GDX
Price
$80.21
Change
-$1.48 (-1.81%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
26.56B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SGDJ
Price
$74.00
Change
-$2.73 (-3.56%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:57 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
315.06M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SILJ
Price
$23.15
Change
-$0.50 (-2.11%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
3.28B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDX or SGDJ or SILJ

GDX vs SGDJ vs SILJ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) vs. Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) vs. Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ)

Key Takeaways

  • GDX provides broad exposure to large-cap global gold mining companies through a market-capitalization-weighted passive index, offering greater diversification than the junior-focused peers.
  • SGDJ targets smaller “junior” gold miners with a custom multi-factor index, delivering higher potential volatility and a more concentrated thematic tilt toward early-stage producers.
  • SILJ focuses exclusively on junior silver miners via a thematic market-cap index, introducing distinct commodity exposure that can amplify sensitivity to industrial silver demand alongside precious-metals dynamics.
  • Expense ratios differ meaningfully: SGDJ at 0.50% and GDX at 0.51% are more cost-efficient than SILJ at 0.69%, affecting long-term net returns in a sector known for cyclical swings.
  • Structural differences in holdings count and market-cap focus create varying concentration risk profiles, with juniors (SGDJ and SILJ) typically exhibiting sharper drawdowns during risk-off periods compared with GDX’s larger-cap stability.
  • All three ETFs operate as passive vehicles tracking specialized mining indexes, positioning them as complementary rather than interchangeable tools for precious-metals sector allocation.

Introduction

Investors seeking precious-metals equity exposure often compare GDX, SGDJ, and SILJ because the three ETFs pursue overlapping yet differentiated strategies within the gold and silver mining sector. GDX tracks a broad global gold-miners index, while SGDJ emphasizes junior gold producers and SILJ concentrates on junior silver miners. These structural distinctions result in varying degrees of diversification, volatility, and commodity sensitivity, making the trio relevant for investors evaluating tiered risk exposures and thematic tilts in the current market environment.

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Overview

GDX seeks to replicate the performance of the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index before fees and expenses. The passive ETF holds approximately 60 securities focused on companies deriving the majority of revenue from gold mining. Top holdings typically include large producers such as Agnico Eagle Mines, Newmont, and Barrick Gold. Sector allocation centers almost entirely on materials, specifically gold mining. The fund carries an expense ratio of 0.51% and employs quarterly index rebalancing. Its market-capitalization weighting and emphasis on established global miners provide a relatively diversified entry point into the gold-mining theme.

Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) Overview

SGDJ tracks the Solactive Junior Gold Miners Custom Factors Index, targeting smaller-capitalization gold mining companies primarily in developed markets. The passive vehicle typically holds 30–40 holdings, resulting in higher concentration than broad gold-miners ETFs. Expense ratio stands at 0.50%. Index methodology incorporates custom factors and rebalances semi-annually. The fund’s focus on junior producers introduces greater exposure to exploration-stage and smaller operators, increasing both upside potential and volatility relative to large-cap peers.

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) Overview

SILJ seeks to track the Nasdaq Junior Silver Miners Index, providing exposure to companies engaged in silver mining, exploration, and development. The passive ETF holds roughly 60 securities with a thematic market-capitalization approach and quarterly rebalancing. Expense ratio is 0.69%. Holdings emphasize junior silver producers, often overlapping with gold operations but weighted toward silver revenue. This structure creates a distinct silver-centric risk profile compared with the gold-focused GDX and SGDJ.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The precious-metals mining sector remains influenced by macroeconomic factors including interest-rate expectations, inflation trends, and geopolitical developments that affect safe-haven demand. Gold and silver prices respond to central-bank purchasing patterns, industrial consumption (particularly for silver in solar and electronics), and supply constraints from major producing regions. Capital flows into mining equities tend to accelerate during periods of monetary easing or heightened uncertainty, while regulatory and permitting challenges in key jurisdictions can constrain new supply. Earnings of major holdings often reflect both metal-price leverage and operational cost pressures.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, GDX has generally exhibited more stable trend behavior due to its large-cap holdings, while SGDJ and SILJ have shown greater volatility and sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes. Performance differentials arise primarily from market-capitalization focus and commodity tilt: junior funds (SGDJ and SILJ) tend to amplify moves in underlying metal prices but carry higher concentration risk. SILJ’s silver emphasis adds sensitivity to industrial demand cycles that can diverge from gold-specific drivers affecting GDX and SGDJ. Relative positioning therefore depends on an investor’s preference for broad gold exposure versus higher-beta junior or silver-specific strategies.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest preference to GDX. The ETF combines competitive expense efficiency, broader diversification across large-cap gold miners, and lower concentration risk relative to the junior-focused SGDJ and SILJ. These attributes support more stable risk-adjusted positioning within the precious-metals equity category over extended market cycles, though individual investor objectives and risk tolerance should guide final allocation decisions.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDX with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GDX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

GDX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 62 cases where GDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDX as a result. In 70 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

GDX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDX entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for GDX moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDX advanced for three days, in 292 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SGDJ with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SGDJ in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

SGDJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 25 of 29 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for SGDJ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SGDJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for SGDJ entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SGDJ's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for SGDJ moved above the 200-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +4.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SGDJ advanced for three days, in 310 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SGDJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SILJ with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SILJ in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

SILJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for SILJ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SILJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

The Aroon Indicator for SILJ entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SILJ's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +3.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SILJ advanced for three days, in 282 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SILJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXSGDJSILJ
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
N/A
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
N/A
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
89%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
View a ticker or compare two or three
GDX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SGDJ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SILJ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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GDX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GDX has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GDX jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GDX
1D Price
Change %
GDX100%
-5.80%
WPM - GDX
96%
Closely correlated
-6.54%
AEM - GDX
95%
Closely correlated
-5.98%
KGC - GDX
94%
Closely correlated
-4.79%
NEM - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-2.62%
IAG - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-7.86%
More

SGDJ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SGDJ has been closely correlated with SKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SGDJ jumps, then SKE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SGDJ
1D Price
Change %
SGDJ100%
-6.99%
SKE - SGDJ
87%
Closely correlated
-9.25%
OGC - SGDJ
86%
Closely correlated
-5.53%
EQX - SGDJ
86%
Closely correlated
-6.16%
DRD - SGDJ
85%
Closely correlated
-6.02%
SA - SGDJ
84%
Closely correlated
-4.28%
More
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