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GOLD or NEM or WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Barrick Gold (GOLD) vs. Newmont (NEM) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Barrick Gold (GOLD), Newmont (NEM), and Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) are major players in the gold sector, with GOLD and NEM as primary producers and WPM as a precious metals streaming company.
- Recent market activity shows all three stocks influenced by elevated gold prices, with strong Q1 2026 earnings reported across the sector driven by higher realized prices.
- WPM offers exposure through streaming agreements, providing potentially more stable margins compared to the operational risks faced by producers GOLD and NEM.
- Upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings releases in early August position the stocks for potential volatility based on production updates and cost guidance.
- Relative performance reflects broader gold market sentiment, with producers sensitive to all-in sustaining costs (AISC) and reserve replacement, while WPM benefits from lower direct operational exposure.
- Valuation metrics such as price-to-earnings ratios vary, with streaming models often commanding premiums for predictability in cash flow.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to gold often compare major producers and streaming companies to assess relative value, risk profiles, and growth potential. Barrick Gold (GOLD), Newmont (NEM), and Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) represent distinct approaches within the precious metals space: two large-scale miners with global operations and one focused on streaming and royalty agreements. This comparison appeals to those evaluating sector positioning amid fluctuating commodity prices, operational execution, and macroeconomic factors influencing gold demand. The analysis highlights recent performance drivers and structural differences relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
GOLD Overview and Recent Performance
Barrick Gold (GOLD) operates as a leading gold producer with a portfolio of Tier One assets across multiple continents, supplemented by copper output. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in line with broader gold sector movements, supported by elevated spot prices that boosted Q1 2026 results, including strong earnings growth year-over-year. Production beat guidance in the first quarter, aided by strong performances at key sites. Upcoming Q2 2026 earnings on August 10 may provide updated guidance on costs and output, influencing sentiment. Market activity reflects ongoing focus on operational discipline and free cash flow generation amid high gold prices.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont (NEM) is the world’s largest gold mining company by production and reserves, with diversified operations primarily in North America and Australia. Recent market activity for NEM has mirrored gold price trends, with Q1 2026 results reflecting benefits from higher realized prices despite typical producer cost pressures. The company maintains a focus on portfolio optimization and reserve replacement. As earnings season approaches, attention centers on production metrics and all-in sustaining costs (AISC), which remain key indicators of operational efficiency in the current environment.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) functions as a precious metals streaming company, providing upfront capital to miners in exchange for future metal deliveries at predetermined prices. This model has delivered resilient performance in recent weeks, with analysts noting expected strong year-over-year EPS growth ahead of its August 6 earnings release. WPM benefits from high margins and lower direct exposure to mining operational risks compared to producers. Recent trading reflects sensitivity to gold and silver prices but with potentially reduced volatility from its diversified streaming portfolio.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Barrick Gold (GOLD) and Newmont (NEM) operate as integrated producers with direct exposure to mining costs, labor, and geological risks, while Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) uses a streaming model that emphasizes capital allocation over operations, often resulting in higher margins and more predictable cash flows. Growth drivers differ: producers focus on production growth and cost control, whereas WPM expands through new streaming deals. Recent momentum has been broadly aligned with gold prices, though WPM may exhibit relative stability due to its business structure. Risk factors include regulatory and geopolitical issues for miners versus counterparty and metal price risks for streamers. Sector exposure centers on gold for all three, with varying sensitivity to input costs and valuation multiples influenced by earnings visibility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in earnings delivery, margin stability from the streaming model, and positioning ahead of near-term catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to WPM for relative resilience in the current market environment, while recognizing that GOLD and NEM offer leveraged exposure to production upside. Outcomes remain dependent on gold price movements and execution metrics reported in upcoming quarters.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GOLD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and WPM’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- GOLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GOLD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WPM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GOLD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
GOLD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а +5.20% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was +20.56% , and WPM (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated +23.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -0.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.69%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +21.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +17.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
GOLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-0.13% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
@Precious Metals (+21.40% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| GOLD | NEM | WPM | |
| Capitalization | 1.26B | 119B | 60.7B |
| EBITDA | 204M | 16B | 2.4B |
| Gain YTD | 28.869 | 13.644 | 14.545 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.17 | 14.25 | 29.77 |
| Revenue | 23B | 25.8B | 2.75B |
| Total Cash | 144M | 9.01B | 2.17B |
| Total Debt | 715M | 5.6B | 7.66M |
GOLD | NEM | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 35 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 41 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 69 | 38 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 42 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 36 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 27 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WPM's Valuation (52) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (70) and is in the same range as NEM (70). This means that WPM's stock grew similarly to GOLD’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (41) and is in the same range as GOLD (51). This means that WPM's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's SMR Rating (38) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (44) and is in the same range as GOLD (69). This means that NEM's stock grew similarly to WPM’s and similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (43) and is in the same range as GOLD (46). This means that NEM's stock grew similarly to WPM’s and similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WPM (97) and is somewhat better than the same rating for GOLD (100). This means that NEM's stock grew somewhat faster than WPM’s and somewhat faster than GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
| GOLD | NEM | WPM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 75% | 12 days ago 66% | 12 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 74% |
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NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM | 100% | +7.16% | ||
| KGC - NEM | 88% Closely correlated | +7.88% | ||
| AEM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | +6.49% | ||
| WPM - NEM | 86% Closely correlated | +7.10% | ||
| PAAS - NEM | 85% Closely correlated | +6.60% | ||
| CGAU - NEM | 85% Closely correlated | +7.22% | ||
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