fund Existence | 4 years | 20 years | 16 years |
| FGDL | GDX | GOEX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 62% | 5 days ago 87% | 5 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 88% |