GDX
Price
$80.20
Change
-$1.49 (-1.82%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
26.43B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GOAU
Price
$38.98
Change
-$0.99 (-2.48%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
186.79M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SGDM
Price
$67.38
Change
-$1.35 (-1.96%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
638.78M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDX or GOAU or SGDM

GDX vs GOAU vs SGDM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) vs. U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF (GOAU) vs. Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM)

Key Takeaways

  • GDX offers broad, passive exposure to global gold miners through market-cap weighting on the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index, with an expense ratio of 0.51% and approximately 50-65 holdings.
  • GOAU is an actively managed ETF targeting precious metals companies with a tiered fundamental weighting approach, featuring a higher expense ratio of 0.60% and a more concentrated portfolio of roughly 28-33 holdings.
  • SGDM employs a smart-beta strategy via the Solactive Gold Miners Custom Factors Index, emphasizing revenue growth, free cash flow yield, and low debt-to-equity ratios, with the lowest expense ratio among the three at 0.46-0.50% and 39-41 holdings.
  • All three ETFs provide leveraged equity exposure to gold prices within the materials sector, but differ in diversification depth, cost structure, and selection methodology, influencing relative risk and return profiles across market cycles.
  • GDX generally delivers the widest geographic and company diversification, while GOAU and SGDM incorporate active or factor-based tilts that may enhance selectivity but introduce concentration or style risks.
  • Expense efficiency favors SGDM, whereas liquidity and scale typically support GDX as the most established vehicle for sector exposure.

Introduction

These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) compete within the gold and precious metals miners theme, offering investors distinct approaches to equity exposure in the materials sector. GDX tracks a broad global index passively, GOAU applies active management with fundamental tiered weighting, and SGDM uses a rules-based factor overlay on a custom index. The comparison highlights structural differences in index methodology, holdings concentration, expense ratios, and risk-adjusted positioning that matter for portfolio allocation in the current macroeconomic environment of fluctuating commodity prices and mining sector dynamics.

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Overview

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) seeks to replicate the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index, which tracks companies deriving significant revenue from gold mining worldwide. The fund is passively managed with market-capitalization weighting and holds approximately 50-65 securities. Top holdings typically include major producers such as Agnico Eagle Mines, Newmont, and Barrick Gold. Sector allocation centers on gold and silver mining within materials. The expense ratio stands at 0.51%. Distinguishing features include high liquidity, global diversification across developed and emerging markets, and quarterly index rebalancing. The structure emphasizes broad beta exposure to gold prices through established mining equities.

U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF (GOAU) Overview

U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF (GOAU) is an actively managed fund seeking total return by investing at least 80% of assets in precious metals companies, with a minimum 20% allocation to gold-focused firms. It employs fundamental analysis and a tiered weighting system rather than a traditional index. The portfolio contains roughly 28-33 holdings, with notable positions in royalty and streaming companies such as Wheaton Precious Metals and Franco-Nevada. Expense ratio is 0.60%. The strategy emphasizes financial discipline and selective exposure within the precious metals space, resulting in higher concentration compared with broad market-cap peers.

Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM) Overview

Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM) tracks the Solactive Gold Miners Custom Factors Index, applying a rules-based methodology that starts with market-cap weighting and adjusts for factors including revenue growth, free cash flow yield, and lower long-term debt-to-equity ratios. The fund is non-diversified and typically holds 39-41 securities, primarily large- and mid-cap gold miners listed in the U.S. and Canada. Expense ratio ranges from 0.46% to 0.50%. Quarterly reconstitution maintains alignment with the factor criteria. Key features include a smart-beta tilt toward financially stronger operators and focused North American exposure within the gold mining theme.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The gold mining sector operates within the broader materials industry and responds to macroeconomic drivers such as inflation trends, interest rate expectations, central bank gold purchases, and geopolitical tensions that influence safe-haven demand. Capital flows into mining equities often accelerate during periods of elevated gold prices, while regulatory developments around permitting, environmental standards, and taxation affect operational costs. Earnings of major holdings depend on production volumes, all-in sustaining costs, and reserve replacement. Sector risks include commodity price volatility, labor and energy cost pressures, and currency fluctuations for internationally operating firms. Recent market cycles have seen varying investor interest in gold equities versus physical gold or royalty/streaming vehicles.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, relative performance among the three ETFs has reflected differences in holdings concentration and factor exposure. GDX’s broader diversification has historically produced more stable but sometimes muted moves compared with more concentrated peers. GOAU’s active selection and emphasis on royalty companies may dampen volatility in certain cycles while introducing manager-specific decisions. SGDM’s factor overlay targeting higher growth and stronger balance sheets can lead to differentiated behavior during periods when those characteristics are rewarded or penalized. Concentration risk tends to be highest in GOAU, while GDX offers the most even spread across holdings. All three exhibit sensitivity to gold price movements and broader equity market sentiment, with structural differences influencing drawdown patterns and trend consistency across market cycles.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your ETF research.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of favor to SGDM. Its lower expense ratio combined with the smart-beta factor methodology targeting revenue growth and balance-sheet quality provides a balanced approach to the gold miners theme while maintaining reasonable diversification. GDX remains a strong contender for investors prioritizing maximum liquidity and broad passive exposure, whereas GOAU’s active tilt suits those seeking concentrated fundamental selection despite the higher cost.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDX with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

GDX's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GDX entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 148 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 131 of the 148 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDX as a result. In 69 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GDX turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

GDX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for GDX moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDX advanced for three days, in 292 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GOAU with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

GOAU sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

GOAU saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOAU as a result. In 67 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

GOAU moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOAU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOAU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Aroon Indicator for GOAU entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GOAU's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for GOAU moved above the 200-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +4.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOAU advanced for three days, in 294 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GOAU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SGDM with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SGDM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

SGDM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SGDM as a result. In 69 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

SGDM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SGDM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SGDM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for SGDM entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for SGDM moved above the 200-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SGDM advanced for three days, in 292 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SGDM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXGOAUSGDM
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
View a ticker or compare two or three
GDX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GOAU
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SGDM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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GOAU and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GOAU has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GOAU jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GOAU
1D Price
Change %
GOAU100%
-2.47%
WPM - GOAU
95%
Closely correlated
-2.14%
OR - GOAU
91%
Closely correlated
-1.44%
FNV - GOAU
91%
Closely correlated
-1.38%
AU - GOAU
90%
Closely correlated
-1.88%
OGC - GOAU
89%
Closely correlated
-2.02%
More

SGDM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SGDM has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SGDM jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SGDM
1D Price
Change %
SGDM100%
-1.96%
AEM - SGDM
96%
Closely correlated
-1.25%
WPM - SGDM
95%
Closely correlated
-2.14%
IAG - SGDM
93%
Closely correlated
-0.97%
NEM - SGDM
93%
Closely correlated
-4.59%
AU - SGDM
91%
Closely correlated
-1.88%
More